sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,269

Wan234

0x0eb…5bfa
WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$22.3kvol $1.46M
PnL 30d−$2,512gains $493 · losses $191
PnL 7d−$904win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate64.2%adj 62.7% · 30d 71.4%
Open value$21.0kcash n/a
Positions39 / 206open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$27.4kbelow peak −$29.8kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 64.2% · shrunk toward 50%57
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 39

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes38.0k19.2¢19.1¢$7,239−$50+$15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes38.0k16.9¢8.6¢$3,287−$3,122+$5.36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes38.0k12.4¢7.8¢$2,945−$1,775+$19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes3,22591.3¢90.5¢$2,919−$27$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20.2k3.9¢10.1¢$2,033+$1,242+$0.55
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No50081¢81.5¢$407+$2.50$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No41689.3¢88.5¢$368−$3.19$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes28670¢68.5¢$196−$4.25$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes64226.3¢19.5¢$125−$44$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes24058.4¢52.1¢$125−$15$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No20065¢62.5¢$125−$5.00$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No49336.5¢25¢$123−$57$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes17956¢57.5¢$103+$2.68$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No17258¢58.5¢$101+$0.86$0
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No11289.1¢88.9¢$100−$0.16$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No12878¢77.5¢$99−$0.64$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes13574¢73.5¢$99−$0.68$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes15963¢62.5¢$99−$0.79$0
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Yes14768¢66.5¢$98−$2.21$0
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes62516¢15.5¢$97−$3.13$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes27037¢35.5¢$96−$4.05$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes62516¢11.5¢$72−$28$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes135k0.5¢0.1¢$68−$665$0
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes100k0.4¢0.1¢$50−$370$0
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes80519.9¢4.2¢$34−$127$0
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.0k1¢0.2¢$15−$85$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes2789.1¢2.8¢$7.80−$18$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.0k0.8¢0.1¢$5.00−$75$0
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No114k0.1¢0¢$0−$120$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No94.1k24.1¢0¢$0−$22.7k+$2,195
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes30.0k0.8¢0¢$0−$250−$6.74
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No5,8002.1¢0¢$0−$121$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No1,1290.3¢0¢$0−$3.70+$7.17
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?Yes1,01525.2¢0¢$0−$256$0
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No1,00066¢0¢$0−$660$0
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Yes85317.8¢0¢$0−$152+$11
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?No75048.3¢0¢$0−$362+$29
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?No2917¢0¢$0−$20$0
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Yes226.6¢0¢$0−$1.47$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?69¢145$10064%36
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?59.4¢20$1264%36
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?63¢159$10064%36
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?16¢625$10064%36
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?78¢128$10064%36
BUY NoWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?89.1¢112$10064%36
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?58¢172$10064%36
BUY YesWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?74¢135$10064%36
BUY YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?37¢270$10064%36
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?56¢179$10064%36
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?58¢172$10064%36
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?71¢141$10064%36
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?79¢3,589$2,83664%36
BUY YesMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?68¢147$10064%36
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?79¢400$31664%36
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?79¢300$23764%36
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?79¢800$63264%36
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?91¢1,075$97864%36
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?82¢500$41064%36
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?80¢400$32064%36