| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 200 | 66.9¢ | 63.1¢ | $126 | −$7.50 | −$27 | |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 Week of October 12 2026? | No | 160 | 77.5¢ | 75.5¢ | $121 | −$3.20 | $0 | |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | Yes | 190 | 66¢ | 56.5¢ | $108 | −$18 | −$1.52 | |
| Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | No | 120 | 90.9¢ | 86.4¢ | $104 | −$5.40 | $0 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 12 2026? | Yes | 140 | 90.5¢ | 73¢ | $102 | −$24 | −$8.24 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 100 | 94¢ | 98.1¢ | $98 | +$4.10 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 200 | 50¢ | 45.5¢ | $91 | −$9.00 | −$4.00 | |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | Yes | 300 | 35.7¢ | 28.5¢ | $86 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? | No | 120 | 79.1¢ | 71.2¢ | $85 | −$9.54 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 54.4¢ | 42.3¢ | $85 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 46¢ | 41.5¢ | $83 | −$9.00 | $0 | |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 100 | 80¢ | 81.5¢ | $82 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 76¢ | 77.5¢ | $78 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Houthis target Pakistan by October 31, 2026? | No | 80 | 93¢ | 95.5¢ | $76 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat? | Yes | 80 | 93.1¢ | 94¢ | $75 | +$0.68 | $0 | |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | No | 80 | 93.2¢ | 93.2¢ | $75 | −$0.04 | $0 | |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? | No | 196 | 38¢ | 37¢ | $72 | −$1.96 | +$16 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | No | 80 | 75.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $67 | +$6.40 | $0 | |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026? | No | 81 | 86.8¢ | 82.8¢ | $67 | −$3.24 | $0 | |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | No | 86 | 78.9¢ | 76.5¢ | $66 | −$2.09 | $0 | |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 80 | 79¢ | 79.5¢ | $64 | +$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | No | 200 | 72.4¢ | 30.4¢ | $61 | −$84 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | Yes | 434 | 16¢ | 13.5¢ | $59 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 422 | 20.9¢ | 13.8¢ | $58 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 13? | No | 58 | 77.7¢ | 99.8¢ | $58 | +$13 | −$12 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 80 | 72.9¢ | 71.7¢ | $57 | −$0.96 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 13? | No | 57 | 75.8¢ | 100¢ | $57 | +$14 | −$4.93 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 14? | No | 60 | 81.1¢ | 93.5¢ | $56 | +$7.43 | −$5.73 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 200 | 33¢ | 27.5¢ | $55 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on October 13? | No | 54 | 79¢ | 100¢ | $54 | +$11 | −$1.74 | |
| Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 60 | 87¢ | 88.5¢ | $53 | +$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 13? | No | 52 | 84¢ | 100¢ | $52 | +$8.24 | −$8.23 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 5%-10%? | No | 80 | 74.8¢ | 63.8¢ | $51 | −$8.80 | $0 | |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | No | 65 | 83.3¢ | 78¢ | $50 | −$3.41 | −$34 | |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? | No | 60 | 87¢ | 83¢ | $50 | −$2.40 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | No | 60 | 91.5¢ | 82.9¢ | $50 | −$5.19 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $1.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 60 | 83.6¢ | 82.2¢ | $49 | −$0.87 | $0 | |
| Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | No | 60 | 82¢ | 81.5¢ | $49 | −$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 14? | No | 60 | 82.7¢ | 80.5¢ | $48 | −$1.30 | −$11 | |
| Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 16, 2026? | No | 50 | 95¢ | 96.4¢ | $48 | +$0.70 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026? | No | 60 | 80¢ | 78¢ | $47 | −$1.20 | $0 | |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027? | No | 60 | 89¢ | 76.5¢ | $46 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 14? | No | 53 | 84.7¢ | 87.1¢ | $46 | +$1.24 | −$8.38 | |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $174 in October? | Yes | 80 | 50¢ | 57¢ | $46 | +$5.60 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 13? | No | 45 | 60¢ | 100¢ | $45 | +$18 | −$1.06 | |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? | Yes | 211 | 19.6¢ | 21.5¢ | $45 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | No | 50 | 88¢ | 90.5¢ | $45 | +$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October? | No | 80 | 63¢ | 56.5¢ | $45 | −$5.20 | $0 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 76¢ | 90¢ | $45 | +$7.00 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 13? | No | 45 | 61.9¢ | 100¢ | $45 | +$17 | −$3.87 | |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? | No | 60 | 81¢ | 74¢ | $44 | −$4.20 | $0 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | No | 50 | 88¢ | 87.5¢ | $44 | −$0.25 | $0 | |
