Traders/Rank #11,694

0x3BcCwgou83vSbjf3avwh3gF3a93cAgD2gG9

0xfc2…2ac0

<30d oldSport

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$13vol $5,224

PnL 30d−$99gains $139 · losses $28

PnL 7d+$9.02win rate 7d 0.0%

Win rate28.6%adj 44.4% · 30d 28.6%

Open value$1,141cash n/a

Positions57 / 65open / all-time

Max drawdown−8.9%of equity peak

Account age27dlast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$25below peak −$40Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

26/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale16

Adjusted win rateraw 28.6% · shrunk toward 50%11

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat? · Noclosed+$134 Will Portugal win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4? · Yesopen+$72 Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · Noopen+$35 Will Fernando Mendoza have 12.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Noopen+$9.47 Will Drake Maye have 424.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yesopen+$9.00

Worst markets

Will Norway win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4? · Yesopen−$64 Will Donyell Malen win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award? · Yesopen−$55 Will Spain win 2026-27 Nations League Group A3? · Noopen−$27 Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Yesopen−$20 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-02 House seat? · Noclosed−$19

Open positions · 52

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Portugal win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4?	Yes	188	58.4¢	96.8¢	$182	+$72	$0	48d 14h
Will Utah Hockey Club be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?	No	171	93¢	92.5¢	$158	−$0.85	$0	9mo
Will Donyell Malen win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Yes	186	56¢	26.5¢	$49	−$55	$0	7mo
Will Tampa Bay Lightning be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	No	50	86¢	87¢	$44	+$0.50	$0	9mo
Will Club América finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	No	53	88¢	78.5¢	$42	−$5.04	$0	2mo
Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	125	4¢	32.3¢	$40	+$35	$0	8mo
Will Chelsea finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	55	78¢	72¢	$40	−$3.32	$0	8mo
Will SC Paderborn qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League?	No	40	91¢	95.1¢	$38	+$1.62	$0	8mo
Will Fernando Mendoza have 12.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	45	62¢	83¢	$37	+$9.47	$0	3mo
Will Villarreal qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	46	78¢	77.5¢	$36	−$0.23	$0	8mo
Will Chelsea qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	47	72¢	70.5¢	$33	−$0.71	$0	11mo
Will Lille qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	40	79¢	74.5¢	$30	−$1.80	$0	8mo
Will DeVonta Smith have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	45	49¢	63.5¢	$28	+$6.50	$0	3mo
Will Drake Maye have 424.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	30	54¢	84¢	$25	+$9.00	$0	3mo
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	31	47¢	75.5¢	$23	+$8.83	$0	3mo
Will Fenerbahçe reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	Yes	93	30¢	24¢	$22	−$5.60	$0	4mo
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	141	9.9¢	15.6¢	$22	+$7.99	$0	3mo
Will California have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	52	53¢	36.5¢	$19	−$8.58	$0	2mo
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	20	87¢	87.5¢	$18	+$0.10	$0	8mo
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	No	20	78¢	83.5¢	$17	+$1.10	$0	3mo
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	23	63¢	63¢	$14	$0	$0	8mo
Will 1. FC Köln be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	No	20	73¢	72¢	$14	−$0.20	$0	9mo
Will Spain win 2026-27 Nations League Group A3?	No	85	43¢	16.5¢	$14	−$23	−$4.39	48d 14h
Will C.J. Stroud have 3,349.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	44	36¢	29¢	$13	−$3.11	$0	3mo
Will Miami FL have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	17	77¢	72¢	$12	−$0.85	$0	2mo
Will Dallas Goedert have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	18	31¢	67.5¢	$12	+$6.57	$0	3mo
Will Cameron Ward have 3,299.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	21	45¢	54¢	$12	+$1.93	$0	3mo
Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	18	62¢	61.5¢	$11	−$0.09	$0	8mo
Will Florida Panthers advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?	Yes	20	50¢	51.5¢	$10	+$0.30	$0	7mo
Will Denmark be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Yes	89	27¢	11¢	$9.77	−$14	$0	6mo
Will Syracuse have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	20	28¢	41.5¢	$8.30	+$2.70	$0	58d 14h
Will Omarion Hampton have 549.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	46	26¢	17¢	$7.84	−$4.15	$0	3mo
Will Joe Burrow have 35.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	20	35¢	38.5¢	$7.70	+$0.70	$0	3mo
Will Georgia Tech have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	20	56¢	36.5¢	$7.47	−$3.99	$0	58d 14h
Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	No	20	42¢	37¢	$7.40	−$1.00	$0	9mo
Will the Republican Party win the TX-29 House seat?	Yes	500	3¢	1.4¢	$6.75	−$8.25	$0	20d 14h
Will Jameson Williams have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	13	46¢	48¢	$6.29	+$0.26	$0	3mo
Will CF Monterrey finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	99	10¢	5.9¢	$5.79	−$4.11	$0	2mo
Will Washington Wizards advance to the Eastern Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	89	9¢	6.5¢	$5.77	−$2.22	$0	7mo
Will Valencia qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	42	19¢	12.5¢	$5.26	−$2.74	$0	8mo
Will VfB Stuttgart reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	20	16¢	25.5¢	$5.10	+$1.90	$0	5mo
Will Jordan Love have 3,049.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	40	25¢	12.5¢	$5.00	−$5.00	$0	3mo
Will RB Leipzig reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	8	75¢	62.5¢	$4.91	−$0.98	+$0.04	4mo
Will Colston Loveland have 599.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	20	52¢	23¢	$4.60	−$5.80	$0	3mo
Will Jonathan Taylor have 849.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	40	20¢	11.5¢	$4.58	−$3.42	$0	3mo
Will Aidan Hutchinson win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	47	18¢	8.5¢	$4.00	−$4.46	$0	4mo
Will the Republican Party win the NM-01 House seat?	Yes	200	3¢	1.9¢	$3.80	−$2.20	$0	20d 14h
Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 799.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	22	9¢	15¢	$3.30	+$1.32	$0	3mo
Will Jaylen Waddle have 1,074.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	20	39¢	14.5¢	$2.90	−$4.90	$0	3mo
Will Cruz Azul finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	22	11¢	11.5¢	$2.51	+$0.11	$0	2mo
Will Tennessee have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	20	22¢	12¢	$2.40	−$2.00	$0	2mo
Will Arsenal finish as runner-up in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	22	14¢	10¢	$2.23	−$0.89	$0	8mo

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	0.2¢	30	$0.06	29%	26
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	3¢	0	$0.01	29%	26
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	4.4¢	220	$9.61	29%	26
21d ago	SELL Yes	Will Arsenal finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	84¢	177	$148	29%	26
22d ago	SELL No	Will Spain win 2026-27 Nations League Group A3?	42¢	198	$83	29%	26
24d ago	BUY Yes	Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	47¢	31	$15	29%	26
24d ago	BUY Yes	Will Drake Maye have 424.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	54¢	30	$16	29%	26
26d ago	BUY Yes	Will Portugal win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4?	58.4¢	188	$110	29%	26
26d ago	BUY No	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-02 House seat?	99.3¢	160	$159	29%	26