sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,268

Imbafer

0x02a…dd72
WhalePnL 10k+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$44.4kvol $1.73M
PnL 30d+$2,758gains $3,250 · losses $238
PnL 7d+$121win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate56.4%adj 56.1% · 30d 33.3%
Open value$100kcash n/a
Positions43 / 513open / all-time
Max drawdown−27.6%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 30d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$63.9kbelow peak −$265Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 56.4% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$18.5kWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$7,061Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$4,902Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Noopen+$3,981Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? · Yesclosed+$3,665

Worst markets

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$15.9kWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$4,902Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? · Yesclosed−$3,536Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Noclosed−$3,030Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$2,948

Open positions · 43

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No43.1k50.2¢96.9¢$41.8k+$20.2k−$961
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No25.0k81.8¢97.8¢$24.4k+$3,981$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No12.0k50¢90.9¢$10.9k+$4,902$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No9,00164.4¢89¢$8,011+$2,211+$554
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No8,00050¢86.9¢$6,948+$2,948$0
NATO dissolves before 2027?No1,50090¢98.8¢$1,482+$132$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes12.0k50¢9.2¢$1,098−$4,902$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?No1,10091¢98.5¢$1,083+$82$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1,55036.4¢69.5¢$1,077+$513$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes2,62049.3¢40.5¢$1,061−$231$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,00050¢13.2¢$1,052−$2,948$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No1,02662¢91.5¢$939+$303$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes12.0k50¢4.8¢$570−$5,430−$10.5k
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes7,47810.4¢3.9¢$288−$492$0
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes6,36126.2¢3.4¢$213−$1,452$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes17229¢30.5¢$53+$2.59$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10448¢12.5¢$13−$37$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No1050¢97.3¢$9.72+$4.72$0
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2571.5¢2.4¢$6.04+$2.23+$5.26
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Yes11244.6¢5¢$5.61−$44$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes41.5¢71.6¢$2.58+$2.53+$22
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes6041.5¢0.3¢$1.81−$7.13$0
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes6041.5¢0.3¢$1.81−$7.13$0
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes6041.5¢0.2¢$0.91−$8.04$0
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes6041.5¢0.2¢$0.91−$8.04$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes41.5¢24.5¢$0.88+$0.83+$249
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes6041.5¢0.1¢$0.30−$8.64$0
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes6041.5¢0.1¢$0.30−$8.64$0
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes6041.5¢0.1¢$0.30−$8.64$0
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes6041.5¢0.1¢$0.30−$8.64$0
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes6041.5¢0.1¢$0.30−$8.64$0
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes6041.5¢0.1¢$0.30−$8.64$0
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes29.6k0.2¢0¢$0−$59+$116
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes10.9k0.3¢0¢$0−$30+$2.38
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes6,09617.5¢0¢$0−$1,069+$60
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes5,6510.6¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes2,9180.9¢0¢$0−$26$0
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes2,62014.4¢0¢$0−$376$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?Yes2,0342¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?Yes1,4862.3¢0¢$0−$33$0
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes1,0001¢0¢$0−$10$0
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?Yes1,00016¢0¢$0−$160$0
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes11.1¢0¢$0−$0.01+$38

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?29¢172$5056%58
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?48¢104$5056%58
BUY YesWill Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?19¢421$8056%58
BUY NoWill the GTA 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long?15¢20$3.0056%58
SELL NoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?26¢651$16956%58
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?58¢3,000$1,74056%58
SELL YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?56¢5,000$2,80056%58
SELL YesWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?28.1¢300$8456%58
SELL YesWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?28.3¢1,481$41956%58
BUY YesWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?3.7¢1,081$4056%58
BUY YesWill Scotland win on 2026-06-24?10¢100$1056%58
SELL YesWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?42¢187$7956%58
SELL YesWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?63¢700$44156%58
BUY YesTrump out as President before 2027?11¢2,727$30056%58
BUY NoUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?90¢5,131$4,61756%58
SELL YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?7¢1,000$7056%58
BUY YesWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?23¢435$10056%58
SELL YesRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?60¢63$3856%58
BUY YesWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?59¢1,962$1,15956%58
SELL YesWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?98.8¢4,000$3,95256%58