sharpside
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Traders/Rank #18,907

nero2589

0x146…5e75
WR 70+WR 60+1y+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$50.1kvol $4.45M
PnL 30d+$1,597gains $155 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$527win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate72.0%adj 71.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$12.5kcash n/a
Positions250 / 2,167open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 21m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$46.4kbelow peak −$87.4kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 72.0% · shrunk toward 50%78
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No2,16084.9¢94.5¢$2,041+$207+$17
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No1,71776¢98.9¢$1,697+$392$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No1,71385.3¢87.5¢$1,499+$38$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No1,55264¢79.5¢$1,234+$241$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No1,25083.9¢96.8¢$1,209+$161$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No1,47047.6¢64.5¢$948+$248+$20
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Yes2,21340.1¢39.5¢$874−$13$0
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?No79582¢87.5¢$696+$44$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?Yes1,04057.2¢60¢$624+$29+$4.20
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No52072.4¢89.5¢$465+$89+$34
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?No40566.6¢95.1¢$385+$115+$1.36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No40092¢95.8¢$383+$15$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No40981¢82.5¢$338+$6.14$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No8062¢69.5¢$56+$6.00$0
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No2092¢92¢$18$0$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No494¢96.7¢$3.43+$0.09$0
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-07?No6,00060¢0¢$0−$3,600$0
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)Invictus Gaming6,00052¢0¢$0−$3,120$0
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION5,90017.3¢0¢$0−$1,020−$12
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)Top Esports5,68038.8¢0¢$0−$2,204$0
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue5,18030¢0¢$0−$1,554−$33
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue5,11030¢0¢$0−$1,533−$32
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsRED Canids4,70061.6¢0¢$0−$2,897−$21
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)Karmine Corp Blue4,65036.3¢0¢$0−$1,687−$32
Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs RED Academy (+2.5)RED Academy4,28743.8¢0¢$0−$1,880−$14
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageSentinels4,10563.3¢0¢$0−$2,599$0
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports4,01623.4¢0¢$0−$940+$0.02
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Nets4,00053¢0¢$0−$2,120$0
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Bucks4,00052¢0¢$0−$2,080$0
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Under4,00023¢0¢$0−$920$0
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3)Evil Geniuses4,00053¢0¢$0−$2,120$0
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsDplus KIA4,00025.5¢0¢$0−$1,020−$7.97
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue3,98630¢0¢$0−$1,196−$25
Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over3,90043.8¢0¢$0−$1,707$0
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3)KT Rolster3,81713.9¢0¢$0−$530+$5.62
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under3,60055¢0¢$0−$1,980$0
LoL: P11 Esports vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular SeasonP11 Esports3,60027¢0¢$0−$972$0
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs - Game 1 WinnerDN Freecs3,60048¢0¢$0−$1,728$0
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Under3,50042¢0¢$0−$1,470$0
Spread: Stars (-1.5)Capitals3,50073.6¢0¢$0−$2,575$0
LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasonShifters3,40026.6¢0¢$0−$906$0
LoL: Bubliki vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular SeasonBubliki3,38130.2¢0¢$0−$1,021−$14
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over3,36160.3¢0¢$0−$2,026−$24
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Over3,29922¢0¢$0−$726$0
LoL: paiN Gaming vs LOUD (BO1)paiN Gaming3,23349.3¢0¢$0−$1,593$0
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA3,20035.6¢0¢$0−$1,140−$14
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over3,17736.7¢0¢$0−$1,166$0
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks3,00041.5¢0¢$0−$1,245$0
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 053,00031¢0¢$0−$930$0
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5)Miami Heretics3,00075¢0¢$0−$2,250$0
Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Over3,00040.5¢0¢$0−$1,215$0
ASB Classic: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardAgut3,00030¢0¢$0−$900$0
Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Over3,00033¢0¢$0−$990$0
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)Weibo Gaming3,00047.4¢0¢$0−$1,422$0
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)Hanwha Life Esports3,00045¢0¢$0−$1,350$0
