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Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

ends · Jan 1 ’27 04:59 UTCid 0x7034c00a…Trade on Polymarket Live trades
Δ 24h+0.4¢+15.1%
Volume 24h$9,418127 trades
Volume total$4.12M
Open interest$528k
Liquidity$187k
Spread0.1¢bid–ask
Traders 24h382 sharp
Whales 24h0 / 0$0 / $0

Price · Yes

Yes3.0¢+0.9¢ rangeOct 9 04:00

Smart money flow

net $ by window
Winsell ◂ net ▸ buyNetB / S
30m$00/0
1h$00/0
6h$00/0
12h−$251/1
24h−$251/1

Net USD bought minus sold on Yes by wallets with SharpScore ≥ 70. B / S = distinct sharp buyers / sellers.

WhalesBuysSellsBuy $Sell $30m00——1h00——6h00——12h00——24h00——

Volume & unique traders

hourly · last 24h
Oct 9 04:00 UTC vol $0 traders 0trades 024h total $9,418
Oct 8 05:0017:00now

Insider-pattern flags · 0

No flags in this marketNo position here combines a new account, outsized size, low entry and late timing strongly enough to flag.

Whale positions · 14

WhaleSideEntryZ
0xa5e…2966No$1.36M0¢29.6σ
schizohedgehogNo$80.1k96.9¢1.7σ
bearbees2No$38.3k97.1¢0.8σ
AnjunNo$33.3k84.7¢0.7σ
mrnobodyinvejosoNo$29.9k89.4¢0.6σ
thoodrNo$24.6k97.2¢0.5σ
tryingout1No$20.5k89.6¢0.4σ
Nik-No$18.4k96.6¢0.4σ
P1kasoNo$17.4k93.9¢0.3σ
DerDonNo$15.4k96.2¢0.3σ
Parz1vaINo$14.9k96¢0.3σ
buydadeepNo$13.1k96.6¢0.2σ
k00paNo$11.2k95.3¢0.2σ
morguetNo$10.1k96.1¢0.2σ

Top traders by PnL in this market

#TraderSharpScoreOutcomeSharesAvg pricePnL
10xa5e…296616No1.38M0¢+$1.33M
2cigarettes43Yes36.0k2.1¢+$22.1k
30xcb0…7dfb73Yes270k3.6¢+$5,598
4Anjun71No34.1k84.7¢+$4,335
5Bikesarethebest62Yes4,7311.8¢+$3,416
6peepeepooppoop37No069.3¢+$3,088
7tsihkodiives65No1255.2¢+$3,054
8donthackme60Yes6,9901.1¢+$2,801
9HerrieDavis78Yes01.3¢+$2,663
10Gucky-4551Yes00.6¢+$2,529