PnL all-time−$262kvol $5.54M
PnL 30d+$92.2kgains $53.7k · losses $202k
PnL 7d+$42.1kwin rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate71.9%adj 63.5% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$256kcash n/a
Positions5 / 37open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 6h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$167kbelow peak −$234kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.9% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$91.3kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesopen+$73.4kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$52.0kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$31.2kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · Noclosed+$11.7k
Worst markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$202kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$100kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Noopen−$98.8kWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · Yesopen−$56.8kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$8,707
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 291k | 59.3¢ | 84.5¢ | $246k | +$73.4k | $0 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 10.8k | 89¢ | 93.5¢ | $10.1k | +$488 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 297k | 33.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$98.8k | $0 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 90.6k | 61.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$55.7k | −$1,045 | |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 259 | 81.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$211 | −$5,875 |
Recent trades
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