sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,812

AztecaBull

0x106…aea5
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,899vol $34.6k
PnL 30d−$39gains $261 · losses $184
PnL 7d+$9.15win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate92.7%adj 81.3% · 30d 90.0%
Open value$7,568cash n/a
Positions24 / 79open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.7%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,699below peak −$204Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 92.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d87
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 24

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No2,02866.4¢94.5¢$1,917+$570$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No1,24680.1¢96.7¢$1,205+$206+$5.94
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo62291.6¢90.5¢$563−$7.03$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No54090.6¢95.8¢$517+$28+$37
Iran Nuke before 2027?No44095.2¢96.8¢$426+$6.94$0
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No42093.1¢95.4¢$400+$9.49$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No34857.4¢93.5¢$326+$126$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No28790.5¢97.1¢$279+$19+$6.49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No28271¢83.5¢$235+$35$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No22788¢95.5¢$217+$17$0
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?No21692.6¢96¢$207+$7.32$0
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No21394.1¢96¢$204+$4.04$0
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?No22290¢91.5¢$203+$3.33$0
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?No20896¢95.6¢$199−$0.88$0
Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberNothing11289.5¢93.5¢$104+$4.47$0
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?Yes12381¢82.5¢$102+$1.85$0
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?No10096.2¢96.1¢$96−$0.10$0
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?No10091¢94.8¢$95+$3.75$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes10078¢87.6¢$88+$9.55$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes69342.9¢12.5¢$87−$211$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No7695.6¢97.8¢$74+$1.64+$3.20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No18537.9¢12.7¢$23−$47$0
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No47344.4¢0¢$0−$210$0
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No38651.8¢0¢$0−$200$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Trump visit Greenland by December 31?90¢222$20093%64
BUY NoFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?96¢208$20093%64
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢344$32093%64
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?97.2¢180$17593%64
SELL NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?97.2¢76$7493%64
SELL NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?97.3¢96$9393%64
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?37.9¢185$7093%64
BUY NothingNothing Ever Happens: October89.5¢112$10093%64
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢108$10093%64
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?97.2¢108$10593%64
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?38¢263$10093%64
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?97.2¢276$26893%64
BUY YesWill Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?81¢123$10093%64
BUY NoWill Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?91.5¢366$33593%64
SELL NoWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?97.7¢350$34293%64
BUY NoWill Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?88.9¢127$11393%64
SELL NoKRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?93.8¢120$11393%64
BUY NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?92.5¢267$24793%64
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?93¢108$10093%64
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?45¢222$10093%64