sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,904

imakebigbets

0x09e…48ac
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+1y+SportCryptoOtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,776vol $1.57M
PnL 30d+$203gains $13 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$669win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate77.9%adj 76.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$103kcash n/a
Positions87 / 482open / all-time
Max drawdown−72.0%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 27d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$15.9kbelow peak −$9,484Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 77.9% · shrunk toward 50%91
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d9
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity28

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 87

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No24.2k80.2¢88.5¢$21.4k+$2,010+$490
Trump out as President before 2027?No13.9k82¢95.5¢$13.3k+$1,872+$586
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No11.1k83.2¢96.8¢$10.8k+$1,505+$1,433
US recession by end of 2026?No8,11364¢93.5¢$7,586+$2,392$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No6,11095.1¢98.1¢$5,991+$180$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,64383.3¢98.7¢$5,567+$866$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No4,96361.8¢94.5¢$4,690+$1,622$0
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No7,10754.4¢55¢$3,909+$42$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No3,49390.9¢97.7¢$3,411+$236+$308
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?No2,99273.7¢97.1¢$2,904+$697$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,96064.3¢96.6¢$2,858+$956−$209
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?No2,79689.8¢94.8¢$2,649+$140$0
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes3,84117.2¢67¢$2,573+$1,913+$4.28
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No2,60088.5¢97.4¢$2,531+$230+$405
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?No1,85781.6¢97.1¢$1,803+$287$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No1,70094.4¢98.8¢$1,679+$74$0
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No1,72065.7¢95.3¢$1,638+$509$0
US recession by end of 2027?No1,67264.8¢66.5¢$1,112+$29$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1,10026.3¢92.5¢$1,017+$728$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No1,00087¢97.8¢$977+$107+$124
Will Venezuela become 51st state?No80095.6¢97.9¢$783+$18$0
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?No79059.4¢93.3¢$737+$268+$10
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No70883¢97.9¢$693+$105$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,40052.1¢48.6¢$680−$50$0
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No40087¢98.3¢$393+$45$0
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes10.7k2.8¢3.2¢$336+$37$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No42061¢73.5¢$309+$52$0
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No20099¢100¢$200+$1.90$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?Yes4,24879.5¢3¢$127−$3,249$0
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?No11845.7¢90.5¢$107+$53$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes2,00023.5¢5.1¢$101−$369$0
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?Yes20089.1¢50.1¢$100−$78$0
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?No8778¢91.5¢$79+$12$0
Will Aster dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?Yes14753¢36.5¢$54−$24+$43
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No4883.6¢96¢$46+$5.87−$177
Discord IPO before 2027?Yes50088¢9.1¢$45−$394$0
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No3260.5¢97.3¢$31+$12+$112
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No2363¢93.8¢$22+$7.09$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?Yes92366.7¢2.2¢$20−$595$0
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No1170.9¢96.7¢$11+$2.89+$246
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?Yes15415¢1.5¢$2.23−$21$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?Yes10137¢1.7¢$1.71−$36$0
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes52.4k6.4¢0¢$0−$3,356$0
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes30.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$187$0
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes11.1k53¢0¢$0−$5,889$0
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes11.1k65.6¢0¢$0−$7,277+$61
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes9,9414.7¢0¢$0−$465+$294
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Yes8,00030¢0¢$0−$2,400$0
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes6,2001.2¢0¢$0−$76−$0.77
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes6,20084¢0¢$0−$5,208$0
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs5,41451¢0¢$0−$2,760+$794
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes3,27912.9¢0¢$0−$422$0
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesNuggets2,15171.7¢0¢$0−$1,543$0
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes2,0689.4¢0¢$0−$194−$188
Celtics vs. 76ers76ers2,00027¢0¢$0−$540$0
Spread: France (-1.5)France2,00058.9¢0¢$0−$1,177$0
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina2,00061.5¢0¢$0−$1,230$0
76ers vs. Knicks76ers1,82027.5¢0¢$0−$500−$11
Nets vs. PistonsPistons1,81088.5¢0¢$0−$1,602$0
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes1,80057.6¢0¢$0−$1,036−$7.31
Cavaliers vs. RaptorsCavaliers1,80058.7¢0¢$0−$1,056$0
Heat vs. CavaliersCavaliers1,70057¢0¢$0−$969$0
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets1,70050¢0¢$0−$850$0
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers1,30051¢0¢$0−$663$0
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)76ers1,10049¢0¢$0−$539$0
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Over1,00042¢0¢$0−$420$0
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)76ers1,00050¢0¢$0−$500$0
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes1,00047.6¢0¢$0−$476$0
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes1,00046¢0¢$0−$460$0
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes1,00057.5¢0¢$0−$575$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes90023.2¢0¢$0−$209−$1.48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No85767.4¢0¢$0−$578$0
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes84044.5¢0¢$0−$374$0
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil80030¢0¢$0−$240$0
Magic vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves70044.3¢0¢$0−$310$0
Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers60040¢0¢$0−$240$0
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes60089.5¢0¢$0−$537$0
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers59545.9¢0¢$0−$273$0
Celtics vs. CavaliersCavaliers40050¢0¢$0−$200$0
Cavaliers vs. KnicksCavaliers35030¢0¢$0−$105+$119
Knicks vs. LakersKnicks25058¢0¢$0−$145$0
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Yes22019¢0¢$0−$42$0
Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs20033¢0¢$0−$66$0
Lakers vs. PistonsLakers19854¢0¢$0−$107$0
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes1003¢0¢$0−$3.00+$6.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No10053¢0¢$0−$53$0
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil5428.7¢0¢$0−$16+$16

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?18¢200$3678%57
BUY NoSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?33¢20$6.6078%57
BUY YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?24¢1,000$24078%57
BUY YesWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?52¢100$5278%57
BUY NoWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?89.7¢5$4.4978%57
BUY YesWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?37¢300$11178%57
BUY YesWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?61¢200$12278%57
BUY YesWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?61¢500$30578%57
BUY YesWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?58¢1,000$58078%57
BUY YesWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1.3¢2,000$2678%57
SELL NoOpenAI IPO before 2027?67.2¢47$3278%57
BUY YesWill France win on 2026-06-26?55¢619$34178%57
BUY YesWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?58¢1,000$58078%57
BUY SpainSpread: Spain (-2.5)49¢690$33878%57
SELL SpursSpread: Spurs (-4.5)64.1¢1,710$1,09778%57
SELL SpursSpread: Spurs (-4.5)59¢60$3578%57
BUY SpursSpread: Spurs (-4.5)52¢4,000$2,08078%57
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?85¢520$44278%57
SELL NoWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?99.3¢2,222$2,20678%57
BUY YesWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?33.8¢5$1.6978%57