sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,939

e88888

0x0d1…c454
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$32.6kvol $5.57M
PnL 30d+$4,203gains $9,648 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,294win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate71.6%adj 69.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$190kcash n/a
Positions29 / 192open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 22d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$16.6kbelow peak −$17.4kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.6% · shrunk toward 50%73
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable76
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d24
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No50.0k93¢94.5¢$47.2k+$750$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No30.0k96.1¢97.7¢$29.3k+$480$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No25.2k85.1¢97.8¢$24.7k+$3,197+$695
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No18.2k80.5¢96¢$17.4k+$2,810+$14.6k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No16.0k81.9¢97.2¢$15.5k+$2,439+$100
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No10.0k91.4¢98.2¢$9,820+$680$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No10.0k89.9¢92.5¢$9,250+$260$0
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No8,62479¢96.4¢$8,310+$1,497$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No5,50770.2¢90¢$4,956+$1,092$0
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No5,00075¢91.5¢$4,575+$825$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No5,64174.7¢77.5¢$4,372+$159$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No4,58376¢95¢$4,354+$871$0
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No3,00085¢95.4¢$2,860+$310$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No2,35040.8¢90¢$2,115+$1,155$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No2,00076¢87.5¢$1,750+$230$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,44678¢90.5¢$1,308+$181$0
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No1,20980¢93.7¢$1,132+$165$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes5,30054.1¢11¢$583−$2,282$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes21236¢87.5¢$185+$109$0
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No14082¢94.5¢$133+$18$0
Deel IPO before 2027?No12373¢99.4¢$122+$32$0
5kt meteor strike in 2026?No1859¢82.5¢$15+$4.20$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No575¢96.9¢$4.84+$1.09$0
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No376¢96.3¢$2.47+$0.52$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No171¢94.5¢$1.33+$0.33$0
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?No96673¢0¢$0−$705$0
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?No87475¢0¢$0−$656$0
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?No19270¢0¢$0−$134$0
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?No4966¢0¢$0−$33$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?96.1¢64$6272%33
BUY NoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?89.9¢957$86072%33
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?74¢47$3572%33
BUY YesWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?55¢300$16572%33
SELL NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?95¢2,602$2,47172%33
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?64¢1,498$95872%33
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?62¢758$47072%33
SELL YesFed rate hike in 2026?69¢5,079$3,50472%33
BUY YesUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?97.6¢384$37572%33
BUY YesWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?25.2¢418$10572%33
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?96.9¢5,926$5,74372%33
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?97.2¢1,359$1,32172%33
SELL NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?94¢3,772$3,54572%33
SELL YesFed rate hike in 2026?60¢14.4k$8,65872%33
BUY YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?96.8¢25.9k$25.0k72%33Whale
SELL NoUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?82¢1,016$83372%33
BUY YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?59¢884$52272%33
SELL NoUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?84¢1,230$1,03472%33
BUY NoUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?78.3¢2,394$1,87572%33
BUY NoUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?76.2¢5,000$3,81072%33