sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

twentys2

0xfdb…6210
SportWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6,106vol $1.02M
PnL 30d+$332gains $2,769 · losses $257
PnL 7d+$69win rate 7d 70.6%
Win rate40.6%adj 41.1% · 30d 62.5%
Open value$3,031cash n/a
Positions75 / 803open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.8%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 11h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,966below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54
Adjusted win rateraw 40.6% · shrunk toward 50%3
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 75

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Como qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No66546.4¢50¢$333+$24+$0.08
Will Aldosivi be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?Yes20171.1¢94.2¢$189+$46+$1.39
Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season?No36867.1¢46.3¢$171−$77$0
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes14.4k2.1¢1.1¢$151−$147−$14
Will GAIS be relegated from the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?No16971.1¢85.9¢$145+$25$0
Will Estudiantes (LP) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?No14195.7¢97.3¢$138+$2.18$0
Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No35041¢39¢$137−$6.98$0
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes1,19810.9¢10.5¢$126−$4.98$0
Will Lyon qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes28440¢38.5¢$110−$4.27$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes1,6006¢6.5¢$104+$8.00$0
Will Sevilla qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes54812.7¢17.5¢$96+$26+$1.20
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes11.7k0.8¢0.8¢$87−$4.19+$2.20
Will Monaco qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes13261.7¢61.5¢$81−$0.25$0
Will Wuhan Three Towns be relegated from the 2026 Chinese Super League?Yes14069.3¢54.5¢$76−$21$0
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes11.1k0.6¢0.7¢$72+$0.46$0
Will Mirassol be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?Yes20023.3¢36¢$72+$25+$1.57
Will Troyes be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?Yes14041.5¢47.5¢$67+$8.40+$4.37
Will Lille qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes14445.1¢43.5¢$63−$2.32−$0.03
Will Sarmiento (J) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?No6088¢98.1¢$59+$6.03$0
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?No10056.2¢53¢$53−$3.20+$2.71
Will Metropolitanos be relegated from the 2026 Venezuelan Primera División?No5589.9¢90¢$50+$0.05$0
Will Rennes finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?Yes14323¢32¢$46+$13+$26
Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores?Yes16519.3¢27¢$45+$13$0
Will Anthony Gordon (Barcelona) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season?Yes38712.4¢11.3¢$44−$4.36$0
Will Iceland win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4?Yes4079¢73.5¢$29−$2.20$0
Will Danubio be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?Yes4076¢73.5¢$29−$1.00$0
Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?Yes2018.2¢14.1¢$28+$12+$2.85
Will Porto win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes4,5330.6¢0.6¢$27−$0.05$0
Will Cúcuta Deportivo be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?Yes7429¢35.5¢$26+$4.82+$3.76
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1,5001.8¢1.8¢$26−$0.75$0
Will Napoli win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes3,0000.6¢0.8¢$24+$6.00$0
Will Le Mans be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?No4060¢59¢$24−$0.40+$9.54
Will Como finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?No6150¢38¢$23−$7.35$0
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes4538.6¢5¢$23−$16$0
Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes1389¢13.4¢$18+$6.04+$34
Will Strasbourg finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?Yes2696.8¢6.8¢$18+$0.13$0
Will Udinese be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?Yes3617.7¢4.7¢$17−$11$0
Will Gwangju FC be relegated from the 2026 K-League?Yes2068¢84¢$17+$3.20$0
Will Dunav Ruse be relegated from the 2026-27 efbet Liga (Bulgaria)?Yes5033.5¢31.5¢$16−$1.00$0
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes5,8400.2¢0.3¢$15+$2.92$0
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Shanghai, China?Yes1002.6¢14¢$14+$11$0
Will FC Zhetysu be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?Yes2050¢61¢$12+$2.20$0
Will Estudiantes LP win Copa Libertadores?Yes852.2¢13.1¢$11+$9.27$0
Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Yes946.2¢11.6¢$11+$5.08+$3.10
