sharpside
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Traders/Rank #23,358

fedupferret

0xfe2…937b
WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$19.9kvol $253k
PnL 30d+$298gains $1,841 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$157win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate73.7%adj 67.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$3,696cash n/a
Positions20 / 77open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$19.6kbelow peak −$20.3kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 73.7% · shrunk toward 50%69
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Noclosed+$1,705Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed+$1,110US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Noclosed+$836Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20? · Yesclosed+$486 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Noclosed+$483

Worst markets

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? · Noclosed−$7,768US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$6,709Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yesopen−$5,000US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Noopen−$2,000Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed−$1,431

Open positions · 20

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes87457.2¢95¢$830+$330$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No77790.1¢94.5¢$734+$34$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No58885¢89¢$524+$24$0
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?No50089.3¢93.1¢$465+$19$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No50087¢84.5¢$423−$13$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No50083¢84.5¢$423+$7.50$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes48152¢40.5¢$195−$55$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No10495.8¢98.8¢$103+$3.08$0
Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes107k4.7¢0¢$0−$5,000$0
Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes3,7534¢0¢$0−$150$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No2,55778.2¢0¢$0−$2,000$0
Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes1,25012¢0¢$0−$150$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Yes94363.7¢0¢$0−$600$0
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No32577¢0¢$0−$250$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes30966.4¢0¢$0−$205$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes20087¢0¢$0−$174$0
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No12580¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No11289¢0¢$0−$100$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?Yes9146¢0¢$0−$42$0
Senators vs. Maple LeafsMaple Leafs2051¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.24

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?83¢11$9.3074%28
BUY NoWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?87¢500$43574%28
SELL NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?97¢62$6074%28
BUY NoTrump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?89.3¢49$4474%28
BUY Maple LeafsSenators vs. Maple Leafs51¢20$1074%28
BUY Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers1.9¢290$5.5174%28
BUY NoWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?88.6¢226$20074%28
BUY No Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?85¢235$20074%28
BUY NoUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?78.8¢1,268$1,00074%28
BUY NoUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?77.6¢1,289$1,00074%28
BUY YesIran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?70¢143$10074%28
BUY YesIran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?68.3¢732$50074%28
BUY YesIran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?64¢156$10074%28
BUY YesIran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?46¢73$3474%28
BUY YesIran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?52¢10$5.2074%28
BUY YesIran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?87¢81$7174%28
BUY YesIran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?47.5¢210$10074%28
BUY YesIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?75.8¢659$50074%28
BUY YesIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?49.7¢342$17074%28
BUY YesIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?41.4¢241$10074%28