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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

ends · Jan 1 ’27 04:59 UTCid 0xd9fb1184…Trade on Polymarket Live trades
Δ 24h−0.1¢−4.3%
Volume 24h$42.9k268 trades
Volume total$43.8M
Open interest$6.09M
Liquidity$650k
Spread0.1¢bid–ask
Traders 24h923 sharp
Whales 24h0 / 0$0 / $0

Price · Yes

Yes2.3¢−0.2¢ rangeOct 10 08:09

Smart money flow

net $ by window
Winsell ◂ net ▸ buyNetB / S
30m$00/0
1h$00/0
6h$00/0
12h$00/0
24h−$3271/2

Net USD bought minus sold on Yes by wallets with SharpScore ≥ 70. B / S = distinct sharp buyers / sellers.

WhalesBuysSellsBuy $Sell $30m00——1h00——6h00——12h00——24h00——

Volume & unique traders

hourly · last 24h
Oct 10 08:00 UTC vol $337 traders 1trades 1624h total $40.7k
Oct 9 09:0021:00now

Insider-pattern flags · 0

No flags in this marketNo position here combines a new account, outsized size, low entry and late timing strongly enough to flag.

Whale positions · 15

WhaleSideEntryZ
AvamaxNo$541k95.3¢16.3σ
winforretireNo$392k91.8¢11.8σ
Warlike-HornNo$382k87.6¢11.4σ
AnjunNo$352k94.6¢10.5σ
llhNo$318k65.7¢9.3σ
randomgoNo$243k96.2¢7.2σ
0x8b4…541bNo$212k95.3¢6.3σ
momomNo$212k87.3¢6.3σ
allenzzzNo$191k95.4¢5.7σ
sheen07No$133k94.8¢3.9σ
onekey02No$110k93.2¢3.2σ
Top1-JNo$92.2k96¢2.6σ
SILFNo$82.6k94.5¢2.3σ
chriszyy3No$82.1k94.4¢2.3σ
0xrcNo$81.6k91.9¢2.3σ

Top traders by PnL in this market

#TraderSharpScoreOutcomeSharesAvg pricePnL
1Anjun71Yes02.1¢+$167k
2094357No079.9¢+$134k
3llh46No325k65.7¢+$117k
4Warlike-Horn46No390k87.6¢+$39.8k
5winforretire27No401k91.8¢+$24.0k
6momom65No216k87.3¢+$22.7k
7WarriorH59Yes02.4¢+$15.3k
8onekey0938No087.6¢+$15.0k
9Avamax59No554k95.3¢+$13.1k
10cqs56No083¢+$12.8k