PnL all-time+$6,897vol $53.6k
PnL 30d−$901gains $50 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$77win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate85.0%adj 67.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$348cash n/a
Positions8 / 28open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.5%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 9h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$7,068below peak −$1,655Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 85.0% · shrunk toward 50%69
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? · Noclosed−$832Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Noopen−$812Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$103Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yesclosed−$100Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September? · Yesopen−$76
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | Yes | 249 | 51¢ | 53¢ | $132 | +$4.98 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 454 | 28¢ | 28.5¢ | $129 | +$2.27 | $0 | |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | Yes | 250 | 33.8¢ | 34.5¢ | $86 | +$1.73 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | No | 1,400 | 58¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$812 | $0 | |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1,351 | 7.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$2.78 | |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September? | Yes | 300 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | −$0.62 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $875B by September 30? | Yes | 284 | 5.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.56 | |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September? | Yes | 245 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$56 | $0 |
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