| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 6,236 | 42.6¢ | 42.2¢ | $2,628 | −$30 | +$8,423 | |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 1,772 | 75.9¢ | 72.5¢ | $1,284 | −$62 | +$379 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 1,072 | 73.5¢ | 77.5¢ | $831 | +$43 | −$103 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 799 | 95.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $771 | +$7.99 | +$8.98 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 781 | 86¢ | 94¢ | $734 | +$62 | −$383 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 935 | 3.1¢ | 69.7¢ | $651 | +$622 | +$11 | |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 791 | 59¢ | 60¢ | $475 | +$7.91 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028? | No | 465 | 96.8¢ | 86.6¢ | $403 | −$47 | −$157 | |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 484 | 82.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $390 | −$9.47 | +$105 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 368 | 4¢ | 94.5¢ | $347 | +$333 | +$0.29 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 509 | 2.9¢ | 51.5¢ | $262 | +$248 | +$4.59 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | No | 709 | 43¢ | 31¢ | $220 | −$85 | $0 | |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | No | 1,123 | 18.7¢ | 19.5¢ | $219 | +$8.55 | +$2,827 | |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | No | 303 | 58¢ | 47.5¢ | $144 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | No | 208 | 67.3¢ | 68.5¢ | $142 | +$2.45 | +$13 | |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 296 | 43¢ | 47.5¢ | $141 | +$13 | +$353 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | No | 179 | 79¢ | 77.5¢ | $139 | −$2.69 | $0 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 153 | 56.8¢ | 89.9¢ | $137 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 154 | 81.2¢ | 87.5¢ | $135 | +$9.65 | +$175 | |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m? | No | 189 | 64¢ | 69.5¢ | $131 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 153 | 30¢ | 84.5¢ | $130 | +$84 | +$2,039 | |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | No | 260 | 34¢ | 49¢ | $127 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | No | 125 | 94¢ | 95.6¢ | $120 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 550 | 0.8¢ | 19.9¢ | $109 | +$105 | +$1.79 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | No | 109 | 87¢ | 87.5¢ | $95 | +$0.54 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 250 | 35.7¢ | 37.5¢ | $94 | +$4.60 | +$3,492 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? | Yes | 277 | 33.3¢ | 33.5¢ | $93 | +$0.46 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | No | 109 | 86.6¢ | 84.9¢ | $93 | −$1.87 | −$11 | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | No | 91 | 97.3¢ | 98.3¢ | $90 | +$0.87 | −$0.25 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 300 | 26¢ | 29.5¢ | $88 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | No | 141 | 52.2¢ | 54.5¢ | $77 | +$3.17 | +$1,493 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 385 | 19¢ | 18.5¢ | $71 | −$1.92 | $0 | |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 99 | 10¢ | 66.3¢ | $66 | +$56 | +$14 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 71 | 93¢ | 90.5¢ | $64 | −$1.77 | −$165 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2,183 | 20¢ | 2.9¢ | $62 | −$374 | +$368 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31? | No | 78 | 56¢ | 74.5¢ | $58 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 550 | 0.8¢ | 10.2¢ | $56 | +$52 | +$0.52 | |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 49 | 80.9¢ | 91.5¢ | $45 | +$5.25 | +$10 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 78 | 63.8¢ | 57¢ | $44 | −$5.31 | +$481 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | 5,158 | 20¢ | 0.9¢ | $44 | −$988 | +$455 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | No | 44 | 97.3¢ | 97.6¢ | $43 | +$0.11 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 660 | 8¢ | 6.4¢ | $42 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 44 | 71.9¢ | 86.5¢ | $38 | +$6.49 | +$46 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 205 | 0.8¢ | 18¢ | $37 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 205 | 0.8¢ | 17.8¢ | $37 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 116 | 7.7¢ | 25.7¢ | $30 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | Yes | 49 | 16.7¢ | 44.5¢ | $22 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 38 | 61.9¢ | 56¢ | $21 | −$2.28 | +$408 | |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? | No | 123 | 26¢ | 16.5¢ | $20 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,626 | 20¢ | 1.2¢ | $20 | −$306 | +$130 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 