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3)Ultra Prime2,88031¢0¢$0−$893$0
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming2,88031.3¢0¢$0−$901$0
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX2,81747.5¢0¢$0−$1,339−$5.50
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsVivo Keyd Stars2,80048.8¢0¢$0−$1,367−$17
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX2,80031¢0¢$0−$868−$18
LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends PlayoffsBOMBA Team2,70049.6¢0¢$0−$1,338−$11
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)KT Rolster2,70054.4¢0¢$0−$1,470−$8.91
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming2,69736.9¢0¢$0−$995$0
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters (BO3)Power Rangers2,69159.7¢0¢$0−$1,605$0
Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5Under2,65866.8¢0¢$0−$1,775$0
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports Challengers2,65424¢0¢$0−$637−$12
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION2,50517.8¢0¢$0−$446−$4.02
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA2,50035¢0¢$0−$875−$6.83
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-InInvictus Gaming2,50085¢0¢$0−$2,125−$9.56
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5Over2,50044¢0¢$0−$1,100$0
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2JD Gaming2,50051¢0¢$0−$1,275−$19
Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Under2,50028¢0¢$0−$700$0
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsNigma Galaxy2,50049.7¢0¢$0−$1,244−$7.00
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonVivo Keyd Stars2,40057¢0¢$0−$1,368−$18
SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5Over2,40060¢0¢$0−$1,440$0
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)Anyone's Legend2,40066.5¢0¢$0−$1,596$0
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)Invictus Gaming2,40022¢0¢$0−$528$0
LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1)Los Ratones2,40025.5¢0¢$0−$612$0
Oregon State Beavers vs. Pacific TigersOregon State Beavers2,40036.5¢0¢$0−$876$0
Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5Over2,39936¢0¢$0−$864$0
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under2,38723.5¢0¢$0−$561$0
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION2,26024.7¢0¢$0−$557−$8.44
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp2,20038.5¢0¢$0−$848−$16
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports Challengers2,13623.4¢0¢$0−$500−$11
LoL: LNG Esports vs Oh My God (BO3)Oh My God2,10036¢0¢$0−$756$0
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Aex-HEROIC2,10047.3¢0¢$0−$993−$5.07
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BBetBoom Team2,10071.6¢0¢$0−$1,503−$11
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendInvictus Gaming2,00026¢0¢$0−$520−$12
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp2,00037¢0¢$0−$740−$14
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Bulls2,00060¢0¢$0−$1,200$0
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Heretics2,00038¢0¢$0−$760−$14
Raptors vs. CelticsRaptors2,00023¢0¢$0−$460$0
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerGen.G2,00057¢0¢$0−$1,140−$10
Stars vs. CapitalsCapitals2,00051¢0¢$0−$1,020$0
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO1)Movistar KOI2,00070¢0¢$0−$1,400$0
Will Algeria vs. Nigeria end in a draw?Yes1,99933¢0¢$0−$660$0
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over1,97271¢0¢$0−$1,400$0
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)Fnatic1,94469.3¢0¢$0−$1,347$0
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue1,83533¢0¢$0−$606−$6.60
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3)Hanwha Life Esports1,80086¢0¢$0−$1,548$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?64¢192$12372%40
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?81¢110$8972%40
BUY YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?56.7¢710$40372%40
BUY YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?38¢381$14572%40
SELL YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?60¢300$18072%40
BUY YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?38¢90$3472%40
SELL YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?60¢60$3672%40
BUY YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?38¢40$1572%40
BUY YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?58¢100$5872%40
BUY YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?40¢200$8072%40
BUY YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?39¢200$7872%40
BUY YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?38¢40$1572%40
BUY YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?43¢60$2672%40
BUY YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?42¢83$3572%40
BUY YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?41¢101$4172%40
BUY YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?59¢482$28472%40
SELL YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?65¢94$6172%40
SELL YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?65¢281$18372%40
SELL YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?65¢300$19572%40
SELL YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?65¢150$9872%40