PnL all-time−$416vol $430k
PnL 30d+$1,695gains $5,401 · losses $3,845
PnL 7d+$1,891win rate 7d 40.0%
Win rate35.0%adj 35.6% · 30d 26.3%
Open value$1.53cash n/a
Positions3 / 1,161open / all-time
Max drawdown−85.2%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,229below peak −$1,278Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 35.0% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity15
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yesclosed+$3,235Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yesclosed+$485Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? · Yesclosed+$472Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? · Yesclosed+$470Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? · Yesclosed+$454
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yesclosed−$806Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesclosed−$635Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesclosed−$408Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? · Yesclosed−$362Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? · Yesclosed−$296
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,023 | 4.9¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.53 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 942 | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.74 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | Yes | 306 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$104 | −$3.43 |
Recent trades
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