sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,007

alihanyer

0x161…8f2b@alihanyer
WhaleWR 60+CryptoOtherPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,230vol $18.8M
PnL 30d+$823gains $780 · losses $5,967
PnL 7d+$137win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate68.9%adj 68.2% · 30d 20.6%
Open value$33.8kcash n/a
Positions26 / 982open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$460below peak −$13.5kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 68.9% · shrunk toward 50%71
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Yesclosed+$4,700Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$3,962Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$3,015Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · Yesclosed+$1,965Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$1,911

Worst markets

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers · Vanderbilt Commodoresclosed−$15.8kTexas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs · Gonzaga Bulldogsclosed−$6,663Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Noclosed−$4,598Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17? · Noclosed−$4,400Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$3,254

Open positions · 26

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No19.5k93.7¢96¢$18.7k+$435+$3,527
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No10.0k50¢80.2¢$8,015+$3,015$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.0k50¢19.9¢$1,985−$3,015$0
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?No1,20085.6¢88¢$1,056+$29$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,20080.3¢84.5¢$1,014+$50+$78
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No1,00092¢95.5¢$955+$35$0
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No1,00082¢92¢$920+$100+$399
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No30063¢84.5¢$254+$65$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes20047¢84.5¢$169+$75$0
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes90.0k0.9¢0.2¢$135−$655−$9.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes90050.2¢11¢$99−$353+$225
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Yes11754¢53.5¢$63−$0.58$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No25042¢24.5¢$61−$44$0
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 9?Up10051¢55¢$55+$4.00$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes108k0.7¢0.1¢$54−$694$0
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?Up5050¢100¢$50+$25+$12
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027?Yes15819¢29.5¢$46+$17$0
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes10056¢44¢$44−$12+$12
Will Hyperliquid reach $140 by December 31, 2026?No3860¢88¢$33+$11$0
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026?Yes2109.8¢14.5¢$30+$9.85$0
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027?Yes8310¢20.5¢$17+$8.70$0
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?No1090¢98.6¢$9.86+$0.86$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Yes10017¢9.5¢$9.50−$7.50$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?No680¢97.9¢$6.17+$1.13$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3051¢0.5¢$1.37−$1.68$0
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 5?Up30051¢0¢$0−$153$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY UpGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?50¢99$4969%52
BUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-20? AND Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-20?46.4¢11$4.8769%52
BUY NoWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-19?57¢50$2969%52
BUY YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?0.6¢1,100$6.6069%52
BUYWill Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-23? AND Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-22? AND Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-21? AND Will Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?6.8¢56$3.8269%52
BUYWill Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-23? AND Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-22? AND Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-21?24.7¢43$1169%52
BUYWill Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-16? AND Will Samsunspor win on 2026-08-17? AND Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-08-16?10.4¢101$1169%52
SELL YesNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?63.5¢30$1969%52
SELL YesAnother pandemic before GTA VI?50¢15$7.5069%52
BUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND France vs. England: Team to Win40.8¢59$2469%52
BUY YesWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?49.8¢20$9.9669%52
BUY YesTrump out as President before GTA VI?50¢210$10569%52
BUY NoErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?95¢222$21169%52
SELL YesNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?57¢5$2.8569%52
BUY YesWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?49.5¢60$3069%52
BUY NoWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in May?99.9¢100$10069%52
SELL YesWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.1¢500k$50069%52
BUY YesWill Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?99.9¢9,000$8,99069%52
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET45¢78$3569%52
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET28.5¢100$2969%52