| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? | No | 244 | 48¢ | 45.5¢ | $111 | −$6.10 | +$0.17 | |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 149 | 75¢ | 73.5¢ | $110 | −$2.23 | −$75 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 235 | 48.8¢ | 46.4¢ | $109 | −$5.76 | +$2,319 | |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | No | 100 | 70¢ | 54.5¢ | $55 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m? | No | 76 | 76¢ | 64.5¢ | $49 | −$8.80 | +$0.87 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 175 | 10¢ | 24.5¢ | $43 | +$25 | +$29 | |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 149 | 25¢ | 26.5¢ | $39 | +$2.23 | +$1,884 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 10? | No | 59 | 61¢ | 52.5¢ | $31 | −$5.01 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 10? | No | 37 | 84¢ | 79.5¢ | $29 | −$1.66 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms? | No | 89 | 30¢ | 29¢ | $26 | −$0.89 | −$0.36 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat? | No | 203 | 14¢ | 12.5¢ | $25 | −$3.04 | +$11 | |
| Will mada have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026? | No | 44 | 61¢ | 51.5¢ | $23 | −$4.16 | −$0.02 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10? | No | 24 | 86¢ | 83.5¢ | $20 | −$0.60 | −$0.04 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 662 | 20¢ | 2.9¢ | $19 | −$114 | −$155 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | 147 | 11.1¢ | 10.5¢ | $15 | −$0.90 | +$1.49 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 10? | No | 22 | 69¢ | 67.5¢ | $15 | −$0.33 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 105 | 10¢ | 12.9¢ | $13 | +$2.99 | +$36 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 43 | 39¢ | 30¢ | $13 | −$3.89 | −$1.13 | |
| Will three people dissent the January Fed decision? | Yes | 50 | 20¢ | 25.5¢ | $13 | +$2.75 | $0 | |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | No | 26 | 55¢ | 43¢ | $11 | −$3.12 | +$36 | |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | No | 48 | 22.7¢ | 20.5¢ | $9.87 | −$1.03 | +$66 | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 835 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | $8.77 | −$0.61 | +$191 | |
| Will Benin win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group F? | No | 12 | 78.3¢ | 66¢ | $8.02 | −$1.50 | −$2.94 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 240 | 10¢ | 2.9¢ | $6.96 | −$17 | −$23 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 662 | 20¢ | 1.1¢ | $6.95 | −$125 | −$118 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 240 | 10¢ | 2.6¢ | $6.12 | −$18 | −$22 | |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 24 | 16.7¢ | 24.5¢ | $5.89 | +$1.88 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 240 | 10¢ | 2.5¢ | $5.88 | −$18 | −$24 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 268 | 20¢ | 1.5¢ | $3.89 | −$50 | −$2.19 | |
| Will Renée Good be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Yes | 120 | 1.4¢ | 2.8¢ | $3.36 | +$1.65 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | No | 23 | 17¢ | 14¢ | $3.22 | −$0.69 | +$19 | |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2,033 | 1.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $3.05 | −$20 | −$22 | |
| Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 14¢ | $2.73 | +$2.27 | $0 | |
| Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Yes | 120 | 1.4¢ | 2.2¢ | $2.58 | +$0.87 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 91 | 14.3¢ | 2.7¢ | $2.41 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 84 | 2.9¢ | 2.7¢ | $2.23 | −$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,433 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.22 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,433 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.22 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,433 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.22 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,433 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.22 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,433 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.22 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,178 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.09 | −$45 | −$2.62 | |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 1,345 | 3.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $2.02 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 268 | 20¢ | 0.8¢ | $2.01 | −$52 | −$2.09 | |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 1,297 | 3.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.95 | −$48 | −$1.75 | |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 3,714 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.86 | −$40 | −$7.37 | |
| Will Alex Pretti be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Yes | 120 | 1.4¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.80 | +$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 1,094 | 3.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.64 | −$40 | −$8.92 | |
| Will Tajikistan win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? | Yes | 102 | 14.3¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.54 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 84 | 2.9¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.47 | −$0.93 | $0 | |
| Will Liverpool finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 7.4¢ | $1.44 | +$0.98 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 92 | 3.3¢ | 1.6¢ | $1.43 | −$1.65 | $0 | |
| Will Manchester City finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 7¢ | $1.36 | +$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 900 | 3.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.35 | −$33 | −$16 | |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2,663 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.33 | −$29 | −$18 | |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 1,249 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.25 | −$47 | −$3.60 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 25 | 7.7¢ | 4.9¢ | $1.21 | −$0.71 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | Yes | 44 | 33.3¢ | 2.6¢ | $1.13 | −$14 | −$50 | |
| Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 2,248 | 3.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.12 | −$74 | −$7.68 | |
| Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,163 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.08 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,163 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.08 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,163 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.08 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,163 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.08 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,163 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.08 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,163 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.08 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 237 | 1.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $1.07 | −$2.52 | −$1.53 | |
| Will Ante Budimir (Osasuna) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 237 | 1.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $1.07 | −$2.52 | −$0.16 | |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 24 | 16.7¢ | 4.4¢ | $1.06 | −$2.95 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 44 | 3.1¢ | 2.4¢ | $1.06 | −$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 44 | 3.1¢ | 2.4¢ | $1.06 | −$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,099 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.05 | −$56 | −$1.67 | |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2,033 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.02 | −$22 | −$24 | |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,882 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.94 | −$58 | $0 | |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,882 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.94 | −$58 | $0 | |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,882 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.94 | −$58 | $0 | |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,882 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.94 | −$58 | $0 | |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,774 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.89 | −$55 | −$3.25 | |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,756 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.88 | −$54 | −$3.79 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | Yes | 157 | 11.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.87 | −$17 | −$16 | |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,727 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.86 | −$53 | −$4.67 | |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,727 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.86 | −$53 | −$4.67 | |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,727 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.86 | −$53 | −$4.67 | |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,727 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.86 | −$53 | −$4.67 | |
| Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 14 | 2.4¢ | 6.2¢ | $0.83 | +$0.51 | $0 | |
| Will Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 237 | 1.5¢ | 0.4¢ | $0.83 | −$2.76 | −$1.25 | |
| Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1,638 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.82 | −$43 | −$14 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 10? | Yes | 24 | 9.1¢ | 3.5¢ | $0.82 | −$1.33 | $0 | |
| Will Nvidia have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | 3.8¢ | $0.79 | +$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 1,434 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.72 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 1,434 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.72 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 1,434 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.72 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 1,434 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.72 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 1,434 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.72 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 84 | 2.9¢ | 0.8¢ | $0.67 | −$1.73 | $0 | |
| Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 1,314 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.66 | −$22 | −$1.95 | |
| Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 1,314 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.66 | −$22 | −$1.95 | |
| Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 1,314 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.66 | −$22 | −$1.95 | |
| Will DeepSeek be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 17 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $0.65 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be less than 600,000? | Yes | 17 | 12.5¢ | 3.9¢ | $0.65 | −$1.45 | −$1.82 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | Yes | 215 | 6.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.64 | −$14 | −$21 | |