PnL all-time+$23.6kvol $1.31M
PnL 30d+$740gains $193 · losses $494
PnL 7d+$591win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 57.1%
Open value$5,290cash n/a
Positions11 / 195open / all-time
Max drawdown−60.3%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$24.0kbelow peak −$33.5kOct 12
SharpScore inputs
54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable76
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity40
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday? · Yesclosed+$47.1kAnother Israel strike on Yemen by July 31? · Noclosed+$5,751Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday? · Noclosed+$5,345US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · Yesclosed+$2,933Israel military action on Yemen before June? · Yesclosed+$2,225
Worst markets
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15? · Yesclosed−$21.2kWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? · Yesclosed−$8,653Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? · Noclosed−$4,689Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17? · Noclosed−$4,500Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? · Yesclosed−$4,297
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 5,921 | 80.3¢ | 86¢ | $5,092 | +$337 | +$341 | |
| Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 2,219 | 4.4¢ | 7.7¢ | $171 | +$72 | +$6.93 | |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes | 433 | 6¢ | 5.5¢ | $24 | −$2.17 | $0 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 15 | 33.1¢ | 20.5¢ | $3.09 | −$1.91 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | Yes | 9,918 | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,082 | +$83 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | Yes | 2,527 | 19.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$500 | −$296 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | Yes | 1,222 | 39.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$488 | −$7.06 | |
| Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 630 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 249 | 16.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42 | $0 | |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 140 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9? | No | 129 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 |
Recent trades
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