PnL all-time+$45.6kvol $1.06M
PnL 30d+$2,107gains $8,932 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$870win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate77.4%adj 72.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$50.2kcash n/a
Positions9 / 93open / all-time
Max drawdown−50.5%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 6d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$45.8kbelow peak −$1,439Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 77.4% · shrunk toward 50%80
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d77
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity50
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$10.5kIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$8,959NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$3,386Fed rate hike in 2026? · Noclosed+$3,125Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$3,064
Worst markets
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Noopen−$3,038US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? · Yesopen−$1,430Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Noclosed−$1,237US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? · Yesopen−$708Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June? · Noclosed−$533
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 33.2k | 78.4¢ | 78.5¢ | $26.1k | +$24 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 19.7k | 85.4¢ | 91¢ | $18.0k | +$1,110 | $0 | |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | Yes | 7,582 | 52.4¢ | 33.5¢ | $2,540 | −$1,430 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9,509 | 17¢ | 15.5¢ | $1,474 | −$143 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 6,000 | 20¢ | 18.5¢ | $1,110 | −$90 | +$77 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 6,700 | 14¢ | 9.5¢ | $637 | −$302 | $0 | |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | Yes | 4,227 | 25.4¢ | 8.6¢ | $366 | −$708 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 2,400 | 9¢ | 1.8¢ | $42 | −$174 | $0 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 4,900 | 62¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,038 | $0 |
Recent trades
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