| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 9,216 | 83.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $8,157 | +$461 | +$5,390 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 6,000 | 92.3¢ | 93.5¢ | $5,610 | +$70 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 7,000 | 72.8¢ | 74.5¢ | $5,215 | +$122 | $0 | |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 4,987 | 86.2¢ | 83¢ | $4,139 | −$158 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,899 | 47¢ | 52.1¢ | $3,073 | +$299 | $0 | |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 3,545 | 84.2¢ | 86.5¢ | $3,067 | +$83 | $0 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 3,236 | 82.6¢ | 86.5¢ | $2,799 | +$127 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 11.1k | 16.7¢ | 15.5¢ | $1,724 | −$129 | −$260 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,660 | 78¢ | 82.5¢ | $1,370 | +$75 | +$210 | |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 1,300 | 86.8¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,177 | +$49 | +$68 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 2,118 | 33.5¢ | 37¢ | $784 | +$75 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 728 | 56.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $681 | +$269 | −$463 | |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 6,000 | 19¢ | 8.5¢ | $510 | −$630 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 480 | 72¢ | 82.5¢ | $396 | +$50 | +$5,649 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 24.1k | 6.7¢ | 1.3¢ | $301 | −$1,324 | $0 | |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | 277 | 80.7¢ | 87.5¢ | $242 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 3,000 | 13¢ | 7.5¢ | $225 | −$165 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | No | 583 | 28.9¢ | 31¢ | $181 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 200 | 50¢ | 89.5¢ | $179 | +$79 | $0 | |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 1,379 | 10¢ | 11¢ | $152 | +$14 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 300 | 34¢ | 33.5¢ | $101 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 99 | 56.4¢ | 97¢ | $96 | +$40 | +$764 | |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 220 | 9¢ | 12.5¢ | $27 | +$7.69 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 161 | 63.6¢ | 12.6¢ | $20 | −$82 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 21 | 60¢ | 96.7¢ | $20 | +$7.59 | +$166 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 198 | 59.9¢ | 6¢ | $12 | −$107 | −$7.39 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 113 | 23.1¢ | 7.5¢ | $8.48 | −$18 | −$254 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 12 | 20¢ | 15.5¢ | $1.91 | −$0.55 | +$486 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | Yes | 112k | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,806 | +$452 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 27, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 111k | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,327 | +$430 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 28, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 103k | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,258 | +$453 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 102k | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,165 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 102k | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$804 | −$894 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 101k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$388 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 100k | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,602 | +$523 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 97.6k | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,522 | +$582 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 96.9k | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,833 | +$733 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 92.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$208 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 11, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 90.8k | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$805 | +$340 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 17, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 89.3k | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$781 | +$332 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 88.1k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$79 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 87.9k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$225 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? | Yes | 87.3k | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,735 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | Yes | 87.2k | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,349 | −$151 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | Yes | 81.8k | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,806 | −$1,747 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$746 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Yes | 81.1k | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,426 | −$2.39 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 79.1k | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,434 | +$795 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 77.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$1,046 | |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 76.5k | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,572 | +$16.6k | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 30, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 76.5k | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$737 | +$370 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 76.3k | 9.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,439 | −$462 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 76.2k | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$935 | +$470 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | 75.5k | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,072 | −$7,882 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | Yes | 75.3k | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,431 | +$991 | |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | No | 74.8k | 71.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53.3k | +$138 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 18, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 74.2k | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$775 | +$402 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 72.1k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$1,074 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | No | 71.9k | 28.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20.8k | +$5,729 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | Yes | 71.3k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,189 | −$203 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 26, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 71.3k | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$801 | +$432 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 15, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 70.1k | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$722 | +$398 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 69.7k | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,868 | +$953 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 69.4k | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$852 | +$471 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 69.2k | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$747 | +$398 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 25, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 68.5k | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$825 | +$463 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 23, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 67.5k | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$825 | +$470 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 29, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 67.5k | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$816 | +$464 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | No | 65.6k | 15.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.4k | +$868 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 65.2k | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,283 | +$839 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 16, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 65.1k | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$827 | +$489 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 24, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 64.5k | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$835 | +$498 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 31, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 63.4k | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$866 | +$525 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 62.0k | 23.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14.5k | +$3,434 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 60.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$821 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 60.1k | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$491 | +$433 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 58.4k | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,919 | −$1,780 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Yes | 58.4k | 8.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,114 | −$973 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 9, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 57.9k | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$888 | +$586 | |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | Yes | 57.8k | 9.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,636 | −$3,295 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 10, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 57.8k | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$799 | +$417 | |
| Iran leadership change by July 31? | Yes | 56.9k | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,782 | $0 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 50.6k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | +$3,330 | |
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? | Yes | 50.4k | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,178 | −$100 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th? | Yes | 49.7k | 7.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,928 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | Yes | 47.3k | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,507 | +$23.4k | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 47.0k | 41.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19.7k | −$5,705 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 46.4k | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$844 | +$736 | |