sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,131

ASteroide

0x05c…d823@Haskell_Gz
WhaleWR 60+1y+CryptoWeatherOtherSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$18.2kvol $1.22M
PnL 30d−$556gains $67 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,586win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate62.6%adj 62.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$54.2kcash n/a
Positions80 / 2,868open / all-time
Max drawdown−97.5%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$16.6kbelow peak −$16.0kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 62.6% · shrunk toward 50%55
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d84
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity3

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 80

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes27.6k80.9¢86.5¢$23.9k+$1,548$0
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes19.2k59.4¢63.5¢$12.2k+$779$0
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes12.0k82¢77¢$9,254−$596$0
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes19.2k39¢34.5¢$6,632−$865$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?No1,15295.6¢97.8¢$1,126+$25$0
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes58578¢28¢$164−$293$0
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No10893¢74.8¢$80−$20$0
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?No5394¢98.6¢$52+$2.45$0
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No5198.4¢97.2¢$49−$0.61$0
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No5039.7¢72.5¢$36+$16$0
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No5788.1¢63.9¢$36−$14$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No3488.6¢97.8¢$33+$3.09$0
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes3768¢86¢$32+$6.62$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?No3197.4¢95.6¢$29−$0.55$0
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes3278¢90.5¢$29+$4.01$0
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes6530.8¢44¢$29+$8.60$0
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes2934¢96¢$28+$18$0
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No3263¢75¢$24+$3.81$0
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes2580.3¢94.5¢$24+$3.52$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No2290.9¢98.3¢$22+$1.62$0
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?No2289¢94.9¢$21+$1.33$0
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?No2293¢96.5¢$21+$0.74$0
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes2193.5¢96.2¢$21+$0.57$0
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No2773¢73¢$20$0$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2268¢90.5¢$20+$4.96$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?No2196.4¢95.1¢$20−$0.27$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No2289¢87.5¢$20−$0.34$0
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?No2097.9¢94.3¢$19−$0.75$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No6083.5¢28¢$17−$33$0
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?No2197.5¢79.8¢$16−$3.64$0
NATO dissolves before 2027?No1694¢98.6¢$16+$0.73$0
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes5984.1¢25.5¢$15−$35+$2.03
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No1472¢96.9¢$13+$3.45$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1572.9¢87.5¢$13+$2.20$0
Natural Disaster in 2026?No1473¢93.5¢$13+$2.81$0
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?No1188¢96.5¢$11+$0.97$0
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No1190¢96.6¢$11+$0.73$0
Ethereal FDV above $2B one day after launch?No1099¢98.1¢$9.91−$0.09$0
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?No1192.2¢91.1¢$9.88−$0.12$0
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?No1285¢83.5¢$9.82−$0.18$0
Ethereal FDV above $1B one day after launch?No1098.8¢97¢$9.82−$0.18$0
Ethereal FDV above $800M one day after launch?No1099¢95.6¢$9.66−$0.34$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1050¢92.5¢$9.25+$4.25$0
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes2343.8¢36.5¢$8.33−$1.67$0
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes3147.9¢25¢$7.83−$7.17$0
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?No887.4¢97.4¢$7.80+$0.80+$34
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2969¢24.5¢$7.10−$13+$2.33
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes3656¢15.5¢$5.54−$14$0
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?No679¢86¢$5.44+$0.44$0
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No690¢97.8¢$5.43+$0.43$0
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No685¢89¢$5.24+$0.24$0
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No596¢97¢$5.05+$0.05$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes839.5¢62.4¢$4.74+$1.74$0
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes574¢87.6¢$4.38+$0.68$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes1048¢37.5¢$3.91−$1.09$0
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes593¢69.5¢$3.74−$1.26$0
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes1049¢26¢$2.65−$2.35$0
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes1414¢18.5¢$2.64+$0.64$0
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes2248¢12¢$2.64−$7.92$0
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes2246.5¢12¢$2.58−$7.42$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2147¢10.5¢$2.23−$7.77$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes1470¢15¢$2.14−$7.86$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No1281.4¢11.1¢$1.36−$8.64$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes1953¢4.9¢$0.92−$9.08$0
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes3925.5¢0.5¢$0.22−$9.78$0
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes3628¢0.2¢$0.07−$9.93$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes5319¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Villarreal CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw?Yes4821¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.49
Will Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?Yes3628¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.46
Will Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?Yes3628¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.46
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?Yes3628¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.46
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?Yes3132¢0¢$0−$10−$0.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETUp954¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.21
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes859¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?No862¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.14
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes837.9¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 27?Yes469¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?No472¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?Yes475¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.07
Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings?Yes389¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.05

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries AND Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty AND Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces AND New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream23.5¢12$2.8963%36
BUYPatriots vs. Bills AND Rams vs. Eagles AND Colts vs. Commanders32.1¢9$2.9063%36
BUYNew Mexico State vs. Florida International AND Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State AND Southern Miss vs. Troy28.8¢10$2.9063%36
BUYUFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 332: Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan (Welterweight, Early Prelims)4.4¢44$1.9163%36
BUYWill Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? AND Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?7.8¢37$2.8763%36
BUYJingshan: Alex Bolt vs Evan Zhu AND Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic AND Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina35.1¢8$2.9163%36
BUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? AND Will Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?8.5¢34$2.8763%36
BUYDallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries AND Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream AND New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx AND Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces31.8¢9$2.9063%36
BUYMinnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty AND Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics AND Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever18.4¢16$2.8863%36
BUYMinnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty AND Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics AND Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever37.3¢8$2.9163%36
BUYDallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries AND Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream AND Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces AND New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx22.8¢21$4.8163%36
BUYWill Armenia vs. Latvia end in a draw? AND Will Georgia vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?7.3¢39$2.8763%36
BUY YesVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?82¢1,100$90263%36
BUYWill Korea Republic vs. Ecuador end in a draw? AND Will Japan vs. Uruguay end in a draw?6.9¢41$2.8763%36
BUYWill Charlotte FC vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw? AND Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?6¢48$2.8763%36
BUYConnecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics AND Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever AND Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky32.7¢9$2.9063%36
BUYWill RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? AND Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?5.1¢94$4.7763%36
BUYPhoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings AND Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream AND Seattle Storm vs. Golden State Valkyries60.9¢8$4.9063%36
BUYWill FK Chornomorets Odesa vs. FK Obolon Kyiv end in a draw? AND Will Yanbian Longding vs. Guandong GZ-Power FC end in a draw?9.4¢20$1.9163%36
BUYWill Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? AND Will Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? AND Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?8.3¢46$3.8263%36