| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 8,758 | 42¢ | 92.5¢ | $8,102 | +$4,423 | +$47 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2,985 | 94.3¢ | 96¢ | $2,866 | +$49 | −$101 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,772 | 90.5¢ | 95.7¢ | $2,651 | +$142 | −$657 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 3,222 | 56.7¢ | 80.4¢ | $2,589 | +$762 | −$54 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | No | 2,735 | 68.1¢ | 82.7¢ | $2,262 | +$399 | +$58 | |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2,237 | 94¢ | 94.9¢ | $2,122 | +$19 | −$115 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 2,238 | 72¢ | 89¢ | $1,991 | +$380 | +$7.02 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 2,051 | 93¢ | 94.8¢ | $1,944 | +$37 | −$768 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2,246 | 82.7¢ | 85.7¢ | $1,924 | +$67 | +$4,865 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,897 | 95.5¢ | 97.1¢ | $1,842 | +$30 | +$0.51 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1,883 | 96.1¢ | 95.6¢ | $1,799 | −$11 | +$455 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1,822 | 93.9¢ | 96.5¢ | $1,758 | +$48 | −$1,697 | |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1,770 | 95¢ | 97.2¢ | $1,720 | +$38 | +$63 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 2,325 | 68.3¢ | 71.3¢ | $1,658 | +$71 | +$906 | |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 1,682 | 93.5¢ | 97.5¢ | $1,640 | +$67 | −$76 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,627 | 30.5¢ | 60.5¢ | $1,589 | +$787 | +$49 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 1,903 | 69.2¢ | 83¢ | $1,579 | +$263 | +$66 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | No | 1,630 | 93¢ | 94.1¢ | $1,533 | +$16 | −$64 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 1,932 | 66.2¢ | 75.5¢ | $1,459 | +$179 | +$12 | |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 1,503 | 70.3¢ | 96.2¢ | $1,445 | +$388 | +$239 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 1,448 | 97.7¢ | 99.1¢ | $1,435 | +$20 | −$25 | |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 1,451 | 96.4¢ | 98.8¢ | $1,433 | +$34 | −$419 | |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | Yes | 1,409 | 95.3¢ | 99.5¢ | $1,402 | +$59 | +$6.23 | |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 2,486 | 46.1¢ | 56.3¢ | $1,400 | +$253 | +$1,328 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 1,208 | 90.9¢ | 96.9¢ | $1,170 | +$71 | +$8.40 | |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | No | 1,150 | 94.2¢ | 95.6¢ | $1,099 | +$15 | −$194 | |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 1,146 | 74.3¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,094 | +$243 | +$22 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2,284 | 43.4¢ | 43.8¢ | $1,001 | +$8.90 | +$1,488 | |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 1,008 | 90.8¢ | 97.5¢ | $983 | +$67 | −$271 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 989 | 89.6¢ | 97.3¢ | $962 | +$75 | +$254 | |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 938 | 92.5¢ | 98.8¢ | $927 | +$59 | −$39 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 955 | 87¢ | 95¢ | $908 | +$76 | −$28 | |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 936 | 85.2¢ | 95.4¢ | $893 | +$95 | −$15 | |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | No | 1,014 | 44¢ | 87¢ | $882 | +$436 | +$175 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1,634 | 52¢ | 53¢ | $866 | +$17 | +$3,607 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 1,027 | 54.1¢ | 83¢ | $853 | +$297 | −$4.70 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 829 | 94.6¢ | 99.8¢ | $827 | +$43 | −$88 | |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 1,939 | 5.7¢ | 42.5¢ | $824 | +$713 | +$5.76 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 868 | 87.1¢ | 94.1¢ | $817 | +$60 | −$837 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 811 | 95.2¢ | 95.4¢ | $774 | +$1.62 | −$42 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | Yes | 1,819 | 22.2¢ | 42.4¢ | $771 | +$367 | +$479 | |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 790 | 86.9¢ | 95.4¢ | $753 | +$67 | +$1,088 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 765 | 96.2¢ | 97.1¢ | $742 | +$6.61 | −$1,163 | |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 815 | 54.4¢ | 90.5¢ | $738 | +$294 | +$129 | |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 764 | 95.1¢ | 96.1¢ | $734 | +$7.42 | −$158 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3,676 | 19.8¢ | 19.9¢ | $730 | +$1.87 | +$1,787 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 705 | 95.8¢ | 96.3¢ | $678 | +$3.53 | −$298 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 727 | 54.4¢ | 93¢ | $676 | +$281 | +$96 | |
| Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | No | 702 | 91¢ | 94.8¢ | $666 | +$26 | −$42 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 686 | 93¢ | 97¢ | $665 | +$27 | −$329 | |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 709 | 71¢ | 92.5¢ | $656 | +$152 | −$330 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1,022 | 62¢ | 63.5¢ | $649 | +$15 | +$113 | |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 677 | 87.4¢ | 89.1¢ | $603 | +$11 | −$369 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 815 | 73.2¢ | 73.5¢ | $599 | +$2.49 | −$463 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 614 | 43.3¢ | 97.6¢ | $599 | +$333 | +$11 | |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2,649 | 0.8¢ | 21.5¢ | $570 | +$549 | +$13 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 760 | 20.2¢ | 71.5¢ | $544 | +$390 | +$144 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,560 | 14.7¢ | 15.1¢ | $536 | +$11 | +$1,202 | |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 708 | 61.5¢ | 75.5¢ | $534 | +$99 | −$4.03 | |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | Yes | 1,610 | 33.5¢ | 32.4¢ | $522 | −$17 | +$142 | |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 524 | 93.3¢ | 98.9¢ | $518 | +$29 | +$50 | |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 513 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $502 | +$10 | −$2,411 | |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | No | 524 | 67.2¢ | 93.1¢ | $488 | +$135 | +$58 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | No | 487 | 82.5¢ | 97.2¢ | $473 | +$72 | +$0.51 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,124 | 15.9¢ | 15.2¢ | $473 | −$25 | +$2,791 | |
| Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 466 | 97.9¢ | 99.3¢ | $462 | +$6.29 | −$93 | |
| Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? | No | 442 | 93.1¢ | 98¢ | $433 | +$22 | −$85 | |
| Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | No | 444 | 83.6¢ | 93.8¢ | $416 | +$45 | +$2.76 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 504 | 82¢ | 82.2¢ | $414 | +$0.76 | −$1,280 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 964 | 41.6¢ | 39.4¢ | $379 | −$22 | +$6,676 | |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | No | 384 | 92.2¢ | 98.3¢ | $377 | +$24 | −$22 | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 386 | 91¢ | 96.6¢ | $373 | +$22 | +$1,323 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2,970 | 0.8¢ | 12.5¢ | $371 | +$348 | +$3.58 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 446 | 72¢ | 78¢ | $348 | +$27 | +$314 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 2,105 | 22.4¢ | 16.5¢ | $347 | −$125 | +$166 | |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 412 | 65.2¢ | 83.5¢ | $344 | +$75 | −$4.14 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1,490 | 17¢ | 22.5¢ | $335 | +$82 | +$1.20 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 679 | 44.3¢ | 48.6¢ | $330 | +$29 | +$315 | |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 335 | 93.8¢ | 97.9¢ | $327 | +$14 | +$23 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | No | 336 | 93.7¢ | 96.9¢ | $325 | +$11 | −$2.96 | |
| Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 396 | 78.6¢ | 82.2¢ | $325 | +$14 | −$54 | |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | No | 425 | 87.1¢ | 75.9¢ | $322 | −$48 | −$378 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? | No | 311 | 93.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $300 | +$9.32 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 314 | 65.9¢ | 95¢ | $298 | +$91 | +$14 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027? | No | 334 | 60¢ | 88.5¢ | $295 | +$95 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 332 | 58.8¢ | 88.5¢ | $294 | +$98 | +$21 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 511 | 30.8¢ | 55.5¢ | $284 | +$126 | +$15 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,659 | 14¢ | 16.5¢ | $274 | +$41 | +$109 | |
| Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? | No | 281 | 87.3¢ | 96.3¢ | $271 | +$25 | +$27 | |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | No | 1,353 | 24.6¢ | 19.6¢ | $264 | −$69 | −$140 | |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 267 | 97.2¢ | 98.5¢ | $263 | +$3.26 | +$25 | |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 263 | 94.6¢ | 99.7¢ | $262 | +$13 | −$2,615 | |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 273 | 92.8¢ | 96.1¢ | $262 | +$8.96 | $0 | |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 277 | 93.1¢ | 94¢ | $261 | +$2.50 | −$1.61 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | Yes | 424 | 53.4¢ | 61¢ | $259 | +$32 | −$7.47 | |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 1,066 | 18.6¢ | 23.3¢ | $248 | +$50 | −$79 | |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 273 | 85.2¢ | 85.3¢ | $233 | +$0.27 | +$272 | |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | No | 301 | 82.2¢ | 76.8¢ | $231 | −$16 | −$745 | |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | No | 239 | 94.2¢ | 96.5¢ | $231 | +$5.38 | −$1,227 | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2,408 | 2.2¢ | 9.5¢ | $229 | +$176 | +$110 | |