Traders/Rank #4,097

jafacakee

0xfb9…6577

SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+CultureSport

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$5,180vol $81.5k

PnL 30d+$2,092gains $2,289 · losses $125

PnL 7d+$1,403win rate 7d 100.0%

Win rate82.0%adj 77.1% · 30d 91.2%

Open value$136cash n/a

Positions57 / 168open / all-time

Max drawdown−6.9%of equity peak

Account age2molast trade 5m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$5,524below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53

Adjusted win rateraw 82.0% · shrunk toward 50%93

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14? · Yesclosed+$850 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15? · Yesclosed+$624 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? · Noclosed+$610 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? · Yesclosed+$575 Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 50 million views on day 3? · Noclosed+$427

Worst markets

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? · Yesclosed−$952 Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1? · Noclosed−$93 Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6? · Yesopen−$69 Will Hikaru Nakamura Win EWC 2026 Chess? · Yesopen−$60 Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Rocket League? · Speedclosed−$43

Open positions · 57

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?	Yes	110	42.6¢	71.5¢	$78	+$32	+$11	ended
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?	Yes	111	0.2¢	25.9¢	$29	+$28	+$21	5d 0h
Will 100 Thieves Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	117	0.3¢	6.9¢	$7.99	+$7.64	$0	2mo
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	10	51.5¢	51.6¢	$5.16	+$0.01	$0	25mo
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	10	48.6¢	48.4¢	$4.84	−$0.01	$0	25mo
Will NRG Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	117	0.3¢	3.6¢	$4.20	+$3.85	$0	ended
Will OpTic Gaming Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	50	0.8¢	4¢	$2.00	+$1.62	$0	ended
Will Faker Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?	Yes	18	2¢	10.5¢	$1.89	+$1.53	$0	ended
Will GentleMates Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	30	0.8¢	3.3¢	$0.97	+$0.73	$0	ended
Will Boaster Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?	Yes	18	1¢	3.6¢	$0.64	+$0.46	$0	ended
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	400	2.3¢	0.1¢	$0.40	−$8.60	$0	5d 0h
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	Yes	157	17.7¢	0.1¢	$0.16	−$28	$0	5d 0h
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	Yes	20	22¢	0.5¢	$0.10	−$4.30	$0	5d 0h
Will G2 Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	30	0.8¢	0.2¢	$0.04	−$0.19	$0	2mo
Will NiceWigg Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	30	0.1¢	0.2¢	$0.04	+$0.01	$0	2mo
Will Call of Duty Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?	Yes	87	0.1¢	0.1¢	$0.04	−$0.04	$0	ended
Will Brawl Stars Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?	Yes	86	0.2¢	0.1¢	$0.04	−$0.13	$0	ended
Will Rocket League Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?	Yes	85	0.1¢	0.1¢	$0.04	−$0.06	$0	ended
Will TacticalRab Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	16	0.2¢	0.1¢	$0.01	−$0.02	$0	2mo
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?	Yes	1,542	1.5¢	0¢	$0	−$24	−$3.75	ended
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	1,061	0.6¢	0¢	$0	−$5.98	−$0.11	ended
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6?	Yes	500	13.3¢	0¢	$0	−$66	−$2.82	ended
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.75 and 65 million views on day 5?	Yes	460	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$3.20	$0	ended
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 65 million views on day 5?	Yes	454	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$1.87	−$0.06	ended
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	330	10.2¢	0¢	$0	−$34	−$0.24	ended
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62.5 and 63.75 million views on day 5?	Yes	300	1.3¢	0¢	$0	−$3.90	$0	ended
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 270 and 299 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	300	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$0.90	$0	49d 0h
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1?	Yes	254	1.8¢	0¢	$0	−$4.68	−$0.23	ended
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?	Yes	218	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$0.79	−$0.04	ended
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 240 and 269 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	185	0.5¢	0¢	$0	−$1.04	$0	49d 0h
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 210 and 239 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	181	1.8¢	0¢	$0	−$3.28	−$0.08	49d 0h
Will Hans Moke Niemann Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	170	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$0.24	−$0.01	ended
