sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,107

bearbees2

0x12b…479c
WhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$33.6kvol $3.19M
PnL 30d+$3,585gains $4,361 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,265win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate89.3%adj 86.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$114kcash n/a
Positions42 / 291open / all-time
Max drawdown−64.2%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$37.4kbelow peak −$59Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 89.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d83
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity36

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 42

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No39.3k97.1¢96.9¢$38.1k−$101$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No31.3k95.9¢98.2¢$30.7k+$712+$60
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?No6,91591.7¢92.5¢$6,396+$54$0
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?No5,67482.4¢96.2¢$5,456+$782$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No5,00050¢97.7¢$4,885+$2,385$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No4,00093.9¢97.1¢$3,882+$125$0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No4,54862.2¢80.5¢$3,661+$833$0
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No3,02595.5¢97.5¢$2,948+$60$0
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No2,40083.7¢96.8¢$2,323+$313$0
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No2,00093.4¢98.5¢$1,969+$101$0
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No1,90292.5¢95.5¢$1,816+$57$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No1,64095.8¢97¢$1,591+$20$0
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No1,22996.1¢97¢$1,192+$11$0
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No1,16067.5¢92.5¢$1,073+$290$0
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No1,13691.9¢92.2¢$1,047+$2.34$0
Plague pandemic in 2026?No1,00094¢97.2¢$972+$32$0
Macron out by December 31, 2026?No1,00089.9¢96.6¢$966+$67$0
Canada applies for full EU membership by December 31, 2026?No88695.5¢98.9¢$876+$30$0
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1,00070¢66¢$660−$40$0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No67295.1¢97.7¢$656+$17$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No52484.4¢97.2¢$510+$67$0
Trump goes to space in 2026?No50097.6¢97.8¢$489+$0.75$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No2,00038¢23¢$460−$300$0
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes296k0.1¢0.2¢$444+$148$0
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No36784.2¢97.8¢$359+$50$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No27990¢94¢$262+$11$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,99941.9¢2.3¢$161−$2,771+$406
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No12795¢97.1¢$124+$2.67$0
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?No12155¢89.5¢$108+$42$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes3,0002¢2.8¢$83+$23$0
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No4181¢95¢$39+$5.79$0
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?No597.1¢97.6¢$5.14+$0.02$0
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1,2003.7¢0.4¢$4.20−$40$0
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes100.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$145+$12
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal?Yes18.5k0.3¢0¢$0−$50+$3.85
Will Canada win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes17.0k3¢0¢$0−$515−$146
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?Yes8,0000.4¢0¢$0−$29$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No8,0001¢0¢$0−$83−$2.25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No7,9772.6¢0¢$0−$207−$0.45
Fed rate hike in 2026?No1,59770.4¢0¢$0−$1,124+$11
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?No10598.2¢0¢$0−$103−$1,602
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes1009¢0¢$0−$9.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?78.7¢3,000$2,36289%68
BUY YesWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?9.3¢10.8k$1,00889%68
SELL NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?99.5¢1,000$99589%68
SELL NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?99.5¢1,000$99589%68
BUY NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?1.1¢1,041$1189%68
SELL NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?99.5¢1,000$99589%68
BUY NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?1.1¢1,041$1189%68
BUY NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?1.1¢1,041$1189%68
BUY NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?1.1¢1,041$1189%68
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?38¢2,000$76089%68
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?78¢1,000$78089%68
BUY NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?1.1¢1,041$1289%68
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?1.7¢678$1189%68
BUY NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?95.4¢1,002$95689%68
BUY NoWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?97.3¢27.4k$26.6k89%68Whale
BUY YesWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?17¢12.2k$2,07489%68
BUY NoWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?91.7¢6,893$6,32289%68
BUY NoKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?96.2¢1,005$96689%68
BUY NoCanada applies for full EU membership by December 31, 2026?95.5¢886$84689%68
BUY NoWill Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in September?99¢18$1889%68