sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Utoya

0xfd0…d918
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6,685vol $54.6k
PnL 30d+$1,142gains $704 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$945win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate93.5%adj 76.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$13.5kcash n/a
Positions17 / 48open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 22h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$7,835below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 93.5% · shrunk toward 50%91
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable56
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$4,015Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Noclosed+$470Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Noclosed+$380Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Noopen+$308Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary? · Noclosed+$301

Worst markets

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? · Yesclosed−$137Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections? · Noclosed−$32Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Noopen−$14Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Noopen−$7.50

Open positions · 17

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Yes2,80091.9¢95.6¢$2,677+$105$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No3,00075.2¢85.5¢$2,565+$308$0
NATO article 5 before 2027?No1,50085.7¢94.7¢$1,420+$135+$100
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No1,78566¢72¢$1,285+$107$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No1,20086.8¢96.2¢$1,154+$112$0
Will Les Républicains have the most seats after the French Senate Election?Yes1,00091.4¢100¢$1,000+$85+$5.77
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No69382.6¢92¢$638+$65$0
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No59680.1¢89.5¢$533+$56$0
Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No50080.8¢100¢$500+$96$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No50085¢83.5¢$418−$7.50$0
Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No40079.9¢100¢$400+$80$0
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No42292.1¢94¢$396+$8.12$0
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No29873.8¢68.5¢$204−$16+$2.08
Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No13392.1¢93.1¢$124+$1.33+$2.11
Macron out by December 31, 2026?No10090¢95.9¢$96+$5.85+$9.39
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?No9075¢97.5¢$88+$20+$1.80
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?No4175¢76.5¢$31+$0.61$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?71.7¢200$14394%58
BUY NoWill Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?75¢500$37594%58
BUY NoWill Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?86¢30$2694%58
BUY NoWill Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?85.8¢130$11294%58
BUY NoWill Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?87¢50$4494%58
BUY NoWill Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?87¢158$13794%58
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?85¢500$42594%58
BUY NoWill Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?90¢101$9194%58
BUY NoWill SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?81¢142$11594%58
SELL NoWill Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?94.1¢116$10994%58
BUY NoWill SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?79¢80$6394%58
BUY YesWill the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?80¢5$4.3594%58
BUY YesWill the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?80.3¢63$5194%58
SELL YesWill Les Républicains have the most seats after the French Senate Election?96.9¢114$11194%58
SELL NoWill Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?93.3¢20$1994%58
SELL NoWill Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?93.1¢45$4294%58
BUY NoWill SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?81.8¢168$13894%58
BUY NoWill SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?80¢80$6494%58
SELL NoWill Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?75.4¢100$7594%58
SELL NoWill Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?94.2¢79$7494%58