PnL all-time−$301vol $580k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate2.8%adj 5.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$300cash n/a
Positions2 / 320open / all-time
Max drawdown−30.3%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$301below peak −$291Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 2.8% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Brann win on 2025-10-02? · Yesclosed+$5.30Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Noopen+$3.80Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12? · Noclosed+$3.10Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? · Noopen+$3.00Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing? · Yesclosed+$2.80
Worst markets
Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing? · Yesclosed−$8.00Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-10-03? · Noclosed−$7.30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 30? · Yesclosed−$7.24Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$4.79Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$4.77
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | No | 200 | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | $200 | +$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 100 | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$3.80 | $0 |
Recent trades
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