64 | 26¢ | 28.5¢ | $18 | +$1.59 | $0 | |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 24 | 88¢ | 73¢ | $17 | −$3.54 | −$3.58 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 550 | 0.8¢ | 3.1¢ | $17 | +$12 | +$0.36 | |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 116 | 7.7¢ | 14.4¢ | $17 | +$7.73 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 38 | 45.3¢ | 43.5¢ | $17 | −$0.70 | +$1.40 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 205 | 0.8¢ | 7.1¢ | $15 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 116 | 7.7¢ | 12.4¢ | $14 | +$5.46 | $0 | |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? | Yes | 109 | 10¢ | 13.1¢ | $14 | +$3.39 | +$14 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat? | No | 242 | 5.2¢ | 5.9¢ | $14 | +$1.70 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 17 | 3.6¢ | 82¢ | $14 | +$13 | +$64 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3,996 | 20¢ | 0.4¢ | $14 | −$785 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 5,305 | 20¢ | 0.3¢ | $13 | −$1,048 | +$414 | |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | No | 80 | 18¢ | 16¢ | $13 | −$1.61 | +$225 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? | No | 20 | 58¢ | 61.5¢ | $12 | +$0.70 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 205 | 0.8¢ | 5.9¢ | $12 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? | No | 34 | 24.2¢ | 34.5¢ | $12 | +$3.48 | +$293 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima? | No | 12 | 98.1¢ | 99.5¢ | $12 | +$0.17 | −$67 | |
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1,582 | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | $11 | −$1.28 | +$94 | |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 248 | 26¢ | 4.3¢ | $11 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 205 | 0.8¢ | 5.1¢ | $10 | +$8.75 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2,570 | 20¢ | 0.4¢ | $10 | −$504 | +$260 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 113 | 20¢ | 8.5¢ | $9.58 | −$13 | +$94 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 10 | 98.1¢ | 97.2¢ | $9.49 | −$0.09 | −$7.85 | |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 116 | 7.7¢ | 8¢ | $9.23 | +$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 9 | 99.1¢ | 98.8¢ | $8.45 | −$0.03 | −$86 | |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | No | 17 | 66¢ | 49.5¢ | $8.44 | −$2.82 | +$1.57 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 183 | 3.6¢ | 4.5¢ | $8.15 | +$1.51 | −$650 | |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 374 | 3.8¢ | 2.1¢ | $7.85 | −$6.53 | +$444 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 19 | 2.9¢ | 40¢ | $7.76 | +$7.21 | +$53 | |
| Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 116 | 7.7¢ | 5.9¢ | $6.79 | −$2.14 | $0 | |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 205 | 0.8¢ | 3¢ | $6.15 | +$4.55 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 92 | 3.8¢ | 6.5¢ | $5.94 | +$2.40 | +$47 | |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 7 | 86.5¢ | 84.9¢ | $5.55 | −$0.11 | +$102 | |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 205 | 0.8¢ | 2.7¢ | $5.43 | +$3.83 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 205 | 0.8¢ | 2.6¢ | $5.22 | +$3.62 | $0 | |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 277 | 0.8¢ | 1.8¢ | $4.85 | +$2.69 | +$0.14 | |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 116 | 7.7¢ | 4.2¢ | $4.82 | −$4.11 | $0 | |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 205 | 0.8¢ | 2.3¢ | $4.71 | +$3.11 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | No | 6 | 83.5¢ | 73.7¢ | $4.12 | −$0.55 | +$22 | |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? | No | 5 | 74¢ | 88¢ | $4.11 | +$0.65 | +$19 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | No | 124 | 2.7¢ | 3.3¢ | $4.03 | +$0.68 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 294 | 0.8¢ | 1.4¢ | $3.97 | +$1.67 | +$8.25 | |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 83 | 4¢ | 4.6¢ | $3.79 | +$0.46 | +$783 | |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 567 | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | $3.69 | −$0.74 | $0 | |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? | Yes | 153 | 11.1¢ | 2.4¢ | $3.68 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 205 | 0.8¢ | 1.8¢ | $3.59 | +$1.98 | $0 | |
| Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 334 | 1.6¢ | 1.1¢ | $3.51 | −$1.71 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 116 | 7.7¢ | 2.9¢ | $3.42 | −$5.50 | $0 | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 310 | 0¢ | 1.1¢ | $3.25 | +$3.25 | $0 | |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | Yes | 6 | 10¢ | 52.3¢ | $3.23 | +$2.61 | $0 | |