sharpside
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Traders/Rank #12,702

firstforge

0x132…c724
1y+CryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$11.9kvol $296k
PnL 30d+$438gains $745 · losses $3.70
PnL 7d+$52win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate53.5%adj 53.4% · 30d 91.7%
Open value$3,068cash n/a
Positions36 / 859open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$11.6kbelow peak −$11.6kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 53.5% · shrunk toward 50%34
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-10-14? · Yesclosed+$1,500Will Brighton win on 2025-11-22? · Yesclosed+$1,026Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18? · Yesclosed+$804Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18? · Noclosed+$798Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06? · Yesclosed+$688

Worst markets

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) · Aston Villa FCclosed−$7,537Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-10-14? · Noclosed−$1,500Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5 · Overclosed−$937Will Republic of Ireland vs. Hungary end in a draw? · Noclosed−$925Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18? · Noclosed−$750

Open positions · 36

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No50095¢95.7¢$478+$3.13$0
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?No35087¢97.3¢$340+$36$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No35093¢95.5¢$334+$8.75$0
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No27581.5¢89.5¢$246+$22$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes30083¢80.5¢$242−$7.50$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No28081¢82.5¢$231+$4.20$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No22027.6¢99.6¢$219+$158$0
Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?No25076¢79.5¢$199+$8.75$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No17949.9¢91¢$163+$74$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes18057¢87.6¢$158+$55$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No18042¢85.5¢$154+$78$0
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No18061¢67.5¢$121+$12$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?No7376.8¢79.5¢$58+$2.00$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes40013¢9.5¢$38−$14$0
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes31752.8¢11¢$35−$132$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes20031.5¢10¢$20−$43$0
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Yes17539¢7.5¢$13−$55$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes27020.4¢3.3¢$8.78−$46$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No687¢92.5¢$5.55+$0.33$0
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5509¢0.8¢$4.13−$45$0
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Yes36958.1¢0¢$0−$214−$4.23
UFC 332: Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)Andrey Pulyaev30018¢0¢$0−$54−$2.21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No21029¢0¢$0−$61$0
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?No20064¢0¢$0−$128−$2.30
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Wang Cong20036¢0¢$0−$72−$2.30
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No20034¢0¢$0−$68$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No20034¢0¢$0−$68$0
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?Yes19739.9¢0¢$0−$79−$1.85
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No18040¢0¢$0−$72−$2.16
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No17551¢0¢$0−$89$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Yes979.8¢0¢$0−$9.55−$0.34
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Yes848.4¢0¢$0−$7.03$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?Yes7514¢0¢$0−$11−$0.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes4035¢0¢$0−$14−$0.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes3651¢0¢$0−$18−$0.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Yes1223¢0¢$0−$2.76−$0.09

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?87¢350$30554%32
BUY NoWill OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?76¢250$19054%32
BUY NoWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?95¢500$47554%32
BUY NoWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?93¢350$32654%32
BUY NoWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?76.8¢73$5654%32
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?83¢300$24954%32
BUY Wang CongUFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)36¢200$7254%32
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?57¢180$10354%32
BUY Andrey PulyaevUFC 332: Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)18¢300$5454%32
BUY Roman KopylovUFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)32¢200$6454%32
BUY Johnny WalkerUFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)52¢180$9454%32
BUY Imanol RodriguezUFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)57¢200$11454%32
BUY Esteban RibovicsUFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card)65¢200$13054%32
BUY YesWill the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?17.7¢17$3.0154%32
BUY YesWill the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?42¢180$7654%32
SELL YesWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?30¢220$6654%32
BUY NoWill Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?40¢180$7254%32
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?80¢270$21654%32
BUY YesWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?31.5¢200$6354%32
BUY YesWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?20.4¢270$5554%32