Will Levon Aronian Win the Sinquefield Cup?	Yes	153	7.1¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$0.29	ended
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	Yes	150	5.9¢	0¢	$0	−$8.94	$0	ended
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have 300 or more Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	146	0.6¢	0¢	$0	−$0.88	$0	49d 0h
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	124	12.1¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$3.90	ended
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	114	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$0.77	−$0.01	ended
Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	112	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$6.13	−$0.04	58m
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	100	14.6¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.44	49d 0h
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	100	1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.00	−$0.07	ended
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	95	7.1¢	0¢	$0	−$6.75	$0	ended
Will Vincent Keymer Win the Sinquefield Cup?	Yes	94	9.4¢	0¢	$0	−$8.85	−$7.22	ended
Will Hikaru Nakamura Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	91	13.8¢	0¢	$0	−$13	−$48	ended
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	80	8¢	0¢	$0	−$6.40	$0	ended
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 22 and 24 million views on day 2?	Yes	80	7.3¢	0¢	$0	−$5.83	−$3.35	ended
Will Alireza Firouzja Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	66	12.4¢	0¢	$0	−$8.15	−$8.82	ended
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 22.5 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	41	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$0.29	$0	ended
Will the announcers say "Nice Jab" or "Good Jab" 3+ times during Makhachev vs Machado Garry?	Yes	40	3¢	0¢	$0	−$1.20	$0	ended
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4?	No	40	2.6¢	0¢	$0	−$1.05	−$0.05	ended
Will Lacy and Marlon have 100 or more Fortnite deaths during the marathon?	Yes	38	25.5¢	0¢	$0	−$9.63	+$6.06	ended
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 180 and 209 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	31	6.6¢	0¢	$0	−$2.05	−$0.57	49d 0h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 6?	Yes	30	3¢	0¢	$0	−$0.91	−$22	ended
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 150 and 179 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	28	10.2¢	0¢	$0	−$2.85	+$0.28	49d 0h
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1?	Yes	25	23.3¢	0¢	$0	−$5.88	+$16	ended
Will MrBeast's next video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 6?	Yes	24	2.9¢	0¢	$0	−$0.72	+$4.55	ended
Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Roblox Spelling Bee?	Speed	20	45¢	0¢	$0	−$9.00	−$0.25	ended
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	16	1.2¢	0¢	$0	−$0.19	−$0.01	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
5m ago	SELL Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	0.3¢	20	$0.06	82%	78	Sharp
11m ago	BUY No	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37 and 38.5 million views on day 3?	90.3¢	165	$149	82%	78	Sharp
12m ago	SELL Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 41.5 million views on day 3?	49¢	5	$2.45	82%	78	Sharp
14m ago	BUY Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 41.5 million views on day 3?	48.7¢	29	$14	82%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 41.5 and 43 million views on day 3?	15¢	5	$0.75	82%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 41.5 and 43 million views on day 3?	18¢	200	$36	82%	78	Sharp
1h ago	SELL Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 43 and 44.5 million views on day 3?	1.6¢	50	$0.79	82%	78	Sharp
1h ago	SELL Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?	20¢	20	$4.00	82%	78	Sharp
1h ago	SELL Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?	20.2¢	10	$2.02	82%	78	Sharp
1h ago	SELL Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 43 and 44.5 million views on day 3?	9¢	5	$0.45	82%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 43 and 44.5 million views on day 3?	1.6¢	161	$2.64	82%	78	Sharp
20h ago	BUY Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 31 million or more views on day 2?	93.3¢	77	$72	82%	78	Sharp
21h ago	BUY Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 31 million or more views on day 2?	90.6¢	60	$54	82%	78	Sharp
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1?	24.9¢	19	$4.74	82%	78	Sharp
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1?	34.7¢	24	$8.23	82%	78	Sharp
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	63.5¢	30	$19	82%	78	Sharp
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1?	27.1¢	30	$8.13	82%	78	Sharp
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1?	26.3¢	25	$6.67	82%	78	Sharp
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	26¢	57	$15	82%	78	Sharp
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	36¢	5	$1.85	82%	78	Sharp