PnL all-time+$9,608vol $1.05M
PnL 30d+$3,114gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$526win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.9%adj 55.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$140kcash n/a
Positions6 / 30open / all-time
Max drawdown−25.5%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 28d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$24.9kbelow peak $0Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 60.9% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d4
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity75
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 57.8k | 83.7¢ | 94.6¢ | $54.6k | +$6,283 | +$474 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 38.0k | 90.8¢ | 97.8¢ | $37.1k | +$2,644 | +$1,995 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 34.0k | 82.2¢ | 97.2¢ | $33.0k | +$5,075 | +$1,321 | |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 15.5k | 92.2¢ | 95.5¢ | $14.8k | +$513 | $0 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 564 | 81¢ | 94¢ | $530 | +$73 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 38 | 94.8¢ | 97.4¢ | $37 | +$0.97 | $0 |
Recent trades
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