sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,845

newmasterroshi

0x14b…bfe8
WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$337vol $194k
PnL 30d+$679gains $682 · losses $555
PnL 7d+$237win rate 7d 70.6%
Win rate72.3%adj 68.0% · 30d 68.6%
Open value$4,165cash n/a
Positions26 / 112open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.5%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$767below peak −$61Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale36
Adjusted win rateraw 72.3% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? · Noopen+$199Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? · Noopen+$148Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$91Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? · Yesopen+$85Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$83

Worst markets

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$131Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noopen−$103Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? · Noclosed−$57Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · Yesclosed−$54Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting? · Yesopen−$54

Open positions · 26

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?No1,01467¢84.5¢$857+$177+$22
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No74094.5¢97.8¢$723+$24+$7.45
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No60486¢87.5¢$528+$9.06+$47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No50398.5¢99¢$498+$2.33+$2.44
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No50098.7¢98.7¢$493$0+$0.25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No40296.8¢95.4¢$384−$5.63+$7.84
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?No25470¢91¢$231+$53+$94
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes86117.5¢26.5¢$228+$78+$7.33
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?No10182.7¢85.1¢$86+$2.37−$25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No45316.9¢13¢$59−$18−$85
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes6054.4¢54.5¢$33+$0.04+$11
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes10121¢24.5¢$25+$3.53+$10
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?No3248.3¢44.5¢$14−$1.24−$5.71
New pandemic before 2028?Yes3113¢12.5¢$3.88−$0.15+$0.20
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?Yes1212.3¢2.2¢$2.61−$0.20+$12
Will Athletico Paranaense win Brazil Série A?Yes380.4¢0.1¢$0.02−$0.13+$0.26
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2,0000.1¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.04
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00+$5.50
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?Yes9504.6¢0¢$0−$44−$10
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes6001.7¢0¢$0−$10+$1.10
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Yes5680.1¢0¢$0−$0.77+$4.23
Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Yes1007¢0¢$0−$7.00+$2.36
Will Guilherme Derrite win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Yes10020¢0¢$0−$20+$17
Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Yes10012¢0¢$0−$12+$0.25
Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes4821.3¢0¢$0−$10+$71
Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes400.1¢0¢$0−$0.04+$20

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?85.2¢101$8672%63
SELL NoNew pandemic in 2026?95¢49$4772%63
BUY YesWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?25.1¢75$1972%63
BUY NoWill the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?79.7¢400$31972%63
SELL YesWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?41¢90$3772%63
BUY YesWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?15.1¢229$3472%63
BUY YesWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?57¢40$2372%63
BUY NoWill the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?67.8¢91$6172%63
BUY YesWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?53.1¢149$7972%63
BUY NoWill the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?53.2¢153$8172%63
BUY YesWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?8.6¢39$3.3772%63
BUY NoWill the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?81.4¢197$16072%63
BUY YesWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?72¢1$0.7872%63
SELL YesWill Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?93¢63$5872%63
SELL YesWill Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?63¢51$3272%63
BUY YesWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?99.1¢5$4.9672%63
SELL NoWill André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?28.1¢51$1472%63
SELL YesWill Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?13¢72$9.3672%63
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?44¢200$8872%63
BUY YesWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?26.6¢109$2972%63