PnL all-time+$274vol $192k
PnL 30d+$629gains $831 · losses $575
PnL 7d+$477win rate 7d 35.0%
Win rate34.5%adj 40.8% · 30d 36.0%
Open value$1,615cash n/a
Positions30 / 59open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale35
Adjusted win rateraw 34.5% · shrunk toward 50%2
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable59
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Noopen+$541Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yesclosed+$354Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Noclosed+$172Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yesclosed+$84Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yesclosed+$68
Worst markets
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noopen−$291Iran leadership change by October 31? · Yesopen−$157Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yesclosed−$100Will Rodri finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yesclosed−$89US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? · Noclosed−$83
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes | 8,411 | 9.2¢ | 9¢ | $757 | −$14 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | No | 1,687 | 25.6¢ | 27.5¢ | $464 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | No | 960 | 20.8¢ | 20¢ | $192 | −$7.99 | $0 | |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 1,674 | 9¢ | 8.5¢ | $142 | −$8.13 | −$11 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | No | 789 | 12.7¢ | 6.1¢ | $48 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | Yes | 4,369 | 0.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $6.55 | −$6.32 | −$150 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 575 | 19.8¢ | 0.9¢ | $5.18 | −$109 | +$650 |
Recent trades
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