PnL all-time−$43.4kvol $3.38M
PnL 30d+$2,973gains $3,545 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$209win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate77.4%adj 72.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$35.6kcash n/a
Positions7 / 92open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 8h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$40.9kbelow peak −$60.2kOct 13
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 77.4% · shrunk toward 50%80
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable65
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Epstein client list released by June 30? · Noclosed+$10.3kEpstein client list released in 2025? · Noclosed+$9,441Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yesclosed+$5,127Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? · Noclosed+$3,936Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · Yesclosed+$2,691
Worst markets
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 17.5k | 85.2¢ | 95.5¢ | $16.7k | +$1,789 | +$225 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 5,599 | 91.8¢ | 95.2¢ | $5,330 | +$188 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 5,406 | 92.5¢ | 97.3¢ | $5,257 | +$257 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 5,209 | 96¢ | 97.9¢ | $5,097 | +$96 | +$115 | |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 2,534 | 97¢ | 96.8¢ | $2,452 | −$6.33 | +$0.10 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 755 | 93.3¢ | 97.1¢ | $733 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Jimmy Lai released by June 30? | Yes | 5,896 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$52 | −$348 |
Recent trades
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