PnL all-time+$2,068vol $32.7k
PnL 30d+$1,691gains $2,192 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,468win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate91.5%adj 79.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$627cash n/a
Positions5 / 52open / all-time
Max drawdown−20.1%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 9h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,229below peak −$35Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 91.5% · shrunk toward 50%98
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable57
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity80
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,205Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? · Noclosed+$177Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Noclosed+$171Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? · Noclosed+$152Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$143
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? · Noopen−$456Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? · Noopen−$450Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Noopen−$106Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yesopen−$91Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$82
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | No | 630 | 90¢ | 99.6¢ | $627 | +$60 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | No | 1,300 | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$105 | −$0.65 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | Yes | 775 | 11.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$86 | −$4.70 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | No | 657 | 69.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$454 | −$2.27 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | No | 166 | 84.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$139 | −$310 |
Recent trades
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