Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

ends 3mo · Jan 1 ’27 04:59 UTCid 0x87091dc5…Trade on Polymarket Live trades

Δ 24h−0.2¢−8.2%

Volume 24h$9,39182 trades

Volume total$3.30M

Open interest$269k

Liquidity$190k

Spread0.1¢bid–ask

Traders 24h292 sharp

Whales 24h0 / 0$0 / $0

Price · Yes

Yes2.3¢−0.5¢ rangeOct 9 01:17

net $ by window

Winsell ◂ net ▸ buyNetB / S

30m$00/0

1h$00/0

6h−$491/1

12h−$491/1

24h−$491/1

Net USD bought minus sold on Yes by wallets with SharpScore ≥ 70. B / S = distinct sharp buyers / sellers.

WhalesBuysSellsBuy $Sell $30m00——1h00——6h00——12h00——24h00——

hourly · last 24h

Oct 9 01:00 UTC vol $0 traders 0trades 024h total $9,391

Oct 8 02:0014:00now

No flags in this marketNo position here combines a new account, outsized size, low entry and late timing strongly enough to flag.

Whale	Side		Entry	Z
0xa5e…2966	No	$1.36M	0¢	27.4σ
thoodr	No	$72.3k	93.7¢	1.4σ
AZwater	No	$38.2k	97.6¢	0.7σ
Momo63	No	$15.7k	93.2¢	0.3σ
Parz1vaI	No	$13.5k	90.9¢	0.2σ
koriander	No	$12.5k	89.9¢	0.2σ
de5nuts	No	$10.5k	90.3¢	0.2σ

#	Trader	SharpScore	Outcome	Shares	Avg price	PnL
1	0xa5e…2966	16	No	1.38M	0¢	+$1.35M
2	cigarettes	40	Yes	48.8k	4.4¢	+$23.9k
3	kneelbeforetheking	58	Yes	0	1.3¢	+$8,823
4	HOG993	40	Yes	0	0.6¢	+$6,878
5	zthunderfury	63	Yes	0	2.5¢	+$6,648
6	Gucky-45	51	Yes	0	0.6¢	+$6,008
7	Bikesarethebest	62	Yes	920	0.8¢	+$4,201
8	thoodr	73	No	74.0k	93.7¢	+$2,995
9	WarriorH	58	Yes	131	1.1¢	+$2,951
10	donthackme	60	Yes	6,793	1.1¢	+$2,394