| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 38.0k | 50¢ | 77.8¢ | $29.5k | +$10.5k | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 38.0k | 50¢ | 22.3¢ | $8,455 | −$10.5k | $0 | |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | No | 3,000 | 88¢ | 95.5¢ | $2,865 | +$225 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | No | 1,660 | 25.3¢ | 99.9¢ | $1,658 | +$1,238 | +$167 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1,594 | 5.7¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,139 | +$1,049 | +$1,878 | |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 1,122 | 75.4¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,016 | +$170 | +$25 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 4,000 | 24.1¢ | 11.5¢ | $460 | −$504 | −$24 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 600 | 58¢ | 75.5¢ | $453 | +$105 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 800 | 13.6¢ | 54¢ | $432 | +$323 | +$38 | |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 525 | 24.3¢ | 80¢ | $420 | +$292 | +$30 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 6,000 | 14.7¢ | 6.1¢ | $366 | −$514 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 640 | 7.3¢ | 56¢ | $358 | +$311 | +$0.36 | |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 7,000 | 7¢ | 3.9¢ | $273 | −$217 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 500 | 77¢ | 53.5¢ | $268 | −$118 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 4,000 | 4.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $220 | +$40 | +$40 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 25¢ | 20.5¢ | $205 | −$45 | $0 | |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 210 | 95.7¢ | 96.1¢ | $202 | +$0.92 | $0 | |
| Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026? | No | 256 | 70.5¢ | 77.5¢ | $198 | +$18 | +$21 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 9.4¢ | 6.5¢ | $195 | −$87 | +$16 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 89¢ | 97.4¢ | $195 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 226 | 37.3¢ | 80.5¢ | $182 | +$97 | $0 | |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 200 | 38¢ | 82¢ | $164 | +$88 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 500 | 63¢ | 30.5¢ | $153 | −$163 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 210 | 70.8¢ | 71.5¢ | $150 | +$1.36 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 1,945 | 0.1¢ | 6.8¢ | $131 | +$129 | $0 | |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 2,000 | 18.2¢ | 6¢ | $120 | −$245 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 22¢ | 10.5¢ | $105 | −$115 | $0 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 300 | 12¢ | 33.5¢ | $101 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? | No | 100 | 63¢ | 94¢ | $94 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 1,784 | 0.1¢ | 4.9¢ | $87 | +$86 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 130 | 0.2¢ | 57.6¢ | $75 | +$75 | $0 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 77 | 81.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $70 | +$6.92 | $0 | |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 71 | 57¢ | 95.5¢ | $67 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 500 | 22¢ | 12.2¢ | $61 | −$49 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 2,240 | 0.1¢ | 2.3¢ | $50 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | No | 50 | 74¢ | 84.5¢ | $42 | +$5.25 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 900 | 18.4¢ | 3.7¢ | $33 | −$133 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 29 | 26¢ | 83¢ | $24 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 21 | 94.6¢ | 96.9¢ | $20 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 313 | 5¢ | 6.5¢ | $20 | +$4.69 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 1,732 | 0.1¢ | 1.2¢ | $20 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 1,403 | 0.1¢ | 1.3¢ | $18 | +$17 | +$13 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 1,662 | 0.1¢ | 1.1¢ | $17 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 1,147 | 0.1¢ | 1.5¢ | $17 | +$16 | +$5.43 | |
| Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 1,163 | 0.1¢ | 1.5¢ | $17 | +$16 | +$2.00 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 1,750 | 0.1¢ | 0.8¢ | $14 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in August 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 2,266 | 0.1¢ | 0.6¢ | $14 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 861 | 0.1¢ | 1.5¢ | $13 | +$12 | +$59 | |
| Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028? | Yes | 815 | 0.4¢ | 1.6¢ | $13 | +$8.97 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in July 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 2,087 | 0.1¢ | 0.6¢ | $13 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 2,085 | 0.1¢ | 0.6¢ | $13 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 2,002 | 0.1¢ | 0.6¢ | $12 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 2,160 | 0.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $12 | +$9.72 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 2,146 | 0.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $12 | +$9.67 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,491 | 50.3¢ | 0.5¢ | $11 | −$1,243 | +$2.45 | |
| Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 955 | 0.1¢ | 1.2¢ | $11 | +$10 | +$36 | |
| Will Jerome Powell be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 10 | 98.4¢ | 98.4¢ | $9.84 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will ChatGPT be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 10 | 97.1¢ | 96.9¢ | $9.69 | −$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Alysa Liu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 10 | 98.6¢ | 96.9¢ | $9.69 | −$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 10 | 97.8¢ | 96.6¢ | $9.66 | −$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will Bad Bunny be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 10 | 95.9¢ | 96.4¢ | $9.64 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will Jeremy Hansen be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 10 | 98.5¢ | 96.1¢ | $9.61 | −$0.24 | $0 | |
| Will Victor Glover be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 10 | 97.6¢ | 95.7¢ | $9.57 | −$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 10 | 94¢ | 95.5¢ | $9.55 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 10 | 98.2¢ | 95.5¢ | $9.54 | −$0.28 | $0 | |
| Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 10 | 98.5¢ | 95.4¢ | $9.54 | −$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will Reid Wiseman be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 10 | 98.2¢ | 95.2¢ | $9.52 | −$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 10 | 97.8¢ | 94.7¢ | $9.46 | −$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 10 | 91¢ | 92.5¢ | $9.25 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 10 | 95.9¢ | 92.2¢ | $9.21 | −$0.38 | $0 | |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 10 | 97¢ | 92.1¢ | $9.21 | −$0.49 | $0 | |
| Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 954 | 0.1¢ | 1¢ | $9.06 | +$8.11 | +$25 | |
| Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 2,000 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $7.00 | −$7.00 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 8 | 75¢ | 73.5¢ | $5.88 | −$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 353 | 0.1¢ | 1.6¢ | $5.65 | +$5.29 | +$16 | |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 173 | 4.2¢ | 2.9¢ | $5.10 | −$2.09 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 0¢ | 0.5¢ | $5.00 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 10 | 81¢ | 46¢ | $4.60 | −$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 265 | 0.1¢ | 1.6¢ | $4.10 | +$3.84 | +$29 | |
| Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 165 | 0.1¢ | 1.6¢ | $2.56 | +$2.38 | +$30 | |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 45¢ | 10.5¢ | $1.07 | −$3.52 | $0 | |
| Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1,332 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.67 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 98.8k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$99 | −$1,661 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | Yes | 45.7k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 22.2k | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$95 | −$393 | |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 21.0k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | +$41 | |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | Yes | 20.0k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 15.2k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | +$349 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: November | No | 13.8k | 18.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,596 | +$1,256 | |
| Will another company be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 13.6k | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,310 | +$2,296 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | Yes | 13.0k | 6.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$800 | −$27 | |
| Will the government shutdown end November 21 or later? | Yes | 12.5k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | +$20 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 12.0k | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$34 | −$115 | |
| Will the government shutdown end November 15? | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| Will the government shutdown end November 19? | Yes | 9,893 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | +$5.26 | |
| Will Flashbots be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 8,518 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the government shutdown end November 20? | Yes | 7,789 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.01 | +$11 | |
| Will the government shutdown end November 18? | Yes | 7,052 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.00 | +$15 | |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17? | Yes | 6,700 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.37 | +$13 | |
| Will the government shutdown end November 16? | Yes | 6,590 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.40 | +$13 | |