sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,685

0xfb5…83f9

0xfb5…83f9
SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$81.6kvol $1.88M
PnL 30d+$47.2kgains $62.1k · losses $550
PnL 7d+$2,759win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate70.5%adj 69.0% · 30d 90.0%
Open value$124kcash n/a
Positions41 / 285open / all-time
Max drawdown−36.6%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$86.2kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 70.5% · shrunk toward 50%73
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity63

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 41

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No55.0k50¢80.2¢$44.1k+$16.6k$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No13.7k83.8¢83.5¢$11.4k−$37−$19
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes55.0k50¢19.9¢$10.9k−$16.6k$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes10.8k83.8¢87.3¢$9,416+$379$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No10.8k85.7¢86.9¢$9,353+$126−$728
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes8,50162.8¢77¢$6,545+$1,203+$998
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes7,00082.7¢79.5¢$5,565−$225$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No5,00087¢94.5¢$4,725+$375+$3.98
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No7,00064.1¢63.5¢$4,445−$45$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes12.4k31.8¢34.5¢$4,272+$329+$31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes3,08687.4¢92.5¢$2,855+$158+$123
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes2,73979.3¢81.5¢$2,232+$60$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes4,26939.8¢41.5¢$1,772+$72+$25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No2,07377.6¢82.1¢$1,701+$93+$211
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No1,75392¢95.7¢$1,677+$65+$11
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes2,00945.9¢57.9¢$1,162+$239+$5.92
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No1,00060¢63.5¢$635+$35+$70
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes57064.6¢57.5¢$328−$41$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes70046¢42.5¢$297−$24$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes27069.8¢96¢$259+$71$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes1,53412.6¢9.5¢$146−$47+$34
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No22061¢57¢$125−$8.79$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes56.0k20.7¢0¢$0−$11.6k+$2,934
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No39.4k22.8¢0¢$0−$8,996+$568
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes10.7k20.1¢0¢$0−$2,146−$68
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes10.0k3.1¢0¢$0−$310$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes7,4969.4¢0¢$0−$704$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?Yes5,3043.3¢0¢$0−$175−$6.21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?No5,0151.9¢0¢$0−$95$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes5,0003.1¢0¢$0−$154$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes4,35818.2¢0¢$0−$793+$331
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?No2,97647.7¢0¢$0−$1,419+$197
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes2,5460.7¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No1,95839.2¢0¢$0−$768$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Yes1,1896¢0¢$0−$71$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes67316¢0¢$0−$108+$757
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes5599.9¢0¢$0−$55$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes48414¢0¢$0−$68$0
Raiders vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5Over22050¢0¢$0−$110$0
Rams vs. BroncosRams19651¢0¢$0−$100$0
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 40.5Under10050¢0¢$0−$50$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?81¢799$64771%73Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?81¢360$29271%73Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?91¢210$19171%73Sharp
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?36¢336$12171%73Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?88¢20$1871%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢18$1571%73Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?70¢1,000$70071%73Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?84¢115$9771%73Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?35¢272$9571%73Sharp
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?74¢430$31871%73Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?88¢2,249$1,97971%73Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?34¢260$8871%73Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?97.4¢600$58471%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢1,765$1,50171%73Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?98.2¢448$44071%73Sharp
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?97.8¢223$21871%73Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?97.1¢400$38971%73Sharp
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?88¢423$37271%73Sharp
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?42¢71$3071%73Sharp
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?86¢163$14071%73Sharp