| Will Lindsey Vonn rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | No | 60 | 74¢ | 72.5¢ | $44 | −$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 65¢ | 85¢ | $43 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of November 2026? | No | 60 | 79¢ | 70.5¢ | $42 | −$5.10 | $0 | |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31? | No | 60 | 79¢ | 70¢ | $42 | −$5.40 | $0 | |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 60 | 78¢ | 70¢ | $42 | −$4.80 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13? | Yes | 41 | 23.1¢ | 100¢ | $41 | +$32 | +$20 | |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 200 | 20¢ | 20.5¢ | $41 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 20¢ | 20.5¢ | $41 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? | Yes | 50 | 62¢ | 82¢ | $41 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | No | 60 | 83.5¢ | 68.3¢ | $41 | −$9.14 | −$44 | |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 13? | No | 41 | 50.5¢ | 100¢ | $41 | +$20 | −$1.72 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 95 | 45.5¢ | 42.5¢ | $40 | −$2.85 | +$1.13 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15? | No | 57 | 78.2¢ | 70.5¢ | $40 | −$4.35 | −$6.08 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 13? | No | 40 | 92¢ | 100¢ | $40 | +$3.18 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 13? | No | 40 | 64¢ | 99.8¢ | $40 | +$14 | −$2.80 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | No | 60 | 32¢ | 66.5¢ | $40 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | No | 60 | 67.7¢ | 66.5¢ | $40 | −$0.70 | −$9.60 | |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be at least 0.6%? | No | 40 | 86.5¢ | 99.6¢ | $40 | +$5.22 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 13? | No | 40 | 87¢ | 99.5¢ | $40 | +$4.98 | −$19 | |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $176 in October? | No | 80 | 61¢ | 49.5¢ | $40 | −$9.20 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 15? | No | 49 | 80.4¢ | 81.5¢ | $40 | +$0.56 | −$2.39 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | No | 40 | 92¢ | 98.6¢ | $39 | +$2.62 | −$8.40 | |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 77¢ | 78.5¢ | $39 | +$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 60 | 67¢ | 65¢ | $39 | −$1.20 | $0 | |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? | No | 60 | 66¢ | 64.5¢ | $39 | −$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 13? | No | 39 | 62.4¢ | 100¢ | $39 | +$15 | −$0.70 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? | Yes | 60 | 52.8¢ | 64.2¢ | $39 | +$6.84 | $0 | |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026? | No | 60 | 71¢ | 64¢ | $38 | −$4.20 | $0 | |
| Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | Yes | 60 | 69¢ | 63.5¢ | $38 | −$3.30 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14? | No | 40 | 76.3¢ | 94.5¢ | $38 | +$7.27 | −$17 | |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | No | 60 | 70¢ | 62.5¢ | $38 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 14? | No | 40 | 89.5¢ | 93¢ | $37 | +$1.40 | $0 | |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | Yes | 200 | 21¢ | 18.5¢ | $37 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? | No | 60 | 73¢ | 61.5¢ | $37 | −$6.90 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 150 | 25¢ | 24.5¢ | $37 | −$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 35¢ | 36.5¢ | $37 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will BNK FEARX win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? | No | 50 | 80¢ | 73¢ | $37 | −$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 200 | 19.9¢ | 18.2¢ | $36 | −$3.40 | $0 | |
| Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026? | No | 40 | 92.5¢ | 91¢ | $36 | −$0.60 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 50 | 81¢ | 72.5¢ | $36 | −$4.25 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 13? | No | 36 | 76.5¢ | 100¢ | $36 | +$8.49 | −$16 | |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | Yes | 600 | 13.7¢ | 6¢ | $36 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14? | No | 60 | 76.7¢ | 60¢ | $36 | −$10.00 | −$5.60 | |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of October 12 2026? | No | 38 | 96¢ | 94.5¢ | $36 | −$0.57 | −$19 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 50 | 69.4¢ | 71.5¢ | $36 | +$1.02 | $0 | |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points? | No | 50 | 81¢ | 70.5¢ | $35 | −$5.25 | $0 | |
| Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday? | No | 60 | 65.4¢ | 58.6¢ | $35 | −$4.11 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 14? | No | 52 | 84.1¢ | 67¢ | $35 | −$8.82 | −$4.49 | |