sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #116

scottilicious

0x000…758e@scottonPoly
SharpWhalePnL 1M+PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1.49Mvol $73.1M
PnL 30d−$101kgains $23.7k · losses $1,792
PnL 7d−$65.2kwin rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate84.8%adj 83.5% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$878kcash n/a
Positions75 / 1,294open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.5%of equity peak
Account age5.9ylast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1.51Mbelow peak −$143kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

85/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale88
Adjusted win rateraw 84.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 75

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes299k84.5¢90.5¢$271k+$18.0k+$1,785
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No80.0k99¢99.6¢$79.6k+$466$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo82.0k91.1¢91.5¢$75.0k+$322$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes94.6k76.3¢73.5¢$69.6k−$2,638$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes110k57.5¢58¢$63.9k+$542−$706
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No61.1k96¢98¢$59.9k+$1,177$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No43.1k94.4¢97.9¢$42.2k+$1,509$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes42.4k79.3¢81.5¢$34.6k+$944$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Yes25.2k71.9¢80¢$20.2k+$2,046$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes23.0k62¢66.5¢$15.3k+$1,038$0
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes12.9k93¢96.3¢$12.4k+$425$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No12.8k96.8¢96.4¢$12.4k−$62$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Yes10.8k85.9¢90.5¢$9,757+$499$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No9,32279.7¢95¢$8,856+$1,429$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes10.4k78.8¢81¢$8,407+$232$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No11.5k64¢65.5¢$7,526+$172$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes7,23969.2¢96.2¢$6,964+$1,953$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes32.1k25¢21.5¢$6,896−$1,122$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?No7,32594¢93.5¢$6,849−$37$0
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No7,12566¢91.5¢$6,520+$1,819+$73
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No6,83583.7¢81¢$5,536−$184$0
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes7,16187.5¢76.8¢$5,496−$768$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes5,52292¢86.5¢$4,776−$304$0
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No5,00091¢86.5¢$4,325−$225$0
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes4,50088.5¢89¢$4,005+$24$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes115k4.7¢3.5¢$3,957−$1,461$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes122k1.9¢3.2¢$3,852+$1,468$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes20.0k30¢15.5¢$3,100−$2,900$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes2,72892.4¢93.3¢$2,545+$26$0
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes2,67692¢93.6¢$2,503+$41$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Yes2,74983.9¢87¢$2,391+$85$0
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes6,92047.6¢33¢$2,284−$1,010$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No3,01273¢73.5¢$2,213+$15$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes8,11472¢22.5¢$1,826−$4,014$0
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?No1,83495.8¢98.5¢$1,806+$49$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?Yes1,86283.7¢85.5¢$1,592+$34$0
Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Yes1,57390.8¢89.5¢$1,408−$20$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes6,23225.3¢18.5¢$1,153−$424$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes13.6k18¢8.1¢$1,092−$1,349+$1,496
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No86280¢96.3¢$830+$141$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?No96680¢81¢$782+$9.67$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5,00064¢15.5¢$775−$2,425$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes23.9k2.7¢2.6¢$610−$25$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes20.8k2.5¢2.8¢$572+$59$0
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes100k0.1¢0.2¢$150+$50$0
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes72.3k1.5¢0.2¢$108−$953$0
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes1,42194¢5.1¢$72−$1,264$0
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes1,2276.7¢5.5¢$68−$15$0
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,6833.7¢2.8¢$46−$16−$4.63
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes9253¢27.5¢$25−$23−$332
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8,43435.3¢0.1¢$4.22−$2,975$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes120k47¢0¢$0−$56.4k−$1,384
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes99.3k87.4¢0¢$0−$86.8k−$59
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes75.6k0.2¢0¢$0−$177−$5.29
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes46.5k0.4¢0¢$0−$169−$6.73
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No45.4k81.8¢0¢$0−$37.1k−$236
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes39.5k81.7¢0¢$0−$32.3k−$224
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes35.0k50¢0¢$0−$17.5k$0
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes25.4k74.4¢0¢$0−$18.9k−$187
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes22.9k21.9¢0¢$0−$5,006−$150
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No22.6k89.9¢0¢$0−$20.4k$0
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes15.8k1.5¢0¢$0−$237−$9.34
ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes11.3k33.8¢0¢$0−$3,802$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?Yes8,0001.3¢0¢$0−$106−$6.68
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Yes7,01747.1¢0¢$0−$3,305$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?Yes6,0002.8¢0¢$0−$167−$11
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No5,00085¢0¢$0−$4,250−$5.10
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Yes4,7667.3¢0¢$0−$348−$23
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes4,6182.1¢0¢$0−$97−$4.75
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes3,33978.5¢0¢$0−$2,620$0
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes2,92182.9¢0¢$0−$2,422$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No1,66965.3¢0¢$0−$1,091$0
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes68444.7¢0¢$0−$306$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Yes42822.5¢0¢$0−$96$0
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes40710.5¢0¢$0−$43$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?65¢4,154$2,70085%85Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?64¢11.5k$7,35385%85Sharp
SELL NoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?99.8¢10.0k$9,98085%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?66.5¢3,000$1,99585%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?65¢6,112$3,97285%85Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?92¢2,676$2,46285%85Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?80¢836$66885%85Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?78.8¢10.4k$8,17585%85Sharp
SELL NoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?99.8¢16.3k$16.2k85%85WhaleSharp
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?83.7¢6,835$5,72085%85Sharp
SELL NoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?99.7¢5,000$4,98585%85Sharp
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?94¢7,325$6,88685%85Sharp
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?97.1¢3,480$3,37985%85Sharp
BUY YesWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?5.5¢12.0k$66085%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99¢80.0k$79.2k85%85WhaleSharp
BUY NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?97.5¢8,469$8,26085%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?72¢6,423$4,62385%85Sharp
BUY NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?96.9¢6,411$6,21385%85Sharp
BUY NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?96¢6,689$6,42185%85Sharp
BUY NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?96.8¢4,635$4,48585%85Sharp