PnL all-time+$25.1kvol $927k
PnL 30d+$2,982gains $7,809 · losses $2,395
PnL 7d+$234win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate54.9%adj 54.1% · 30d 72.7%
Open value$29.8kcash n/a
Positions11 / 113open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.8%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 6h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$30.3kbelow peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 54.9% · shrunk toward 50%35
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$5,271Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yesclosed−$4,713Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yesclosed−$3,056Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$2,291Brazil to score first vs. Norway? · Yesclosed−$1,199
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 10.2k | 92¢ | 95.7¢ | $9,763 | +$377 | +$88 | |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | Yes | 7,040 | 73.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $5,949 | +$776 | $0 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 6,010 | 70¢ | 71.5¢ | $4,297 | +$88 | −$2.35 | |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5,854 | 43.5¢ | 72.5¢ | $4,244 | +$1,697 | +$1,016 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2,005 | 79.9¢ | 83.5¢ | $1,674 | +$72 | +$114 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,647 | 60.5¢ | 44.6¢ | $1,625 | −$583 | +$242 | |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? | Yes | 1,187 | 88.7¢ | 94.3¢ | $1,119 | +$67 | +$13 | |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31? | Yes | 878 | 78.6¢ | 88.5¢ | $777 | +$87 | $0 | |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | Yes | 3,242 | 15.9¢ | 11.5¢ | $373 | −$144 | −$17 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 10 | 96.2¢ | 97.9¢ | $9.79 | +$0.17 | $0 | |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 10 | 95.9¢ | 97.5¢ | $9.74 | +$0.15 | $0 |
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