sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,249

JPLP

0x0e3…535b
PnL 10k+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$32.2kvol $3.55M
PnL 30d+$4,149gains $2,646 · losses $171
PnL 7d+$3,452win rate 7d 88.9%
Win rate37.1%adj 37.6% · 30d 86.4%
Open value$39.5kcash n/a
Positions209 / 1,536open / all-time
Max drawdown−39.3%of equity peak
Account age3.4ylast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$36.7kbelow peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 37.1% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity61

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes8,10261.4¢88.4¢$7,167+$2,194+$4,338
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No2,90891.5¢97.8¢$2,842+$183+$611
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2,79987¢96.1¢$2,689+$254$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1,90092.6¢96.1¢$1,826+$67$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes2,70054.9¢61.5¢$1,660+$178$0
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No1,44778¢92¢$1,331+$203$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No1,00084.1¢94.5¢$945+$104+$28
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes1,50044.5¢61.5¢$923+$256$0
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No91491.8¢96.8¢$885+$46+$80
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No1,00043.4¢88.5¢$885+$451+$2.00
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No85087.6¢88.5¢$752+$7.75−$5.00
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes73987.9¢96.4¢$712+$63$0
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No75879.3¢89.5¢$678+$77$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No80068.2¢83.5¢$668+$122+$219
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes77086.6¢83.5¢$643−$24$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes60082.4¢90.5¢$543+$49+$14
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,30029.4¢40.3¢$523+$141$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No56026.1¢91.5¢$512+$366$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes76051.4¢63.5¢$483+$92$0
Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno?Yes45746.3¢88¢$402+$191$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes55064.3¢69.5¢$382+$29$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No40066.8¢95.5¢$382+$115$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No40575.8¢93.5¢$378+$71+$191
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?No35273.2¢92.5¢$326+$68$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes39868.6¢80.5¢$321+$47+$13
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No32493.4¢97.5¢$316+$13+$166
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,38925.6¢22.5¢$313−$44$0
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?No30681.3¢98.7¢$302+$53$0
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes80038.4¢37.5¢$300−$7.00$0
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?No30487.3¢97.1¢$295+$30$0
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No30086.6¢98.3¢$295+$35$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No30094¢95.9¢$288+$5.55+$125
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No30087.2¢95¢$285+$23+$76
NATO article 5 before 2027?No30080.3¢94.4¢$283+$42$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo30085.7¢91.5¢$275+$18$0
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No26275.1¢96.4¢$252+$56$0
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No24970.9¢99.1¢$247+$70$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes47462.6¢50¢$237−$60−$354
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes80044.2¢29.5¢$236−$118$0
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No24774.6¢93¢$230+$46+$279
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No30062.5¢75.5¢$227+$39+$46
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?No23778.3¢95.6¢$226+$41$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No23078.3¢96.8¢$223+$43+$8.50
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No30063¢70.5¢$212+$23$0
Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Yes57043.4¢35.5¢$202−$45$0
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No20080.5¢97.4¢$195+$34$0
Will Václav Trojan be the next Mayor of Brno?No20091.8¢97.2¢$194+$11$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No20088¢97.2¢$194+$18$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes20093¢96.6¢$193+$7.10$0
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?No20079.4¢92.5¢$185+$26$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No30052.7¢61.5¢$185+$27$0
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No20077¢81.5¢$163+$9.00$0
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?No17059.4¢95¢$162+$61$0
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No16791¢96.4¢$161+$9.03$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes20077¢80.5¢$161+$7.00+$2.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No14783.1¢97¢$143+$20+$43
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes56064.4¢24.5¢$137−$224−$4.60
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?No12752.5¢94¢$120+$53$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,00042.3¢11.5¢$115−$308+$136
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?No11785.4¢93¢$109+$8.90$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No37026.8¢26.5¢$98−$1.25−$2.27
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No10090.5¢96.4¢$96+$5.85$0
Iran nuclear test before 2027?No10086¢96.1¢$96+$10$0
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes10087¢96¢$96+$9.00$0
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No9881.5¢97.9¢$96+$16$0
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No10072¢95.9¢$96+$24$0
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?No10089¢95.4¢$95+$6.40$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes25030.2¢37.5¢$94+$18$0
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?No11068.8¢84.5¢$93+$17$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No10081¢90.5¢$91+$9.50$0
Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?No10055¢90.5¢$91+$36$0
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes10085¢89.5¢$90+$4.50$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes15061.3¢58.5¢$88−$4.25$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No9086¢94¢$85+$7.20$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No18065.4¢45.5¢$82−$36$0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No10057¢81.5¢$82+$25$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No8073¢86.5¢$69+$11$0
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?No7283.3¢95.5¢$69+$8.81$0
Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?No17052.9¢40.5¢$69−$21$0
Will Adam Scheinherr be the next Mayor of Prague?Yes9443.9¢7¢$66+$29$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?No8043.6¢80.5¢$64+$30$0
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Yes6489.5¢98.1¢$62+$5.45$0
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No6580.3¢95¢$61+$9.54+$352
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes25025.2¢22.5¢$56−$6.75$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes30065.3¢18¢$54−$142$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes20023¢24.5¢$49+$3.00$0
Blue tsunami in 2026?Yes10348.4¢44.5¢$46−$4.06$0
Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Yes10043¢45¢$45+$2.00$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes11042.1¢38.5¢$42−$3.95$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes24018.3¢17.5¢$42−$1.80$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes10034¢41.5¢$41+$7.50$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes5046¢82.5¢$41+$18$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No6071.3¢65.5¢$39−$3.50$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7024¢5.5¢$38+$10$0
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No4080.5¢95.2¢$38+$5.88+$6.00
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No4066¢93.5¢$37+$11$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes80035.2¢4.5¢$36−$246$0
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?No4075¢89¢$36+$5.60$0
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?No3737.2¢93.5¢$35+$21$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes11022¢27.5¢$30+$6.05$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?38¢120$4637%54
BUY NoWill Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?89¢90$8037%54
BUY YesWill Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?39¢300$11737%54
BUY YesWill Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno?40¢150$6037%54
BUY YesWill Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno?49.7¢302$15037%54
BUY NoWill Václav Trojan be the next Mayor of Brno?94¢50$4737%54
BUY YesWill Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.3¢200$17137%54
BUY YesWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?37.6¢70$2637%54
BUY YesWill Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?93.3¢150$14037%54
BUY YesWill Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?22.2¢100$2237%54
BUY YesWill Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?22.5¢59$1337%54
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?81.4¢140$11437%54
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?80¢1,000$80037%54
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?45¢150$6837%54
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?62.1¢1,140$70837%54
BUY NoWill Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?18¢100$1837%54
BUY NoWill Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?17¢220$3737%54
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 9%-12%?22¢20$4.4037%54
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 9%-12%?22¢90$2037%54
BUY NoWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?28¢60$1737%54