PnL all-time−$35.1kvol $2.41M
PnL 30d−$15.9kgains $6,327 · losses $21.0k
PnL 7d+$8.96win rate 7d 36.4%
Win rate30.1%adj 31.0% · 30d 21.7%
Open value$696cash n/a
Positions10 / 438open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 6m ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$33.7kbelow peak −$34.1kOct 12
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 30.1% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? · Yesclosed+$6,367Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yesclosed+$5,371US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? · Noclosed+$3,532US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · Yesclosed+$2,935US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? · Noclosed+$2,692
Worst markets
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? · Yesclosed−$9,918US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yesclosed−$6,478Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yesclosed−$4,894Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yesclosed−$4,062Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$3,738
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 677 | 24.2¢ | 58¢ | $392 | +$229 | $0 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 909 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | $59 | −$41 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 313 | 16¢ | 16¢ | $50 | $0 | −$81 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 660 | 8.1¢ | 7.2¢ | $48 | −$5.85 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026? | No | 294 | 17¢ | 15¢ | $44 | −$5.88 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 200 | 25¢ | 21.5¢ | $43 | −$7.00 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 627 | 5.3¢ | 3.9¢ | $24 | −$8.56 | −$1.29 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 120 | 21¢ | 19.5¢ | $23 | −$1.79 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 182 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | $12 | −$8.18 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | Yes | 826 | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$71 | −$3.24 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s