sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,691

Polyticks

0xfdf…288c
WhalePnL 10k+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$15.2kvol $840k
PnL 30d−$2,349gains $65 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$75win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate57.5%adj 56.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$31.1kcash n/a
Positions22 / 157open / all-time
Max drawdown−54.9%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 30d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$16.9kbelow peak −$8,508Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 57.5% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity45

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No23.7k44.3¢70.5¢$16.7k+$6,219$0
US recession by end of 2026?No4,00068¢93.5¢$3,740+$1,020$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes10,00036¢28.5¢$2,850−$750$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No7,00050.6¢37.5¢$2,625−$915$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo5,00050¢37.5¢$1,875−$625$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No1,99548¢37.5¢$748−$209$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,00560¢36.5¢$732−$471$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No1,50058¢39.5¢$592−$277$0
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No50085¢96.6¢$483+$58$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00048¢26.5¢$265−$215$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes3,00062¢5¢$149−$1,712$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No12644¢95.1¢$120+$64$0
California voter ID referendum passes?Yes16820.9¢56¢$94+$59$0
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No8163¢73¢$59+$8.13$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No1,00064.9¢4.5¢$44−$604+$33
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No576¢96.3¢$4.82+$1.01$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes578¢90.5¢$4.53+$0.63$0
AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes618.8¢6.2¢$0.37−$0.76$0
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?Down9248¢0¢$0−$44$0
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?Up8750¢0¢$0−$43$0
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on October 6?Down5050¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes532¢0¢$0−$1.60−$0.04

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?93.5¢65$6158%50
BUY YesWill the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?32¢5$1.6058%50
BUY DownS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?50¢18$9.0858%50
BUY UpSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?99.9¢1,250$1,24958%50
BUY DownS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?45¢17$7.5058%50
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET27.5¢600$16558%50
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET43.5¢460$20058%50
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET36.2¢277$10058%50
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET32.6¢306$10058%50
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET34.8¢288$10058%50
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET58.8¢170$10058%50
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET58.4¢171$10058%50
BUY DownS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?50¢600$30058%50
BUY Golden KnightsAvalanche vs. Golden Knights95¢8,000$7,60058%50
BUY AvalancheAvalanche vs. Golden Knights52¢3,000$1,56058%50
BUY DownS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?50¢20$1058%50
BUY CanadiensCanadiens vs. Hurricanes36¢1,100$39658%50
BUY DownS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?50¢5$2.5058%50
SELL HurricanesCanadiens vs. Hurricanes2¢100$2.0158%50
BUY HurricanesCanadiens vs. Hurricanes66¢1,000$66058%50