sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Quirky-Antling

0xfb9…4dae
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+CryptoSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$593vol $441k
PnL 30d−$388gains $227 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$130win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate84.6%adj 79.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$2,021cash n/a
Positions195 / 316open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3.6ylast trade 7d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$291below peak −$2,176Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale40
Adjusted win rateraw 84.6% · shrunk toward 50%98
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d76
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No1,60052.6¢77¢$1,232+$390$0
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1,35912.9¢17.5¢$238+$62+$47
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes1,54541.4¢8.4¢$129−$511$0
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes50038¢16¢$80−$110$0
Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes8466¢9¢$76+$25+$291
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes70012¢10.5¢$74−$10$0
Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch?Yes47652.3¢9.1¢$43−$206−$0.36
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No30070¢13¢$39−$171$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes10052¢36.5¢$37−$16$0
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?No30059¢11.5¢$35−$143$0
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No30046¢6¢$18−$120$0
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?No30028¢4¢$12−$72$0
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No3009¢2.1¢$6.15−$21$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes10020¢3.9¢$3.90−$16$0
Lighter Airdrop on December 22?Yes32.8k0.2¢0¢$0−$62$0
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?No10.5k6.9¢0¢$0−$726$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No10.4k0.1¢0¢$0−$10−$217
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming10.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$10$0
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No7,6164.7¢0¢$0−$360$0
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?No7,4471.5¢0¢$0−$111+$0.08
Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?No7,4461.7¢0¢$0−$129$0
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes6,0000.4¢0¢$0−$26−$0.30
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No4,9008¢0¢$0−$392$0
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No3,70210.1¢0¢$0−$374$0
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Yes3,1455.3¢0¢$0−$167$0
Perle Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?No2,7101.9¢0¢$0−$53$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes2,5000.8¢0¢$0−$20$0
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?No2,37214¢0¢$0−$332$0
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No2,26510.8¢0¢$0−$245$0
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?Yes2,2583.1¢0¢$0−$71$0
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?No2,1000.6¢0¢$0−$13$0
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes2,07346.2¢0¢$0−$958$0
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?No2,03014.3¢0¢$0−$289$0
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes2,00046¢0¢$0−$920$0
Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?No2,00013.3¢0¢$0−$266$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,0008.8¢0¢$0−$176$0
Tea FDV above $200M one day after launchYes1,9001.3¢0¢$0−$25$0
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit1,7752.4¢0¢$0−$43$0
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,6008.6¢0¢$0−$137$0
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?No1,6006¢0¢$0−$96$0
Will Opinion launch a token on March 9?Yes1,6000.8¢0¢$0−$13$0
Over $150M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes1,5993.1¢0¢$0−$50$0
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerHeroic1,5001¢0¢$0−$15+$100
Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?No1,5008.3¢0¢$0−$125−$0.63
Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No1,5000.3¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.08
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?Yes1,50011.1¢0¢$0−$167$0
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?No1,50014¢0¢$0−$210$0
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit1,4361.3¢0¢$0−$18$0
Over $750k committed to the TownSquare public sale?No1,3522¢0¢$0−$26−$0.56
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?Yes1,3003.1¢0¢$0−$41−$1.80
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,30016.2¢0¢$0−$210$0
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?No1,20010.4¢0¢$0−$125$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No1,10070¢0¢$0−$770$0
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes1,1009¢0¢$0−$99$0
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?No1,06025¢0¢$0−$265$0
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes1,05113¢0¢$0−$137$0
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No1,02413¢0¢$0−$134+$81
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons1,0001¢0¢$0−$10$0
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic1,0001.7¢0¢$0−$17$0
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes1,0002.2¢0¢$0−$22−$0.11
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No1,00024.1¢0¢$0−$241$0
Over $800K committed to the Cambria public sale?No1,0002.1¢0¢$0−$21$0
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?No1,0003.6¢0¢$0−$36$0
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Yes1,00014¢0¢$0−$140$0
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid1,0000.8¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.04
Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes1,0000.4¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes1,0000.4¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes1,0000.4¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageTundra Esports1,0000.4¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 27?Yes1,0003.1¢0¢$0−$31$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?No1,0003¢0¢$0−$30$0
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No91738.2¢0¢$0−$350$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No90019.7¢0¢$0−$177−$0.89
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No8607.6¢0¢$0−$65−$0.41
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26?No8154.7¢0¢$0−$38$0
Perle Labs FDV above $100M one day after launch?No81013¢0¢$0−$105$0
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsNatus Vincere8002.9¢0¢$0−$23$0
Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?No7220.7¢0¢$0−$5.05$0
Perle Labs FDV above $80M one day after launch?No7004.4¢0¢$0−$31$0
Over $60M committed to the Jumper public sale?Yes6872.9¢0¢$0−$20−$0.10
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No6695¢0¢$0−$33$0
Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes6240.6¢0¢$0−$3.75$0
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere6171.9¢0¢$0−$12$0
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?Yes6006.5¢0¢$0−$39−$0.20
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes60040¢0¢$0−$240$0
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Falcons60014.3¢0¢$0−$86−$0.43
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes60051.7¢0¢$0−$310$0
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?No56813.1¢0¢$0−$74$0
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?No55033¢0¢$0−$182$0
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?No5005¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No50042¢0¢$0−$210$0
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StagePARIVISION5000.5¢0¢$0−$2.50$0
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere5001¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime5001¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?No50015¢0¢$0−$75$0
Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?Yes50012.4¢0¢$0−$62−$0.31
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?No5004¢0¢$0−$20$0
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerAurora4605.3¢0¢$0−$25$0
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageTundra Esports4007.8¢0¢$0−$31$0
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No40015¢0¢$0−$60$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Russia target Kyiv on October 6, 2026?7.5¢150$1185%51
BUY NoWill Russia target Kyiv on October 6, 2026?6.9¢71$4.9085%51
BUY YesWill Ukraine win on 2026-09-28?10¢100$1085%51
BUY NoWill Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?17¢138$2385%51
BUY NoWill Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?16¢30$4.8085%51
BUY NoWill Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?16¢169$2785%51
BUY NoWill Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?13¢30$3.9685%51
BUY NoWill Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?13¢100$1385%51
BUY NoWill Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?13¢100$1385%51
BUY YesWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?3.1¢300$9.3085%51
BUY YesWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?3.1¢100$3.1085%51
BUY YesWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?21¢100$2185%51
BUY YesWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?68¢100$6885%51
SELL YesWill Team Spirit Win The International 2026?59¢267$15785%51
BUY YesWill Team Spirit Win The International 2026?20¢250$5085%51
BUY YesWill Mirana Be the Most Picked Hero at The International 2026?26¢20$5.2085%51
BUY YesWill Hoodwink Be the Most Picked Hero at The International 2026?38.5¢20$7.7085%51
BUY YesWill Treant Protector Be the Most Banned Hero at The International 2026?94¢5$4.6985%51
BUY Team SpiritDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage2¢200$4.0085%51
BUY YesWill Mirana Be the Most Picked Hero at The International 2026?27¢17$4.5985%51