sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,143

CastleRock

0xfb6…eb56
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,069vol $475k
PnL 30d−$18.8kgains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$14.9kwin rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate87.9%adj 84.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$24.3kcash n/a
Positions4 / 233open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 19h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$7,458below peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 87.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 4

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No15.0k97.5¢100¢$15.0k+$371−$7.77
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No5,00091¢97¢$4,847+$298−$205
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No3,42996.9¢100¢$3,429+$105−$11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No1,00097.1¢100¢$1,000+$29−$0.73

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoXi Jinping out before 2027?97¢1,500$1,45588%59
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?96¢2,000$1,92088%59
BUY No9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97.2¢111$10888%59
BUY NoWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?97.9¢2,000$1,95888%59
BUY NoWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?97.9¢513$50288%59
BUY NoWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?97.7¢108$10688%59
BUY NoWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?97.8¢20$2088%59
BUY NoWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?97.6¢79$7788%59
BUY NoWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?97.5¢8$7.6088%59
BUY NoWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?97.5¢154$15188%59
BUY NoWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?97.4¢169$16588%59
BUY NoWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?97.3¢100$9788%59
BUY NoWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?96.6¢141$13688%59
BUY YesWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?95.6¢1,000$95688%59
BUY NoXi Jinping out before 2027?97¢1,000$97088%59
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?96¢5,000$4,80088%59
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?95.7¢500$47988%59
BUY No9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?97¢1,515$1,47088%59
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?96¢3,000$2,88088%59
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?96.2¢200$19288%59