sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,234

0xfbd…4027

0xfbd…4027
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+PoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$161kvol $19.6M
PnL 30d−$124kgains $3,603 · losses $1,266
PnL 7d−$32.0kwin rate 7d 39.6%
Win rate39.6%adj 40.0% · 30d 39.6%
Open value$222cash n/a
Positions1,042 / 74,279open / all-time
Max drawdown−58.7%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 9m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$505kbelow peak −$344kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 39.6% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity41

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes5910¢12.5¢$7.35+$1.45$0
Will Ayyoub Bouaddi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes172.9¢41.5¢$7.05+$6.57$0
Will Konstantinos Karetsas win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes172.9¢38¢$6.46+$5.97$0
Will Finn Jeltsch win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes172.9¢36.5¢$6.21+$5.72$0
Will Jon Martin win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes172.9¢33.5¢$5.70+$5.21$0
Will Joane Gadou win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes172.9¢33.5¢$5.70+$5.21$0
Will Xavi Espart win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes172.9¢33.5¢$5.70+$5.21$0
Will Charalampos Kostoulas win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes172.9¢33¢$5.61+$5.12$0
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes5910¢8.4¢$4.96−$0.94$0
Will Team C win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes6,5384.2¢0.1¢$3.27−$269$0
Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes232.9¢11¢$2.53+$1.85$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 9?Yes109.1¢23.5¢$2.35+$1.44$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on October 9?Yes109.1¢22¢$2.20+$1.29$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 9?Yes109.1¢21.1¢$2.10+$1.20$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 9?Yes109.1¢21¢$2.10+$1.19$0
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes232.9¢8.5¢$1.96+$1.28$0
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes3,6447.7¢0.1¢$1.82−$278$0
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes3,6447.7¢0.1¢$1.82−$278$0
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3,6411.1¢0.1¢$1.82−$39$0
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3,6411.1¢0.1¢$1.82−$39+$949
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3,6411.1¢0.1¢$1.82−$39$0
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3,6411.1¢0.1¢$1.82−$39+$954
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3,6411.1¢0.1¢$1.82−$39$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 9?Yes109.1¢17.5¢$1.75+$0.85$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 9?Yes109.1¢17.5¢$1.75+$0.85$0
Will Jorrel Hato win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes172.9¢10.1¢$1.72+$1.23$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on October 10?Yes59.1¢33.5¢$1.68+$1.22$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 10?Yes59.1¢33.5¢$1.68+$1.22$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 10?Yes59.1¢33.5¢$1.68+$1.22$0
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes3,3127.7¢0.1¢$1.66−$253$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 10?Yes59.1¢33¢$1.65+$1.20$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 10?Yes59.1¢32.5¢$1.63+$1.17$0
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes3,2271.4¢0.1¢$1.61−$42$0
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes3,2271.4¢0.1¢$1.61−$42$0
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes3,2271.4¢0.1¢$1.61−$42$0
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes3,2271.4¢0.1¢$1.61−$42$0
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes3,2271.4¢0.1¢$1.61−$42$0
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes3,2271.4¢0.1¢$1.61−$42$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 10?Yes59.1¢32¢$1.60+$1.15$0
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes5910¢2.6¢$1.53−$4.37$0
Will Yan Diomande win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes172.9¢9¢$1.53+$1.04$0
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3,0173.1¢0.1¢$1.51−$93$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 9?Yes109.1¢15¢$1.50+$0.59$0
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,9973.1¢0.1¢$1.50−$92$0
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,9973.1¢0.1¢$1.50−$92$0
Will Said El Mala win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes172.9¢8.7¢$1.48+$0.99$0
Will Victor Froholdt win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes172.9¢8.6¢$1.46+$0.98$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 10?Yes59.1¢29¢$1.45+$1.00$0
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,8873.1¢0.1¢$1.44−$89$0
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,8873.1¢0.1¢$1.44−$89$0
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,8393.1¢0.1¢$1.42−$87$0
Will Marc Bernal win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes172.9¢8.3¢$1.40+$0.92$0
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,7293.1¢0.1¢$1.36−$84$0
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,7293.1¢0.1¢$1.36−$84$0
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,6893.1¢0.1¢$1.34−$83$0
