| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 482k | 86.7¢ | 85.5¢ | $412k | −$5,541 | +$137 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 191k | 93.4¢ | 98¢ | $187k | +$8,696 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 166k | 99.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $165k | +$394 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 166k | 96.2¢ | 97.2¢ | $162k | +$1,582 | $0 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 54.3¢ | $66.8k | +$65.1k | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 75.7k | 59.3¢ | 81.5¢ | $61.7k | +$16.8k | +$17.3k | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 53.1k | 92.4¢ | 93.5¢ | $49.7k | +$565 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 34.9k | 88.9¢ | 90.5¢ | $31.6k | +$574 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 24.3k | 96.1¢ | 97.2¢ | $23.6k | +$255 | +$45 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | No | 22.5k | 95.7¢ | 98.9¢ | $22.2k | +$728 | $0 | |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 16.3¢ | $20.0k | +$18.3k | $0 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 19.7k | 92.3¢ | 98.6¢ | $19.4k | +$1,240 | +$112 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 17.5k | 80.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $16.5k | +$2,374 | +$609 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.1k | 93.1¢ | 92.5¢ | $13.0k | −$89 | $0 | |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 10¢ | $12.3k | +$10.6k | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 10.9k | 88.7¢ | 95.1¢ | $10.4k | +$702 | $0 | |
| Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 8.2¢ | $10.0k | +$8,289 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 21.4k | 36.9¢ | 42.5¢ | $9,082 | +$1,207 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.2k | 87¢ | 88.5¢ | $9,034 | +$153 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 610k | 0.6¢ | 1.4¢ | $8,236 | +$4,514 | +$165 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | No | 7,346 | 93.6¢ | 98.5¢ | $7,236 | +$364 | $0 | |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 4.7¢ | $5,784 | +$4,044 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | No | 4,892 | 87.9¢ | 91.5¢ | $4,477 | +$177 | $0 | |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 624k | 0.6¢ | 0.7¢ | $4,055 | +$250 | $0 | |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,140 | 95.9¢ | 97.2¢ | $4,022 | +$51 | +$73 | |
| Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 3.3¢ | $3,999 | +$2,259 | $0 | |
| Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 3.1¢ | $3,753 | +$2,013 | $0 | |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 624k | 0.6¢ | 0.5¢ | $3,431 | −$374 | $0 | |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 624k | 0.6¢ | 0.5¢ | $3,119 | −$686 | $0 | |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 122k | 1.4¢ | 2.2¢ | $2,617 | +$896 | +$13 | |
| Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 2.1¢ | $2,584 | +$844 | $0 | |
| Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 2.1¢ | $2,523 | +$783 | $0 | |
| Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 2.1¢ | $2,520 | +$782 | +$5.47 | |
| Will Ilham Tohti win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 1.9¢ | $2,338 | +$598 | $0 | |
| Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 1.9¢ | $2,338 | +$598 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2,366 | 84¢ | 86.5¢ | $2,047 | +$59 | $0 | |
| Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 1.6¢ | $1,969 | +$229 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 1.5¢ | $1,846 | +$106 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,932 | 86¢ | 90¢ | $1,739 | +$77 | $0 | |
| Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 1.4¢ | $1,723 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 1.4¢ | $1,661 | −$79 | $0 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 98.2k | 1.4¢ | 1.6¢ | $1,571 | +$181 | +$1,500 | |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 627k | 0.6¢ | 0.3¢ | $1,569 | −$2,506 | +$1,252 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | No | 1,586 | 97.6¢ | 98.5¢ | $1,562 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 1.3¢ | $1,538 | −$202 | $0 | |
| Senate control favorite on November 2? | Democratic Party | 1,534 | 91¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,465 | +$69 | $0 | |
| Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 1.1¢ | $1,292 | −$448 | $0 | |
| Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 0.9¢ | $1,108 | −$632 | $0 | |
| Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 0.9¢ | $1,108 | −$632 | $0 | |
| Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 441k | 0.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $1,102 | −$1,848 | $0 | |
| Will the International Peace Research Association win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 0.8¢ | $984 | −$756 | $0 | |
| Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 641k | 0.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $962 | −$3,205 | $0 | |
| Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 641k | 0.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $962 | −$3,205 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 630k | 0.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $945 | −$3,146 | −$45 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1,305 | 48.6¢ | 71.3¢ | $930 | +$296 | +$1,083 | |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 122k | 1.4¢ | 0.8¢ | $915 | −$810 | −$1.49 | |
| Will the Parents Circle – Families Forum win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $861 | −$879 | $0 | |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $800 | −$940 | $0 | |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 112k | 1.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $726 | −$854 | +$5,403 | |
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms? | No | 698 | 91¢ | 95.7¢ | $668 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 441k | 0.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $661 | −$2,289 | $0 | |
| Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 441k | 0.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $661 | −$2,289 | $0 | |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 424k | 0.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $636 | −$1,901 | +$744 | |
| Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $615 | −$1,125 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? | No | 558 | 95¢ | 97.7¢ | $545 | +$15 | $0 | |
| New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? | No | 514 | 97.4¢ | 99.1¢ | $509 | +$8.78 | +$304 | |
| Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $492 | −$1,248 | $0 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | No | 580 | 81¢ | 78.5¢ | $455 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,022 | 36¢ | 42.5¢ | $434 | +$66 | +$4.80 | |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 122k | 1.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $427 | −$1,299 | −$11 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1,471 | 23¢ | 25.5¢ | $375 | +$37 | −$51 | |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $369 | −$1,371 | $0 | |
| Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 641k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $321 | −$3,846 | $0 | |
| Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 641k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $321 | −$3,846 | $0 | |
| Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 624k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $312 | −$3,494 | $0 | |
| Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 624k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $312 | −$3,494 | $0 | |
| Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 624k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $312 | −$3,494 | $0 | |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 624k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $312 | −$3,494 | $0 | |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 624k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $312 | −$3,494 | $0 | |
| Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 624k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $312 | −$3,494 | $0 | |
| Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 624k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $312 | −$3,494 | $0 | |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 624k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $312 | −$3,494 | $0 | |
| Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 624k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $312 | −$3,494 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 624k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $312 | −$3,494 | $0 | |
| Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 624k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $312 | −$3,494 | $0 | |
| Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 624k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $312 | −$3,494 | $0 | |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 199k | 0.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $298 | −$993 | −$1,696 | |
| Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 441k | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $220 | −$2,730 | $0 | |
| Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 441k | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $220 | −$2,730 | $0 | |
| Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 441k | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $220 | −$2,730 | $0 | |
| Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 441k | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $220 | −$2,730 | $0 | |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 31.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | $217 | +$2.98 | +$4,435 | |
| House control favorite on November 2? | Democratic Party | 186 | 97¢ | 98.2¢ | $183 | +$2.31 | $0 | |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 64.6k | 0.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $97 | −$330 | +$4,081 | |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 192k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $96 | −$1,077 | −$88 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? | Yes | 103 | 79¢ | 81.5¢ | $84 | +$2.56 | $0 | |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 26.0k | 0.5¢ | 0.3¢ | $65 | −$77 | +$1,683 | |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 18.2k | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $64 | −$17 | +$3,347 | |
| Will Yad Vashem win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $62 | −$1,679 | $0 | |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 123k | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $62 | −$1,679 | $0 | |