sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,055

Roflan-ludoman

0xfcf…a469@Roflan_ludoman
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$193kvol $30.7M
PnL 30d+$2,165gains $321 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$692win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate53.3%adj 53.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$120kcash n/a
Positions121 / 1,069open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.8%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$208kbelow peak −$194Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 53.3% · shrunk toward 50%33
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No50.0k50¢80.2¢$40.1k+$15.1k−$31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No19.9k76¢84.5¢$16.9k+$1,698−$690
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No11.9k54.3¢94.5¢$11.3k+$4,801+$523
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes12.4k54.5¢87.7¢$10.9k+$4,111+$2,596
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No11.0k86.4¢96.7¢$10.6k+$1,136$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes50.0k50¢19.9¢$9,925−$15.1k$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No10.0k96.2¢98.8¢$9,875+$255+$6.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3,15337.7¢85.9¢$2,707+$1,516$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No2,00086¢96.5¢$1,929+$209$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No9,54638.5¢17¢$1,623−$2,051$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No1,68561.6¢96.2¢$1,621+$583$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes9,23338.6¢10.5¢$970−$2,590−$1,557
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No87586¢92.5¢$809+$57$0
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes4,83840.7¢8.5¢$411−$1,558+$157
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes1,05230¢6.5¢$68−$247+$81
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No7987.6¢74.5¢$59−$10−$1,851
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No792¢96.2¢$6.86+$0.30−$1,005
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?No1650¢42¢$6.65−$1.27+$105
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes20032¢3.1¢$6.20−$58$0
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes20016¢2.6¢$5.20−$27$0
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?No40.5k58.2¢0¢$0−$23.6k−$14.4k
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No32.4k49.9¢0¢$0−$16.2k+$513
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?No26.3k24.9¢0¢$0−$6,554$0
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No21.6k53.6¢0¢$0−$11.6k−$5,712
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No20.1k76.3¢0¢$0−$15.4k−$12.3k
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes19.9k10.5¢0¢$0−$2,089+$566
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes17.7k5.5¢0¢$0−$978+$13.3k
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes16.5k5.1¢0¢$0−$837+$15.1k
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes14.1k12.1¢0¢$0−$1,709+$13.7k
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes14.0k35.3¢0¢$0−$4,954−$191
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No11.9k8.5¢0¢$0−$1,014+$7,385
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No11.2k68.8¢0¢$0−$7,724−$237
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?No10.3k35.7¢0¢$0−$3,693+$1,243
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No9,64117.2¢0¢$0−$1,654+$6,626
Will Trump visit China by May 31?No9,51616.3¢0¢$0−$1,552+$3,014
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes9,4248.2¢0¢$0−$768+$230
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No9,34436.8¢0¢$0−$3,439+$14.5k
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No9,33419.6¢0¢$0−$1,830+$1,503
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?No8,89452.7¢0¢$0−$4,690−$1,527
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes7,9723.4¢0¢$0−$271$0
Nothing Ever Happens: JulySomething7,09318.3¢0¢$0−$1,295$0
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?No6,42571.2¢0¢$0−$4,577−$18.9k
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?Yes6,3750¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?Yes6,3750¢0¢$0$0$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes6,36452.1¢0¢$0−$3,313$0
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?No5,53159.1¢0¢$0−$3,271−$1,339
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?No5,43526.3¢0¢$0−$1,430−$17.5k
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No5,00023¢0¢$0−$1,150$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No4,50730.1¢0¢$0−$1,359+$1,540
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No4,19321.9¢0¢$0−$918+$928
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes3,9306.5¢0¢$0−$257+$29.9k
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes3,61883.7¢0¢$0−$3,030$0
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid3,45065.9¢0¢$0−$2,274+$52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes3,2010.6¢0¢$0−$19+$5,218
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No3,00067¢0¢$0−$2,010$0
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid3,00047.2¢0¢$0−$1,417$0
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No3,00085¢0¢$0−$2,550$0
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?No3,00068¢0¢$0−$2,040$0
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes2,9715.1¢0¢$0−$152+$8,458
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes2,46175.4¢0¢$0−$1,855−$7,680
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes2,2768¢0¢$0−$181+$1,127
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora2,15822.3¢0¢$0−$482−$35
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports2,12538.8¢0¢$0−$823+$34
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes2,00039¢0¢$0−$780$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No1,97740¢0¢$0−$791−$1,701
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTundra Esports1,95345.9¢0¢$0−$896+$200
Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes1,77911¢0¢$0−$196$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Yes1,68740.6¢0¢$0−$685$0
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid1,63466.6¢0¢$0−$1,088$0
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague PlayoffsAurora1,54015¢0¢$0−$231+$9.29
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerAurora1,53845.8¢0¢$0−$704+$9.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes1,50041¢0¢$0−$615$0
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes1,47560.3¢0¢$0−$890−$12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes1,32652¢0¢$0−$690$0
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit1,31050.9¢0¢$0−$668$0
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Aurora1,00081.2¢0¢$0−$812−$18
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes1,0000.4¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere95143.9¢0¢$0−$418$0
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes87633.8¢0¢$0−$296+$60
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2PARIVISION84335.6¢0¢$0−$300−$474
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes7831.2¢0¢$0−$9.39$0
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageMOUZ72554¢0¢$0−$392$0
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?Yes70339.5¢0¢$0−$278$0
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ68444¢0¢$0−$301$0
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ50040¢0¢$0−$200$0
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming48737.6¢0¢$0−$183$0
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid45552.2¢0¢$0−$237−$12
Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Yes3989¢0¢$0−$36$0
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming35332¢0¢$0−$113+$120
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes35229.9¢0¢$0−$105+$4,413
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Falcons33621.4¢0¢$0−$72$0
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTundra Esports33050.8¢0¢$0−$168−$12
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No31669¢0¢$0−$218$0
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine30822.8¢0¢$0−$70$0
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid30043¢0¢$0−$129$0
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports26565¢0¢$0−$172−$168
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?Yes2620¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?Yes2620¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?Yes2620¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?Yes2620¢0¢$0$0$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoNothing Ever Happens: 202628.2¢748$21153%56
BUY NoNothing Ever Happens: 202628¢17$4.8053%56
BUY NoNothing Ever Happens: 202628¢214$6053%56
BUY NoNothing Ever Happens: 202627.2¢321$8853%56
BUY SomethingNothing Ever Happens: July39.9¢336$13453%56
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?79¢500$39553%56
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?83¢460$38253%56
BUY SomethingNothing Ever Happens: July19.3¢1,095$21253%56
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?85¢110$9453%56
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?85¢400$34053%56
BUY SomethingNothing Ever Happens: July17.3¢443$7653%56
BUY SomethingNothing Ever Happens: July17.3¢611$10553%56
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?85¢550$46853%56
BUY SomethingNothing Ever Happens: July17.2¢555$9653%56
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?85¢500$42553%56
BUY SomethingNothing Ever Happens: July17.2¢556$9653%56
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?85¢500$42553%56
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?85¢12$1053%56
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?84¢36$3053%56
BUY SomethingNothing Ever Happens: July17¢35$5.9353%56