Traders/Rank #3,628

ElonSimp

0xfbc…bb5d

Politics

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$1,780vol $4.45M

PnL 30d+$4,484gains $14.0k · losses $15.8k

PnL 7d+$1,725win rate 7d 49.3%

Win rate57.2%adj 56.9% · 30d 52.5%

Open value$12.5kcash n/a

Positions458 / 958open / all-time

Max drawdown−18.7%of equity peak

Account age5molast trade 6m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$22.3kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

50/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 57.2% · shrunk toward 50%42

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? · Yesclosed+$7,797 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesopen+$6,578 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? · Yesclosed+$3,670 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesopen+$2,815 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,145

Worst markets

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yesclosed−$3,343 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Noclosed−$2,248 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yesclosed−$2,146 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? · Yesopen−$2,075 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? · Yesopen−$1,960

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	12.8k	15.1¢	62.6¢	$8,014	+$6,076	+$503	ended
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	12.3k	12.7¢	29.9¢	$3,657	+$2,105	+$710	ended
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	11.4k	8.7¢	6.2¢	$709	−$284	+$585	ended
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	7,073	7¢	2¢	$138	−$359	+$420	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	9,875	18.7¢	0¢	$0	−$1,848	−$112	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	1,084	1¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$1,162	ended
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	8,427	7.3¢	0¢	$0	−$613	−$605	ended
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	6,681	18.3¢	0¢	$0	−$1,224	−$850	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	5,281	3.3¢	0¢	$0	−$176	+$53	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	4,830	3¢	0¢	$0	−$147	−$15	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	4,530	1.7¢	0¢	$0	−$75	−$6.11	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	4,292	1.9¢	0¢	$0	−$81	+$16	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	3,916	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.05	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	3,724	7.1¢	0¢	$0	−$264	−$80	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	3,519	23¢	0¢	$0	−$808	+$520	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3,203	14.4¢	0¢	$0	−$462	−$224	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	3,111	1.8¢	0¢	$0	−$57	+$21	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	3,104	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$8.60	−$40	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	3,080	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$6.98	+$3.97	ended
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	3,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.15	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	2,956	2.7¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$33	ended
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	Yes	2,851	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$16	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	2,840	23.1¢	0¢	$0	−$656	−$388	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,781	4.5¢	0¢	$0	−$125	−$248	ended
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	2,732	28.7¢	0¢	$0	−$785	+$652	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	2,708	11.5¢	0¢	$0	−$312	−$184	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	2,696	26.3¢	0¢	$0	−$708	−$171	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	2,683	0.9¢	0¢	$0	−$24	−$14	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,683	42.2¢	0¢	$0	−$1,133	+$631	ended
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	2,589	8.6¢	0¢	$0	−$222	+$78	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,521	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$3.16	−$1.56	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,456	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$7.77	−$6.24	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	2,349	4.7¢	0¢	$0	−$111	−$434	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	2,340	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$32	−$0.70	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,314	0.9¢	0¢	$0	−$21	−$36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	2,301	0.5¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$0.55	ended
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,300	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	2,278	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$7.00	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	2,206	12¢	0¢	$0	−$264	−$488	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	2,186	6¢	0¢	$0	−$132	−$411	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	2,129	2.6¢	0¢	$0	−$55	−$62	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	Yes	2,114	19¢	0¢	$0	−$401	+$130	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	2,054	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$8.58	−$46	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	2,041	2.6¢	0¢	$0	−$54	−$43	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	2,017	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.36	−$11	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	2,012	3.3¢	0¢	$0	−$67	−$66	ended
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	2,000	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$4.00	−$0.20	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	1,994	7.1¢	0¢	$0	−$142	−$44	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	1,980	17.9¢	0¢	$0	−$354	−$247	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	1,943	0.6¢	0¢	$0	−$13	−$56	ended
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	1,938	0.9¢	0¢	$0	−$18	−$8.98	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	1,731	4¢	0¢	$0	−$70	−$228	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	1,705	1.8¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$118	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	1,677	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$65	−$62	ended
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	1,677	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$64	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	1,677	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$64	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	1,677	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$64	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	1,677	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$64	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	1,677	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$64	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	1,677	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$64	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	1,677	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$64	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	1,677	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$64	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	1,677	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$64	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	1,677	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$64	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	1,668	25.1¢	0¢	$0	−$419	+$346	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	Yes	1,576	1¢	0¢	$0	−$16	+$1.02	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	1,571	4.5¢	0¢	$0	−$71	−$41	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	1,566	14.5¢	0¢	$0	−$226	+$283	ended
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	1,534	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$12	+$8.44	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,520	4.4¢	0¢	$0	−$68	−$126	ended
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	Yes	1,511	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$5.74	−$1.53	ended
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.10	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	1,495	19.1¢	0¢	$0	−$286	−$582	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	1,476	2.7¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$20	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	1,378	13.1¢	0¢	$0	−$181	+$41	ended
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	1,357	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$4.19	−$0.92	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	Yes	1,335	2.6¢	0¢	$0	−$34	−$4.83	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	1,331	4.8¢	0¢	$0	−$64	−$56	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	1,299	23.2¢	0¢	$0	−$302	+$147	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	Yes	1,297	9.3¢	0¢	$0	−$120	−$36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	1,277	45.1¢	0¢	$0	−$575	−$64	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	1,262	2.2¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$5.57	ended
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	1,240	1.6¢	0¢	$0	−$19	−$17	ended
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	1,224	1.3¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$247	ended
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	1,217	36.5¢	0¢	$0	−$444	−$123	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
6m ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4.3¢	214	$9.20	57%	50
7m ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3.9¢	155	$6.05	57%	50
9m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	29.7¢	5	$1.49	57%	50
9m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	29.7¢	5	$1.49	57%	50
10m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	29.7¢	5	$1.49	57%	50
10m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	6.2¢	16	$0.99	57%	50
12m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	29.4¢	10	$2.94	57%	50
13m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	29.4¢	17	$5.00	57%	50
13m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	29.3¢	29	$8.50	57%	50
13m ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2.1¢	95	$2.00	57%	50
13m ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	6.2¢	42	$2.60	57%	50
15m ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1.9¢	95	$1.81	57%	50
15m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	65.1¢	9	$5.86	57%	50
15m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	64.9¢	12	$7.79	57%	50
16m ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2¢	120	$2.40	57%	50
17m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	64.4¢	9	$5.80	57%	50
17m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	64.2¢	40	$26	57%	50
19m ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2.1¢	137	$2.88	57%	50
22m ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	28¢	15	$4.20	57%	50
22m ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	6¢	161	$9.66	57%	50