sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #10,018

0x036…cac1

0x036…cac1
<7d old<14d old<30d oldCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,885vol $42.8k
PnL 30d+$8,247gains $4,148 · losses $5,979
PnL 7d+$8,247win rate 7d 58.7%
Win rate58.7%adj 58.3% · 30d 58.7%
Open value$10.1kcash n/a
Positions66 / 511open / all-time
Max drawdown−21.7%of equity peak
Account age2dlast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,517below peak −$330Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 58.7% · shrunk toward 50%46
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity78

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 59

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No2,33054.2¢36.5¢$851−$413$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes7,82118¢9.5¢$743−$666$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No75495.6¢95.8¢$722+$1.60$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,93853.2¢36.5¢$707−$324$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes3,76618.4¢14.7¢$552−$140$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes96741¢48.4¢$468+$72$0
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No40997.6¢99.9¢$408+$9.20$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes43523.7¢85.1¢$370+$267$0
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes86950.7¢40¢$348−$93$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4,3458.7¢7.8¢$337−$41$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No41378.5¢77.9¢$322−$2.73$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No33264.5¢95.1¢$316+$102$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?No26783.9¢96¢$256+$32$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.?No26790.8¢92¢$246+$3.16$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5119¢44¢$225+$179$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?No22990.2¢95.3¢$218+$12$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No20099¢99.5¢$199+$0.90$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No2,06618.8¢9.5¢$196−$192$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?No21767.8¢90¢$195+$48$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,38525¢14.1¢$195−$151$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes5,1167¢3.8¢$192−$168$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No20093.9¢86.9¢$174−$14$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?No18489¢89¢$163−$0.08$0
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?No14996.9¢98.9¢$147+$2.91$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?No15377.5¢91.5¢$140+$21$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,40016.3¢9¢$127−$102$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No12290¢93.2¢$114+$3.85$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?No12979.3¢86¢$111+$8.64$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No10598¢98.4¢$103+$0.37$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?No10886.3¢88¢$95+$1.84$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No11143¢85.5¢$95+$47$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?No10089.1¢88¢$88−$1.13$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4,1722.6¢2.1¢$86−$22$0
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?No8197¢98.2¢$80+$0.93$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No8284.8¢86.1¢$71+$1.01$0
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?No6391.4¢98.5¢$62+$4.46$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3328.9¢17.8¢$59+$29$0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown5089.4¢99.5¢$50+$5.05$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,3802.6¢2.5¢$34−$2.28$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,2851.9¢1.3¢$29−$14$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation?Yes27012.7¢10.5¢$28−$6.05$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?No2483.1¢90¢$22+$1.65$0
Solana Up or Down - October 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETDown2097¢100¢$20+$0.60$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,0482¢1.7¢$17−$3.67$0
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes9021.5¢19¢$17−$2.24$0
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes36111.3¢3.6¢$13−$28$0
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes10419¢12¢$12−$7.32$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4522.7¢2.4¢$11−$1.36$0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp1081¢100¢$10+$1.90$0
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No1098.8¢98.4¢$9.84−$0.04$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?Yes21122.3¢4.2¢$8.76−$38$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes974.3¢5.9¢$5.77+$1.60$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?Yes3315¢17¢$5.68+$0.67$0
Solana Up or Down - July 16, 10PM ETDown50¢100¢$5.00+$5.00$0
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3512.1¢1.4¢$4.74−$2.63$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes446.7¢9.7¢$4.27+$1.32$0
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes8016.4¢5¢$3.94−$9.11$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No484¢90.5¢$3.23+$0.23$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No245¢63.5¢$1.41+$0.41$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 14?0.2¢100$0.2059%48
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 14?0.2¢100$0.2059%48
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 14?0.2¢100$0.2059%48
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 14?0.2¢100$0.2059%48
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down on October 14?0.7¢100$0.7059%48
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down on October 14?0.7¢100$0.7059%48
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down on October 14?0.7¢100$0.7059%48
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down on October 14?0.7¢100$0.7059%48
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down on October 14?1¢100$1.0059%48
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down on October 14?1¢100$1.0059%48
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down on October 14?1¢17$0.1759%48
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 14?0.9¢100$0.9259%48
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down on October 14?1¢100$0.9659%48
BUY DownSolana Up or Down on October 14?98.9¢100$9959%48
BUY DownSolana Up or Down on October 14?98¢60$5959%48
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down on October 14?95.8¢100$9659%48
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down on October 14?95¢100$9559%48
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 14?23¢5$1.1559%48
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 14?21¢30$6.2859%48
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 14?17¢50$8.5059%48