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,6833.1¢0.1¢$1.34−$82$0
Will Luka Vuskovic win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes172.9¢7.8¢$1.32+$0.83$0
Will Ola Brynhildsen score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes100.8¢13.2¢$1.31+$1.23$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 10?Yes59.1¢26¢$1.30+$0.85$0
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,4843.1¢0.1¢$1.24−$76$0
Will Chase Meidroth win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Yes272.4¢4.5¢$1.22+$0.57$0
Will Tanner Bibee win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Yes272.4¢4.5¢$1.22+$0.57$0
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Yes272.4¢4.5¢$1.22+$0.57$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 10?Yes59.1¢24¢$1.20+$0.75$0
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2,3801.4¢0.1¢$1.19−$31$0
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2,3801.4¢0.1¢$1.19−$31$0
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2,3727.7¢0.1¢$1.19−$181$0
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 9?Yes109.1¢11.5¢$1.15+$0.24$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or higher on October 10?Yes59.1¢23¢$1.15+$0.70$0
Will Auxerre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes2,0874.5¢0.1¢$1.04−$94$0
Will Brest win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes2,0874.5¢0.1¢$1.04−$94−$3.48
Will Toulouse win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes2,0874.5¢0.1¢$1.04−$94$0
Will Le Havre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes2,0874.5¢0.1¢$1.04−$94$0
Will Le Mans win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes2,0474.5¢0.1¢$1.02−$92−$3.48
Will Angers win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes2,0474.5¢0.1¢$1.02−$92$0
Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes2,0474.5¢0.1¢$1.02−$92$0
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,0403.1¢0.1¢$1.02−$63$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 10?Yes149.1¢7¢$0.98−$0.29$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 10?Yes59.1¢19.5¢$0.97+$0.52$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 9?Yes109.1¢9.5¢$0.95+$0.04$0
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of November 2026?Yes511.1¢18.7¢$0.93+$0.38$0
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes1,8167.7¢0.1¢$0.91−$139$0
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,8043.1¢0.1¢$0.90−$55$0
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,8043.1¢0.1¢$0.90−$55+$95
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $600B and $700B at the end of November 2026?Yes2511.1¢3.5¢$0.88−$1.90$0
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,6981.1¢0.1¢$0.85−$18$0
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,6943.1¢0.1¢$0.85−$52$0
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 9?Yes109.1¢8¢$0.80−$0.11$0
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 9?Yes109.1¢8¢$0.80−$0.11$0
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes1,5681.4¢0.1¢$0.78−$20−$10
Will Rayan win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes172.9¢4.3¢$0.73+$0.25$0
Will Málaga win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1,4214.2¢0.1¢$0.71−$58$0
Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1,4214.2¢0.1¢$0.71−$58$0
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,3662.8¢0.1¢$0.68−$37$0
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,3662.8¢0.1¢$0.68−$37$0
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,3662.8¢0.1¢$0.68−$37$0
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,3662.8¢0.1¢$0.68−$37$0
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,3662.8¢0.1¢$0.68−$37$0
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 10?Yes59.1¢13.5¢$0.68+$0.22$0
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 10?Yes59.1¢11¢$0.55+$0.10$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 9?99.9¢7$6.9940%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 9?99.9¢7$6.9940%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 9?45.6¢7$3.1940%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 9?99.8¢7$6.9940%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 9?72¢7$5.0440%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 9?48¢5$2.4040%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 9?99.9¢5$5.0040%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 9?99.8¢5$4.9940%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 9?99.9¢5$5.0040%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 9?49¢5$2.4540%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 9?99.9¢5$5.0040%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 9?49¢5$2.4540%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 9?99.8¢5$4.9940%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 9?99.9¢5$5.0040%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 9?48¢5$2.4540%52
BUY NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election?99.1¢20$2040%52
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 25%-30%?90.3¢20$1840%52
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 5%-10%?90.1¢20$1840%52
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 0%-5%?97.7¢20$2040%52
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 30% or more?99.1¢20$2040%52