| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | No | 4,137 | 97.7¢ | 98.9¢ | $4,089 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | No | 722 | 91.8¢ | 96.7¢ | $698 | +$35 | −$1.68 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | Yes | 558 | 55.5¢ | 96.2¢ | $537 | +$227 | $0 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? | No | 405 | 72.9¢ | 86¢ | $348 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | No | 558 | 29.2¢ | 56¢ | $312 | +$150 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 344 | 60.5¢ | 79¢ | $271 | +$63 | $0 | |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 310 | 75.3¢ | 83¢ | $257 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 401 | 49.3¢ | 63.5¢ | $255 | +$57 | −$0.42 | |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | 269 | 93.9¢ | 93¢ | $250 | −$2.45 | $0 | |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 254 | 97.1¢ | 98.2¢ | $249 | +$2.64 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 270 | 57.1¢ | 83.5¢ | $225 | +$71 | +$0.09 | |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | 269 | 84.6¢ | 81.1¢ | $218 | −$9.50 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | 269 | 78.9¢ | 78.4¢ | $211 | −$1.54 | $0 | |
| Will SDA win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | No | 202 | 90.7¢ | 99¢ | $200 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | 269 | 72¢ | 73.1¢ | $197 | +$2.90 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 279 | 63.7¢ | 62.5¢ | $174 | −$3.45 | $0 | |
| Will Como finish top 8 in UCL league phase? | No | 200 | 81¢ | 80¢ | $160 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | 164 | 96.5¢ | 94.2¢ | $155 | −$3.79 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? | No | 160 | 95.6¢ | 96.2¢ | $154 | +$0.99 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | Yes | 172 | 58.9¢ | 79¢ | $136 | +$35 | −$2.91 | |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | Yes | 344 | 30.2¢ | 34¢ | $117 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | No | 118 | 78.4¢ | 96.5¢ | $114 | +$21 | −$3.95 | |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 149 | 76.3¢ | 72.5¢ | $108 | −$5.62 | −$0.38 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | No | 135 | 50.5¢ | 68¢ | $92 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 135 | 42.5¢ | 64.5¢ | $87 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 1%? | No | 90 | 90¢ | 96.1¢ | $86 | +$5.47 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | No | 88 | 93¢ | 92.6¢ | $82 | −$0.44 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election? | No | 79 | 95.8¢ | 99.9¢ | $79 | +$3.17 | $0 | |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? | Yes | 310 | 15.4¢ | 23¢ | $71 | +$24 | −$0.41 | |
| Will the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | Yes | 73 | 21.1¢ | 83.6¢ | $61 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Will SDA win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | No | 61 | 99.1¢ | 98.8¢ | $60 | −$0.16 | $0 | |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary? | No | 63 | 94.1¢ | 95¢ | $60 | +$0.54 | $0 | |
| Will Fulham finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | No | 60 | 80.3¢ | 98.4¢ | $59 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 1%? | No | 61 | 90.1¢ | 97.3¢ | $59 | +$4.34 | $0 | |
| Will Lorena finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | No | 60 | 86.4¢ | 95.7¢ | $57 | +$5.58 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 406 | 11.6¢ | 12.4¢ | $50 | +$3.13 | −$0.29 | |
| Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | No | 65 | 48.3¢ | 74¢ | $48 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Alexia Putellas finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 46 | 94.7¢ | 98.2¢ | $46 | +$1.59 | $0 | |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | No | 270 | 34¢ | 16¢ | $43 | −$49 | $0 | |
| Will Como finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase? | No | 200 | 13¢ | 21.5¢ | $43 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | No | 43 | 97¢ | 96.2¢ | $41 | −$0.37 | $0 | |
| Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 1%? | No | 42 | 89¢ | 98.5¢ | $41 | +$3.95 | $0 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 405 | 17.7¢ | 9.5¢ | $38 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? | No | 49 | 61¢ | 79¢ | $38 | +$8.74 | $0 | |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 40 | 83.1¢ | 95¢ | $38 | +$4.75 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 406 | 9.3¢ | 9.2¢ | $37 | −$0.44 | −$0.40 | |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 172 | 32.4¢ | 21¢ | $36 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? | No | 39 | 88¢ | 91¢ | $36 | +$1.17 | $0 | |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | Yes | 149 | 16.3¢ | 21¢ | $31 | +$7.09 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 4,139 | 0.9¢ | 0.8¢ | $31 | −$4.15 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election? | No | 31 | 93.4¢ | 98.8¢ | $31 | +$1.69 | $0 | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | No | 722 | 6.9¢ | 4¢ | $29 | −$21 | −$4.71 | |
| Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 55 | 50¢ | 51.5¢ | $28 | +$0.82 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 45 | 55.2¢ | 58.5¢ | $26 | +$1.48 | $0 | |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 55 | 45.2¢ | 46.5¢ | $26 | +$0.72 | $0 | |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 47 | 70.4¢ | 46¢ | $22 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | No | 40 | 47.5¢ | 51¢ | $20 | +$1.40 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 45 | 38.8¢ | 44¢ | $20 | +$2.35 | $0 | |
| Will Manchester City finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | Yes | 40 | 37¢ | 46¢ | $18 | +$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 406 | 7.4¢ | 4.4¢ | $18 | −$12 | +$0.09 | |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? | No | 20 | 83¢ | 82.5¢ | $17 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Holland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026? | Yes | 89 | 1.1¢ | 18.2¢ | $16 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Pafos FC finish top 8 in UECL league phase? | No | 20 | 80¢ | 80.5¢ | $16 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 20 | 88¢ | 78¢ | $16 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 47 | 17.1¢ | 31.5¢ | $15 | +$6.79 | $0 | |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 20 | 63¢ | 72¢ | $14 | +$1.80 | $0 | |
| Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | Yes | 20 | 12¢ | 68¢ | $14 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 90 | 5.1¢ | 13.7¢ | $12 | +$7.74 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 406 | 2.3¢ | 2.9¢ | $12 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Getafe finish top 8 in UECL league phase? | No | 20 | 50¢ | 57.5¢ | $12 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 49 | 33¢ | 23.5¢ | $11 | −$4.61 | $0 | |
| Will Braga finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase? | No | 20 | 46¢ | 57¢ | $11 | +$2.20 | $0 | |
| Will Midtjylland finish top 8 in UECL league phase? | No | 20 | 54¢ | 54.5¢ | $11 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | Yes | 73 | 25¢ | 14.2¢ | $10 | −$7.83 | $0 | |
| Will Midtjylland finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase? | No | 20 | 33¢ | 51¢ | $10 | +$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 20 | 39¢ | 48¢ | $9.60 | +$1.80 | $0 | |
| Will Braga finish top 8 in UECL league phase? | No | 20 | 47¢ | 45.5¢ | $9.10 | −$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 42 | 6¢ | 21¢ | $8.75 | +$6.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 10 | 87¢ | 87¢ | $8.70 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Getafe finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase? | No | 20 | 43¢ | 42.5¢ | $8.50 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 10 | 82¢ | 83.5¢ | $8.35 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 36 | 16¢ | 23¢ | $8.28 | +$2.52 | $0 | |
| Will Pafos FC finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase? | No | 20 | 12¢ | 35.5¢ | $7.10 | +$4.70 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 160 | 3.4¢ | 4.2¢ | $6.73 | +$1.28 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026? | No | 7 | 88.8¢ | 98.1¢ | $6.64 | +$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? | No | 7 | 88.4¢ | 95.6¢ | $6.46 | +$0.48 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | No | 7 | 57¢ | 95.3¢ | $6.45 | +$2.59 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 36 | 10.6¢ | 17.5¢ | $6.29 | +$2.48 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 10 | 62¢ | 61.5¢ | $6.15 | −$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 12%-15%? | Yes | 36 | 18¢ | 16.5¢ | $5.95 | −$0.54 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 424 | 3.5¢ | 1.3¢ | $5.51 | −$9.17 | −$0.01 | |
| Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 61 | 1.7¢ | 8.6¢ | $5.29 | +$4.28 | $0 | |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 40 | 13.1¢ | 12.3¢ | $4.92 | −$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary? | No | 63 | 4.4¢ | 7.3¢ | $4.60 | +$1.83 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | Yes | 118 | 9.7¢ | 3.9¢ | $4.55 | −$6.94 | $0 | |
| Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | No | 202 | 8¢ | 1.8¢ | $3.54 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 15%-18%? | Yes | 36 | 6.5¢ | 8.9¢ | $3.20 | +$0.84 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 420 | 5.1¢ | 0.8¢ | $3.15 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 36 | 12¢ | 8.5¢ | $3.07 | −$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 424 | 3.6¢ | 0.7¢ | $2.76 | −$13 | $0 | |