Will Rennes qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No2056¢54¢$11−$0.40$0
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2,0900.3¢0.5¢$10+$4.80$0
Will Göztepe be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig?Yes3425.5¢30¢$10+$1.53+$2.38
Will Radnički Niš be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?No2046¢46.5¢$9.30+$0.10$0
Will SD Almeria be promoted to LaLiga?No1325¢62.5¢$8.33+$5.00$0
Will Patrik Schick (Leverkusen) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Yes821.4¢10.1¢$8.28+$7.13$0
Will Fiorentina be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?Yes1155.8¢6¢$6.90+$0.20$0
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes4,2690.2¢0.2¢$6.40−$2.13$0
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Shanghai, China?Yes196.2¢31¢$5.89+$4.71$0
Will Kalmar FF be relegated from the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?Yes351.2¢16.6¢$5.79+$5.37$0
Will Nagoya Grampus be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?Yes2026¢28.5¢$5.70+$0.50$0
Will Estéban Lepaul (Rennes) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?Yes2015¢22.5¢$4.55+$1.52$0
Will Jordan Pickford (Everton) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes601¢7.4¢$4.41+$3.81$0
Will Amine Gouiri (Marseille) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?Yes550.9¢7.4¢$4.05+$3.53$0
Will Vasco da Gama be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?Yes1208.3¢3.4¢$4.02−$5.90$0
Will Conor McGregor be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes1320.5¢2.1¢$2.71+$1.99$0
Will Alexander Bublik Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsYes8013¢1.6¢$1.28−$9.12$0
Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes10¢63.5¢$0.68+$0.68$0
Will Cagliari qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes93.9¢5.1¢$0.46+$0.11$0
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes6000.3¢0.1¢$0.30−$1.50$0
Will the Chicago Bulls make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?Yes114¢15¢$0.17+$0.01$0
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Shanghai, China?Yes442¢0¢$0−$0.88−$0.04
Will Breanna Stewart win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Yes400.2¢0¢$0−$0.08$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?Yes2132¢0¢$0−$6.62−$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 8?Yes2124.9¢0¢$0−$5.11−$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 9?Yes2035¢0¢$0−$7.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 8?Yes2030¢0¢$0−$6.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 8?Yes2029¢0¢$0−$5.80$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 9?Yes2015¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 8?Yes1717¢0¢$0−$2.87$0
Will Brandon Nakashima win the 2026 Shanghai, China?Yes60.4¢0¢$0−$0.02$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Danubio be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?76¢40$3041%58
BUY YesWill FC Zhetysu be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?50¢20$1041%58
SELL NoWill Juventus qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?38¢149$5741%58
BUY YesWill Rennes finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?23¢183$4241%58
BUY YesWill Vasco da Gama be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?5.7¢80$4.5641%58
BUY YesWill Mirassol be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?21.8¢180$3941%58
SELL NoWill JEF United Chiba be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?39¢48$1941%58
BUY YesWill Nagoya Grampus be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?26¢20$5.2041%58
SELL YesWill Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?19.6¢205$4041%58
BUY NoWill RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?37.3¢92$3441%58
BUY NoWill Como qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?49¢40$2041%58
BUY NoWill Napoli finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?49¢20$9.8041%58
BUY YesWill Wuhan Three Towns be relegated from the 2026 Chinese Super League?70¢80$5641%58
BUY NoWill JEF United Chiba be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?35.9¢48$1741%58
BUY YesWill Vasco da Gama be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?5.8¢20$1.1641%58
BUY YesWill Lille qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?26¢20$5.2041%58
SELL YesWill Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?20.3¢120$2541%58
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 10?8¢20$1.6041%58
BUY NoWill Le Mans be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?55¢20$1141%58
BUY NoWill Metropolitanos be relegated from the 2026 Venezuelan Primera División?89.9¢55$4941%58