PnL all-time+$4,822vol $236k
PnL 30d−$109gains $0 · losses $96
PnL 7d+$2.01win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate90.0%adj 80.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$17.8kcash n/a
Positions6 / 66open / all-time
Max drawdown−30.4%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$12.8kbelow peak −$2,505Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 90.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen+$7,899Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? · Yesclosed+$1,089Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February? · Noclosed+$587Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February? · Noclosed+$498Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Noclosed+$443
Worst markets
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yesclosed−$134Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9? · Noopen−$100Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? · Noopen−$100Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? · Noopen−$100Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$96
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 119k | 6.5¢ | 13.2¢ | $15.7k | +$7,899 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,875 | 80.5¢ | 100¢ | $1,875 | +$365 | −$15 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 251 | 79.7¢ | 80.2¢ | $201 | +$1.15 | $0 | |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9? | No | 178 | 56.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? | No | 125 | 79.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | No | 110 | 91¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 |
Recent trades
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